Frost: Hydro, Wave, and Tidal Power Market Outlook Bright

Prospects for the hydro, wave, and tidal power market are good as countries are investing in renewable energy sources to augment energy security. It is estimated that the worldwide wave resources is 6,000 terrawatt-hours per year (TWh), twice as much as global nuclear production and 700 TWh/year for tidal power. The market potential for the wave industry is about US $1 trillion worldwide.

These numbers come from new analysis from Frost & Sullivan, which finds that ocean (wave and tidal) technology is much more reliable and predictable than other kinds of renewable energies, such as wind or solar.

“It is projected that commercialization of wave and tidal energy will take place in the next 5-10 years as the technology evolves and production costs decline,” notes Technical Insights Research Associate Chin Wai Loon. “Wave and tidal energy are expected to be deployed on a commercial scale due to its large promising resource and high market potential; it is crucial for technology developers to push through into the commercialization phase.”

The future of wave and tidal energy depends heavily on financial funding from public, private, and government entities. Deployment of wave and tidal technology will not be easily achievable due to large initial installation cost. The United Kingdom has provided £8 million for the European Marine Energy Research Centre (EMEC). This research center will serve as a testing facility for technology developers to create their devices.

In another example, the UK Government has set up £22 million in funding to offset the large capital cost during the installation stage. Marine Current Turbines is another instance, raising sufficient funding to commercialize its 5-MW SeaGen technology. According to Alvin Smith, CEO of Dartmouth Wave Energy Ltd, the current cost for wave energy is estimated to be £2 million per MW.

Apart from this, the policies and regulations set by the government and the lack of awareness on the potential of wave and tidal resources are stalling market momentum. The extremely harsh weather conditions of the ocean require the technology to be very robust. Pelamis Wave Power has halted its 2.5 MW wave farm in Portugal indefinitely. The reason cited for this is water leakage, which has severely affected their buoyancy device. Apart from this, the company is short on funds due to the recent economic recession.

Technology developers could collaborate with each other to accelerate the commercialization phase, while reducing the overall cost. Joint ventures between companies and governments will serve to boost future development in marine renewable energies. Seabased AB, one of the key participants in the wave industry, has collaborated with Fortum Kellaniem to develop the largest wave farm in Sweden, capable of generating 10 MW capacity. Collaborations will not only ratchet down costs, but also help to compete with other renewable technologies, such as solar, hydro, and wind.

To learn more about the Hydro, Wave, and Tidal Power–Market Penetration and Roadmapping study, click here.

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