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Now Re-elected, President Obama Should Examine US Renewable Rank

Paul Gipe, Contributor
November 15, 2012  |  13 Comments

Last week Denmark's minister of energy introduced new legislation that may extend solar PV development further. In what appears to be a net-generation feed-in tariff, the minister proposes that Denmark pay DKK 1.30 ($0.22 USD) per kWh for excess generation from solar PV systems less than 6 kW. The bulk of self-generation will offset the Danish retail price of electricity, the highest in Europe. This could extend Denmark's solar boom.

Among the markets selected, the US leads only China in solar PV capacity per capita.

Wind

The US fares better in wind than in solar PV, but it still lags many countries particular the true leader in wind: Denmark.

When California faltered in the late 1980s after the first tax-credit driven "wind rush", Denmark — and Northern Europe in general — picked up the mantle of leadership in wind energy development both in absolute terms and in capacity per capita.

Denmark operates nearly five times more wind capacity per capita than the US and a majority of that is owned by its own citizens.

Spain has installed more than three times as much wind capacity per capita as the US.

Installations per capita in France are behind those in the US. Nevertheless, wind in both countries face similar obstacles. As in the US, an unstable policy environment in France threatens continued growth of wind energy.

Wind was seen as a threat to incumbent state-generator Electricité de France (EDF), consequently former President Sarkozy place onerous new restrictions on wind development. Only 250 MW of new wind capacity was installed in France by mid-year, half of that typically installed.

The new government of Francois Hollande has yet to put their stamp on renewable energy policy and instead have deferred action until a "national debate" on energy is completed. If Hollande chooses a rapid development path, France could surpass the US in installed capacity per capita. If Hollande doesn't take corrective action soon, France will likely miss its 2020 renewable targets.

Geothermal

Though the US has the most installed geothermal generating capacity in the world, it still substantially trails many countries in capacity per capita.

Iceland remains in a class by itself with nearly 200 times more geothermal capacity per capita than the US.

New Zealand, one of geothermal energy's pioneers, remains a leader with 14 times more geothermal per capita than the US.

Biogas

Biogas remains the renewable energy technology most under appreciated in the US.

Industry analysts and renewable policy advocates alike often overlook biogas because the technology isn't seen as "sexy" as solar PV or wind. Yet in Germany, biogas alone will generate more than 20 TWh this year. That's as much as all of Germany's famed solar PV produced in 2011.

With the exception of dairy farmers in New England and the Midwest, there has been very little development of biogas generation in the US compared to Europe in either absolute terms or in capacity per capita.

German farmers operate nearly 200 times more biogas capacity per capita as American farmers. Austria operates 60 times more biogas capacity per capita as the US.

In conclusion, the US lags many of its peers internationally in the development of renewable energy technologies.

While the boom in US solar PV installations in 2012 is good news for the American renewable industry, the development of geothermal and biogas remain stalled relative to the success seen in other countries. Worse, the failure of Congress to extend the federal tax-credit for wind energy has caused the market for wind in 2013 to collapse.

Rather than leading renewable energy development, the US is in danger of slipping further behind its peers.

As President-elect Obama weighs how best to tackle climate change in his second term, and as Congress grapples with the budget and "entitlements", maybe now is the opportune time for the nation to consider sweeping revision of its renewable energy policies that go well beyond traditional tax subsidies and Renewable Portfolio Standards. It could well be the time for the US to consider a comprehensive suite of policies that have worked so well elsewhere.

These policies, for example, can be found in Germany's Renewable Energy Sources Act. This law grants all renewable generators the right to connect to the grid, the right to be paid for their electricity, and — most importantly — spells out how much they will be paid and for how long.

Most of the jurisdictions leading in renewable energy development worldwide incorporate these principles within their renewable energy policy in one form or another. Maybe it is time for the US to do so as well.

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13 Comments

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Dr. A. Cannara
Dr. A. Cannara
November 21, 2012
"Obama won by a small difference of individual votes. This demonstrates dissatisfaction with his rule of almost half of the American people" says Dede.

Really? When a sitting President in a mediocre economy wins re-election by large electoral margin, by large margins of women, by large margins of minorities that are becoming non-minorities, by large majorities of the young, etc. -- and loses a majority white, older males in states of the former Confederacy, that "demonstrates dissatisfaction with his rule"?

