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Don't Miss The Great Solar Debate: Where Does the Global Solar Industry Stand? Click Here to Register! ×

How Much Do U.S. Tax Benefits Cost per kWh of Solar Production?

Michael Mendelsohn, NREL
October 25, 2012  |  24 Comments

Many frequently wonder: what is the cost to the taxpayer/ratepayer of the various benefits (federal, state, utility) bestowed on renewable energy projects, and is there a more cost-effective way to support these fledgling technologies? Also, how do U.S. support structures compare in cost to other places, say, Germany, which incentivizes investment in renewable technologies through feed-in tariffs (FITs)?

Of course, that's not so easy an exercise — state and utility payments and support programs differ wildly across the country. So, let's limit the analysis to federal support programs. We'll also limit the analysis to a single technology: solar photovoltaics (PV).

Today, the federal benefits for solar PV include: (1) the investment tax credit (or the recently-expired 1603 Treasury grant), representing 30% of installed costs; and (2) the accelerated depreciation benefits, representing approximately an additional 25% of installed costs.

Current installed costs — on average — range from approximately $5/watt for residential systems (fixed mount) to roughly $3/watt for utility scale systems (with single axis tracking). Our analysis also assumes capacity factors of 17% for fixed mount (residential and commercial) systems and 23% for single-axis tracking (utility) systems.

Under these assumptions, the federal tax benefits provided for PV projects cost taxpayers about $0.06/kWh for utility-scale systems and $0.13/kWh for residential systems, as reflected in Table 1 (see Unitized Tax Benefit column).  The kWh/W and Total kWh/W columns in Table 1 represent the first year and total energy received for each watt installed in the project.  The total energy calculation includes a 0.5% degradation rate, a 3% discount on the value of kWh [2], and a 20-year facility life.

While those values are insightful, they can't be directly compared to other, broader incentive structures such as a FIT in Germany or other locales. That's because the FIT also pays for the power. That is, the FIT represents a combination of the support structure and the power purchase rolled into one. To provide an apples-to-apples comparison, we need to combine the support structure with the value of the power based on the ultimate customer. For U.S. residential and commercial customers, the relevant costs are the approximate retail rates those sectors procure electricity at. For utility systems, the cost is the wholesale price of power at which the utility could procure it (at least for utilities in areas with deregulated wholesale markets).

In Table 2, national average electricity prices — ranging from $0.05/kWh for utility procurement (i.e., wholesale generation) to $0.12/kWh for residential sales — are added to the federal tax benefit to calculate the total price paid for each kWh. Including both components, the compensation to solar power systems ranges from roughly $0.13/kWh for utility-scale systems to $0.27/kWh for residential systems. Utility, state and municipal rebates and REC purchases can increase those numbers depending on region-specific policies and practices.

Table 3 compares the U.S. payments calculated above to the German FIT payments. German FITs, which — if recent mediation holds up — range from $0.23/kWh for residential to $0.16/kWh for utility-scale systems. Importantly, the German FIT is calculated on the solar resource available in that country; the solar resource is generally better throughout much of the US. If we adjust the German compensation based on the solar resource is available in — say Richmond, Virginia, the German FIT is actually quite small, representing approximately 56-89% of U.S. compensation.

And yet, Germany induces PV deployment of roughly 5 times the U.S. rate! One factor that slows US deployment — the use of tax policy to support solar and other renewables in the U.S. can lead to cumbersome financial structures that incur significant transactional costs to implement.

The cost-effectiveness of taxpayer investment will be increasingly important as the investment tax credit (ITC) declines from 30% to 10% in 2017. And while there will likely be calls to renew the 30% ITC, given our current national debt landscape, the industry may be wise to prepare for an environment of reduced support. Perhaps alternative mechanisms can incentivize more energy per taxpayer-dollar invested.

This article was originally published on NREL Renewable Energy Finance and was republished with permission.

Lead image: Money pile via Shutterstock.

24 Comments

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Dennis Heidner
Dennis Heidner
October 30, 2012
Cliff, I think several EU countries should be watched for changes in their renewables. I believe that we are seeing the shift in Germany and Italy from rapid growth in installed Solar PV to a more carefully planned and smaller growth in their PV industries. I believe we will be seeing a plateau for the on land wind for many of the EU countries (Germany included) and a rapid surge the next couple of years in their off shore deployment of wind. The basis for such prediction? The German government FIT for future energies and their own documents that show their intended direction. While there are still significant opportunities for SolarPV and land based wind in Germany -- the largest surge growth in the next 15+ years will be more in the sea based wind farms.
Dennis Heidner
Dennis Heidner
October 30, 2012
Michael,

I would like to suggest that instead of looking only at Germany, that you also consider Italy. In 2011 Italy installed nearly 9GW of SolarPV - more than Germany did in 2011. Compare the systems of Italy and Germany along with the US.

Also I think it is important to remember that in the early 90's the German SolarPV program was struggling if not failing. That changed when they implemented the "Solar on a thousand roofs" They were able to install more than 2200 systems and 5MW+ in a short time (one year?) -- however that program also picked up 70% the cost of the systems.

Germany's system with the FIT did not take hold until much later after 2002/2003 when the FIT was made more generous. It really didn't peak until 2009 when as part of their economic recovery program they chose to make the FIT much more appealing 0.43EU (approximately) at a time when the electric cost was 0.21EU (approximately).

Germany has made renewables a cornerstone of the environmental, economical and industrial systems. The value of "green" is taught early in school, on the television daily, constantly in the news. Numerous government agencies help provide the necessary advertising and referral systems for the installing companies.

Their program to move away from fossil fuels to renewables is now more than 20 years old. With a far larger investment in their programs than our government has invested.

The result is they can show significant deployment of both wind and solar in their energy systems.

The new 2012 thrust of the German government appears to be Solar Thermal. Perhaps it would be interesting to capture numbers on it as well.
Cliff Claven
Cliff Claven
October 30, 2012
We should watch Germany for solar and Denmark for wind and Brazil for biofuel and Spain for 'all of the above.' They are all out in front of us on adoption of renewables and their trajectories are informative. In my judgment, the surge period of each of these sectors in each of these countries is over and they are in their 'correction' period. As people around the world begin to count the true economic costs of 'renewables' in terms of CAPEX and fossil fuel energy inputs and lifecycle GHG emissions and national debt; and as global warming and peak oil panic give way to more measured assessments; I predict there is going to be a good bit of national buyers' remorse. If there was justice, the government officials who bet taxpayer money on these things would have to have some of their own skin in the game and take gains or losses on their pay and pensions based on how their bets performed, with the GAO tallying the butcher's bill. Too many investors and consumers have now been burned to let NREL or ANL or USDA get away with any more overly optimistic predictions and assessments.
Michael Mendelsohn
Michael Mendelsohn
October 30, 2012
Author's Reply:

Thanks to everyone who commented – this is an important conversation that needs to take place, and your comments provided valuable insight.

In response to issues raised by Richard and others regarding the return on the taxpayer's investment - I agree, the article does not attempt to make that calculation. The ITC and accelerated depreciation are designed to induce business investment, and associated revenue losses are clearly mitigated - to a certain extent - by incremental income and wage taxes paid by the developer, component manufacturers, and various subcontractors and their respective employees. Accordingly, the article provides a gross calculation of the "cost" in lost revenues.

But more importantly, the article questions whether alternative support structures can similarly induce investment in clean energy facilities by a wide array of entities (businesses, non-profits, homeowners, etc.), with low taxpayer impact and minimal transaction costs, and at scale that offers cost reduction benefits in how solar projects are planned, financed, and deployed. While Germany's support mechanisms are not perfect, they offer the U.S. a valuable example by which to assess the effectiveness and implications of policy options. NREL is currently planning to conduct a more thorough and rigorous assessment of this topic.
ANONYMOUS
October 29, 2012
"How would you answer this? Every one of the solar panels and balance of system componants, had to be delivered to a warehouse, then to a job site, then get installed by a contractor. Every one of these entities made a profit, and paid income taxes as a direct result of the tax credit."

william-feldman-

Your claim that "every one of these entities made a profit, and paid income taxes as a result" is mostly untrue, and that's where the problem lies. If all of these businesses producing RE products, and the subcontractors that rely on them, were actually showing a bottom line profit even with tax credits, we would not be seeing the massive default rates the industry is currently experiencing.

The operative phrase in this discussion is "income tax" benefit. Businesses only pay federal income taxes if they show a net profit. But a company would still benefit from a federal tax credit even without showing a net profit.