Let's see what the "majority" assessment of Congress was & remains, Dede? Does 4:1 disapproval of such a body represent "dissatisfaction with" its rule? Does adding more members of the President's party in both Houses mean "dissatisfaction with his rule" Dede?

Just trying to get a handle on the odd logic you're spinning wildly with here, Dede. It's kinda like trying to follow the twists of reality we get from Fox News. Auditioning?
;]
Dedetizadora Desentupidora
Dedetizadora Desentupidora
November 21, 2012
Barack Obama won by a small difference of individual votes. This demonstrates dissatisfaction with his rule of almost half of the American people. I'm hoping, however, for Obama to take the reins of the economy, because U.S. growth produces positive effects in Brazil and much of the world.

Thank you,
Dedetizadora
http://www.ddribeira.com.br
Dr. A. Cannara
Dr. A. Cannara
November 17, 2012
BobW, no matter how you try to spin it, windmills, with their 700-ton/MW peak fossil-fuel-processing limitation may make profits for you, but, for the world, they're just wasteful and inefficient. You should be able to figure this out.

I suggest reading the Forbes piece on the subject of all power generation systems, as well as specific analyses of wind, like Hargraves' www.thoriumenergycheaperthancoal.com/ p132 on.

Indeed the CO2 burden of wind's high resource dependency on construction and high maintenance per MWHr makes clear why DG PV, hydro or nuclear have far smaller Carbon debts.

And, spending $10-15B on a 2GWe, 24/7 plant that runs for 40+ years making >$1B/year on just power sales (ignoring isotope, desalination, carbon-neutral-fuel... sales) makes a stock of thousands of windmills, each needed repeated service within 20 years, plus backup systems for storage/power-fill, plus transmission & conversion losses, plus environmental losses -- well, it becomes a silly comparison, eh?

You can deny it all you want, but just because wind is your business doesn't mean your words are accurate.
;]
Bob Wallace
Bob Wallace
November 16, 2012
Alex, I'll give you a quick reply but I'm not going to get caught up in another of your ridiculous discussions.

For the most part new nuclear is being built only where government money is being used (China,Iran, and Saudi Arabia, for example). Those also happen to be places where citizens have little to no ability to object and if the project needs more concrete/steel/labor/whatever the government can simply say 'do it'.

You can try to make a pro-nuclear argument based on how things work in totalitarian country and attempt to convince others that we could do the same here, but it would only make you look foolish.

The facts are right in your face. John Rowe, the recently retired head of Exelon has made a very clear statement that building new nuclear in the US is not feasible. No one from any other utility argued with him. The industry is telling us that some of the existing, paid off reactors cannot compete in today's utility market.

--

BTW, your carbon tax claim is more of your foolishness. The lifetime CO2 footprint of nuclear is significantly higher than wind.

Now, go ahead with your pretend doctor stuff....
Dr. A. Cannara
Dr. A. Cannara
November 16, 2012
BobW, you might want to look beyond your limitations, and around the world, where nuclear plants are indeed being built and cheaper than coal, etc. The reason is simple -- EROI on 'renewables' is falsified, while EROI on combustion is simply scandalous.

The Saudis & Abu Dhabians, for example, are having Chinese & Koreans built them nukes fast, so they can sell their oil to us instead of burning it to refrigerate their indoor ski slopes or desalinate their water.

A nuke plant generates over $500M/year in power sales per reactor and runs for decades. That's lots more $ coming in than go out, even if the reactor isn't re-commissioned with newer, more efficient designs.

And, if there were a real Carbon tax, even wind farms would have to pay more than nukes.
;]
Bob Wallace
Bob Wallace
November 16, 2012
The US utility industry has found that new nuclear is too expensive to consider unless customers are forced to contribute their money to help build the reactor and then can be forced to pay high rates for the electricity produced as is happening in Georgia. And that is with taxpayer risk assumption during construction and in the event of a catastrophic failure.

It's even the case that existing, paid off nuclear plants are finding it hard, even impossible, to stay in business when faced with the competitive price of natural gas and wind generation. The Kewaunee, Wisconsin reactor is closing down in the next couple of months. Oyster Creek will close in about six years rather than spend what is required to rebuild its cooling tower. Discussions are underway about whether or not to spend the money required to repair San Onofre and Crystal River or to leave them down.