However, I would agree that there are other tax credit effects to consider besides the net income taxes paid by the business itself. The wages paid to employees can result in some net amount of federal income tax revenue, provided the wages are high enough and the employee has enough of a net income tax liability to offset the cost of federal benefits he receives.
Cliff Claven
Cliff Claven
October 29, 2012
@William-F: You are preaching to the choir. I generally agree that the immediate cost to the government of wise tax incentives can result in the long-term benefit of greater tax revenue for the government. That's how any good investment works. But the upfront expenditure is a real cost, and if not wisely invested, compounds as more debt. Companies that are operating at losses don't generate corporate tax revenue, and whether the other taxes that are generated by the churn of their operations is greater than the losses incurred upfront is had to say, but they certainly don't come back to the account of the original investor (i.e., the federal government and the taxpayers). The overwhelming majority of jobs created by the $90B spent by this administration on green energy have been temporary, and now that the spending spree seems to be coming to a close, a lot of those folks are back out of work collecting unemployment. All of the bad bets on renewables have added mightily to the national debt without creating the jobs or the industries that were promised. Our solar panels and batteries and wind turbines are still mostly made overseas. As an example, 60% of the $100M CAPEX for the Nellis solar plant was funded by tax credits and 40% by a contract for the Nevada RECs to be generated. Now the folks that sold it to the Air Force and reaped the wad of taxpayer cash are long gone, and, after a string of sales, a subsidiary of Fotowatio of Spain called Solar Star NAFB is now the owner and obligated to operate and maintain the plant for 15 more years for the 2.2 cent/kWh price promised to Nellis on an indefinite-term PPA and whatever they get from Nevada for the RECs. As a Spanish company, who are they paying taxes to? Who knows? If they default and walk away it will just complete the taxpayer fleecing.
Gerry Wootton
Gerry Wootton
October 29, 2012
Interesting cup of tea here ... tax cuts for the rich excepting those who put solar panels on their roofs. Given the monumental red tape in the US, the tax relief offered does not even cover the government's portion of solar projects. If you want to compare to Germany, apples to apples, you have to consider that the tax credit for the physical plant is 0%. KPMG did a study where they attempted to quantify the entire lifecycle and concluded that the return in taxes paid was ~3X the tax credit with a decent IRR if evaluated as an investment.
If you think that working out the benefits of tax policy and incentives for solar is complicated and/or generous, you should take a look at coal (a truly convoluted and twisted tale).
William Feldmann
William Feldmann
October 29, 2012
One question.
"The first comment that "an income tax deduction does not "cost" taxpayers anything" is completely false."
How would you answer this? Every one of the solar panels and balance of system componants, had to be delivered to a warehouse, then to a job site, then get installed by a contractor. Every one of these entities made a profit, and paid income taxes as a direct result of the tax credit. So how do we "Know" if it "cost" the taxpayer, or "paid" the taxpayer. Remenber the electric cost deduction for each entity that has a solar system is "paid to the taxpayer as well.
Cliff Claven
Cliff Claven
October 28, 2012
@Anonymous. You are arguing a different point now (actually several different points) with your most recent comment, and I agree with everything you say. All money is not the same and it is better in private hands than in public hands for the most part, and there are long-term effects that can counter short-term ones. But your original unequivocal comment that "an income tax deduction does not "cost" taxpayers anything. It just reduces the amount of income tax paid by those qualifying for the deduction" is still false.
Phil Manke
Phil Manke
October 28, 2012
Good suggestion, anonymous, but as we've seen, the entrenched money loop gets the government favor. Untill this changes, nothing else major will, and the good 'ole USA will further decline in basic wealth, influence, and cultural values. Their are numerous ways to curtail the influence the control of money in politics and representation, and untill we actually do it, you and the general Public will be evermore screwed along with the horse you rode in on. If you believe the major parties have your best interests in mind, you have many lessons yet to learn about oligarchy. Vote "Green Party" (Dr.Jill Stein & Sheri Honkala) or a Progressive "Nader" type party.!
ANONYMOUS
October 27, 2012
"The first comment that "an income tax deduction does not "cost" taxpayers anything" is completely false."

cliff-claven- I stand by my comment. What you claim is only true if one assumes government continues to spend more than they generate in revenues. And as far as income tax revenues are concerned, all tax deductions do not produce equal outcomes. Over time, some tax deductions may result in a net revenue gain, while others may not.

"Foregone income tax revenue" does not result in the same economic effect as if the income tax revenue was "collected and spent". The private sector is far more efficient in its use of money than the federal government. Tax money taken from the private sector is money that is not available to grow their businesses and hire employees. What the US needs to do is eliminate all subsidy payments, price supports, and income tax write-offs for anything other than legitimate R&D efforts.
Tim Dolan
Tim Dolan
October 27, 2012
The only comment I have is Solar PV systems should be calculated over a 25 year period, not 20 years or at least residential systems should be. And they probably should be 30+ years for residential systems. I am not truly anticipating replacing or removing the solar panels on my roof in my lifetime and except for inverter replacements anticipate the panels lasting close to 40 years before the environment takes its toll and they need replacement.

Baring a hurricane or other significant disaster, I expect that I may lose a panel or two of my 30 before 40 years is up, but some consolidation will keep the 3 strings balanced and require only some relatively minor maintenance. So to me 20 years is far too short a time for the investment I made, I planned on them lasting at least 25 years and expect them to last 40 and see little reason they won't. My house was built in 1915 and very little has had to have been replaced, excepting I know the boiler was changed from oil to propane to natural gas line over time and some plumbing has been replaced; everything else upgraded was not because it died, but because the building code changed over time and thus a change was forced on the house. Of course houses built in the 70's won't last nearly as long.
Dennis Heidner
Dennis Heidner
October 27, 2012
While I have a great deal of respect for NREL, I believe the article/report has some flaws in it.

1. The German FIT has varied over time. Prior to April 1, 2012 the FIT rate WAS GREATER than 0.26EU at times FIT has been nearly 0.50EU.

Unlike the system in many states and the US, once the contract was signed for the solar production - the FIT rate was locked in for 20 years.

Because the FIT was so high, Germans viewed solar as an investment - better than the banks. There are MANY large installs on old barns and buildings, panels mounted toward the east or toward the west (not just five or six panels but hundreds.) The FIT payment provided a inducement to install lots of panels even in marginal environments.

2. Europe AND Germany have committed to national RPS programs that REQUIRE significant renewable production by 2020, 2030 and 2050. In Germany - if a boiler / hotwater tank fails and needs replacing - part of the process is to add solar thermal or solar PV at that time AS PART of the permitting process. When there is a problem on the residence - and renovation is being done - renewables must be incorporated.

3. The cost of electricity in Germany is approximately 0.26EU / KWh, the 0.23EU /KWh in the article is based on the new FIT as of 4/1/2012 which is intended to promote "self consumption". The current FIT only pays residences 90% of the retail cost (new contracts going forward). Previously it was a money maker for the owner.
ANONYMOUS
October 27, 2012
assuming that all tax benefits can be utilized rapidly and efficiently is a HUGE leap of faith--generally, depreciation isn't getting monetized anywhere near the value assumed here.
btw--cliff-claven has nothing a value to say--right wing pundit drivel.
Back out the tax breaks ingrained in fossil fuel generation sources and you will face the same issues (tax payer pays) but at a much grander scale.
Go back to your base skillset: sitting on the couch watching Cheers re-runs.
Cliff Claven
Cliff Claven
October 27, 2012
This article is very helpful and essentially does what the power companies do by converting all costs into a 'levelized cost of power' for each type of generation plant. According to this article, 'compensation to solar power systems ranges from roughly $0.13/kWh for utility-scale systems to $0.27/kWh for residential systems. Utility, state and municipal rebates and REC purchases can increase those numbers depending on region-specific policies and practices.' Also, 'national average electricity prices — ranging from $0.05/kWh for utility procurement (i.e., wholesale generation) to $0.12/kWh for residential sales.' So the Federal government alone is subsidizing solar at more than 200% the cost of electricity--wow! Does anybody else see a problem with that? Here is the rub. The federal government (and US taxpayer) would do better to just buy the electricity and give it away to other people for free rather than buying them solar panels. That is the unmistakable sign of a power generation technology that is not yet mature.
Cliff Claven
Cliff Claven
October 27, 2012
The first comment that "an income tax deduction does not "cost" taxpayers anything" is completely false. Tax deductions and other forms of forgone revenue are exactly the same as if the money was collected and then spent. They contribute to the budget deficit and to the national debt the same way, and that debt is a very real burden. Instead of the government spending money to maintain and build tangible infrrastucture that would be inherited by our children, we instead have "crumbling bridges and roads" and interest payments that are now larger than the whole defense budget. Any businessman knows that outflows greater than income is a real problem, no matter which side of the balance sheet is being tinkered with.
Richard Leask
Richard Leask
October 26, 2012
My point was that additional taxes more than offset the credit so solar adds to tax revenue. This is not to say that the user doesn't win as well. The user gets tax breaks early on but pays more taxes overall because the electricity expense deduction is lower. The higher taxes are of course more than offset by the savings. If the user saves $1 million in electricity costs and has to pay $340,000 more in taxes, both user and Treasury come out ahead.
DoggyDog World
DoggyDog World
October 26, 2012
Richard, you are double-counting. Yes, a business which buys grid power has an expense which reduces taxable income. But it has no depreciation expense related to that electricity. A solar powered business gets both the tax credit PLUS depreciation. The solar powered biz will often have interest deductions as well. In most situations the solar powered biz gets a much lower tax bill than the grid-powered one.
Richard Leask
Richard Leask
October 26, 2012
This analysis misses some big tax items which result in solar actually generating substantial tax revenue over the life of the system. The energy credit does reduce tax revenues by 30% of system price, but this is more than offset by two other tax items. First all business equipment is eligible for accelerated depreciation so the availability of depreciation is not a subsidy unique to solar In fact, it is less of a subsidy for solar because only 85% of the system price can be depreciated if the energy credit is claimed and less depreciation means more taxable income. Second, solar reduces electricity costs which means a lower expense deduction and more taxable income. Solar typically generates electricity bill savings of about three times the system price over twenty-five years. At a 34% tax rate, that means increased tax revenue about equal to the system price. In other words, a reduced electricity expense deduction and a lower depreciable basis generates about 3.5 times the taxes lost through the credit. Tell me again why this is a subsidy?
ANONYMOUS
October 26, 2012
While I understand this article as a discussion regarding taxpayer support for solar in the U.S., you do a disservice in explaining Germany's FiT program to your readers. Germany's FiT program is supported by all ratepayers in Germany. For 2011 it added 3.53 euro cents per kWh to everyone's bill (it will rise to 3.59 for 2012, and is expected to continue to rise - the FiT surcharge is accumulative with the increasing number of projects paid the FiT), except for those commercial customers who apply for the "Hardship Provision" of the EEG and have a reduction to the EEG charge of 75% (the FiT surcharge is referred to as the EEG charge). One of the reasons why the Bundestag (Germany's parliament) in June of this year (while I was there meeting with energy companies, T&D companies, and the Bundesnetzagentur, or German Energy Regulator) agreed to cap the FiT at 52 GW is due to the concern regarding the increasing costs on ratepayers. The EEG charge reflects the difference in revenues between what energy marketers pay for renewable electricity through the German's energy exchange and what is paid out to generators through the FiT. There is no free lunch here, folks, someone has to foot the bill. Let's make sure we understand all the facts before we go chasing another program that will still need someone to financially support it, be they taxpayers or ratepayers.
JSM @AltWatt
JSM @AltWatt
October 26, 2012
As you state, it is very hard to calculate and good on you for trying.