There are some who talk about some sort of affordable nuclear plant that could be built and revive the nuclear industry. But when opportunities to build these 'fabulous' plants appear no company has stepped forward and offered to build one. Wishing does not make things true.

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/24/business/energy-environment/economics-forcing-some-nuclear-plants-into-retirement.html?_r=1
Diego Matter
Diego Matter
November 16, 2012
"Denmark has leapt ahead of the US in solar PV per capita after only a few months even though the US has been developing solar energy for decades."

That says it all.
Dr. A. Cannara
Dr. A. Cannara
November 16, 2012
Aha, Explorer, note that I fully agree with DG PV. But also note that nuclear power, as we now use it, is based on a 1946-patent. We do, at least, require decommissioning per kW installed for it, which is better than any 'renewables'. And the spent-fuel storage issue is actually not an issue, if we were to move ahead with newer reactor designs, which actually can use the >90% of spent fuel that's not "spent".

;]
Paul Hanly
Paul Hanly
November 16, 2012
If subsidies (including free government caps on liabiity and government covering costs of disasters) and decommissioning and waste storage were properly taken into account, no current commercial technology nuclear power station would be built anywhere.

Demand management through time of day tolling by smart meters to limit demand at peak times
1. makes rooftop solar PV extremely competitive in many areas,
2. reduces peak demand,
3. makes the cost of additional large capacity redundant,
4. makes the cost of additional distribution capacity for peak loads from centralised generators like coal redundant
5. increases energy distribution efficiency by strongly encouraging moving load out of peak periods eg for swimming pool chlorination using salt at night rather than during the day.
6. Provides localised sources of power in case of transmission failure or generator failure/destruction/attack
7. Provides houses with increased daytime security of supply during peak demand brownouts.
Dr. A. Cannara
Dr. A. Cannara
November 16, 2012
It's always interesting how folks love to report fantasies, such as "installed MW", or, supposedly, "installed MW/capita". Maybe because the average power actually delivered is so low?

And, the subsidies per capita are nowhere. And the fabrication/installation Carbon debt is nowhere, nor are de-commissioning & other environmental costs.

The perennial ~10% loss from 'farms' due to transmission/conversion and the cost of new/upgraded transmission are also conveniently omitted.

So, it's no wonder that 'renewables' promoted/documented this way draw laughter from some and denial of subsidy from others.

This is one reason why successes with local solar PV/hot-water (DG) are mounting. With >2% pf all world land covered by human structures, there's more space for local solar (distributed generation) than needed for peak daytime loads. This is why efforts by Calif. municipal entities and the "million solar homes" initiative are moving rapidly ahead.

Indeed, there's no need for wind/solar 'farms' at all, and certainly no need for biogas/mass except to burn effluent from necessary sewage/bio-waste digesters.

It's been taking a while to unveil the facts about various alleged 'green' power sources, but the hype is indeed falling away fast -- from wind, biomass, etc. So yes, the President can and should do the right things to promote real 'renewables' and stop the fakes that simply beg for subsidies from the many to serve their few invested.
Bob Wallace
Bob Wallace
November 16, 2012
"his new found interest in climate change"

Really, Paul? Did you sleep through the first four years? You missed doubling CAFE standards, closing the least efficient/most polluting coal plants, all those presidential visits to wind and solar installations/factories, subsidy money going to renewable energy and EV battery factories, ...?

When running in general elections one has to get to the middle and even grab a bit of the other candidate's side of the middle. Otherwise you're the loser. In order to grab a hunk of the middle you have to minimize the issues that might cost you "middle" votes.

How about those of us wanting to see more support for renewable energy give some love to those who have given us some? It's more likely that they'll do more to please us if we're nice to them rather than dump on them.
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
November 16, 2012
Great thoughts and data here, Paul. Thanks for sharing.
Anumakonda Jagadeesh
Anumakonda Jagadeesh
November 15, 2012
I am sure President Barack Obama will support Renewable Energy usage on a massive scale in US since it also controls Climate Change. Already US is a major Wind Power country and also Solar Power is expanding in US.

Dr.A.Jagadeesh Nellore(AP),India
E-mail: anumakonda.jagadeesh@gmail.com

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Paul Gipe

Paul Gipe

Paul Gipe has written extensively about renewable energy for both the popular and trade press. He has also lectured widely on wind energy and how to minimize its impact on the environment and the communities of which it is a part. For his...
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