Perhaps the hardest thing to calculate are the tax credits. Are they subsidies or not? IMO they are, but only sort of. They do reduce tax revenues (which mean those revenues must come from somewhere else or from more debt), however, eliminating them for solar does NOT mean the revenues will be recouped unless ALL tax credits (many of which have nothing to do with renewable energy) are also eliminated. A point that detractors never bring up and which only serves to further complicate matters.
DoggyDog World
DoggyDog World
October 26, 2012
Thanks for tackling this tricky subject. I was under the impression German's FIT was over 50 cents/kWh. I knew they'd reduced it, but never heard it had been cut that much.

Not sure what I think about the adjustment for US solar resource.
randy velker
randy velker
October 26, 2012
I agree with the first commentor. The tax credit is no good at all to the 45% who do not have a tax liability. Of course the "subsidy" costs them nothing, but they can't use it either.

That 45% includes many people who would gladly install solar if they could capture some kind of an incentive.

Those left out of any incentives are non-profits, small/struggling business owners (who typically have multiple deductions already resulting in no/low tax liability, retirees (who are not in their earning years and may have assets but no substantial income)

All of these sit on the sideline watching solar, but not being incentivized to participate.

We should do better.
ANONYMOUS
October 25, 2012
"Many frequently wonder: what is the cost to the taxpayer/ratepayer of the various benefits (federal, state, utility) bestowed on renewable energy projects......"

This question is indeed difficult to answer. First of all, an income tax deduction does not "cost" taxpayers anything. It just reduces the amount of income tax paid by those qualifying for the deduction. However, government subsidy payments do cost taxpayers money.

The more important thing to consider is the actual cost burden to each taxpayer, rather than an average. The US federal income tax rates are extremely progressive. Around 45% of Americans currently have no net annual federal income tax liability, so even federal subsidy payments would essentially cost them nothing.

While one can appreciate the effort by the author to quantify these costs, in my opinion he falls a bit short.

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Michael Mendelsohn

Michael Mendelsohn

Michael Mendelsohn is a Senior Analyst with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s project finance team and expert in PV and CSP financing. His expertise spans 20 years and encompasses various aspects of renewable energy technologies,...
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