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German Coal-Fired Generation of Electricity Falls While Renewable Generation Rises

Paul Gipe, Contributor
October 04, 2012  |  9 Comments

German use of coal to generate electricity has declined steadily from 1990 to 2011, according to readily available statistics on the German electricity system. The percentage of coal-fired electricity in German electricity generation has fallen from 56.7% in 1990 to 43.5% last year — a decrease of more than 10% despite a increase in total electricity generation during the same period of about 10%. At the same time the share of renewable energy in the electricity mix has increased from 3.6% to 19.9%, mostly due to the rapid development of wind energy and biomass.

It's necessary to make this statement short and succinct because, if anyone has missed it, there's a presidential election campaign in full swing here in the USA. And with it is a full-on, no-holds-barred propaganda war against renewables.

Weekly — if not more often — a new broadside appears and makes the rounds of generally right-wing blogs and talk shows. The latest talking point is that Germany is burning more coal than ever because of all the intermittent renewables that have been added to the system.

So, let's have some fun with numbers and separate fact from fiction.

First, the source. All the data I'll use comes from the Work Group on the German Energy Balance (Arbeitsgemeinschaft Energiebilanzen) and can be downloaded from their web site.

There are others sources of this data. This happens to be one that I could find easily, the data was relatively concise, and it was in spreadsheet form.

Ideally, I would put all the information on one chart, but this much to busy to easily read and comprehend. Consequently, I've broken the data down into a series of charts.

Summary

German renewable generation now exceeds generation from hard coal and generation from nuclear.

Total renewable generation was less than brown coal in 2011. However, at last year's pace of growth, renewable generation may exceed that from brown coal by 2015.

German Electricity Generation

Total German electricity generation increased from 550 TWh in 1990 to 615 TWh in 2011. Generation peaked just before the financial collapse in 2007 at 637 TWh.

In sum, Germany generated 65 TWh more electricity in 2011 than in 1990, an increase of nearly 12%.

That's not a positive, just a fact. Germany will have to do better at cutting consumption for the energy revolution to be successful. Fortunately, German politicians realize this. Whether they take the actions necessary to reduce consumption is part of the current debate in Germany.

German Net Exports of Electricity

I am using the term "generation" of electricity here rather than "consumption" of electricity, because Germany, like France and other European countries, both imports and exports electricity to meet the demand of its consumers.

In the case of Germany, generation exceeds consumption. Yes, that's right. Despite the claims, Germany exports electricity to neighboring countries--including France.

Thus "consumption" is less than "generation" in Germany for 2011 and for many other years as well.

Net exports declined in 2011 but they still remained a positive 6 TWh or 1% of generation. Net exports have remained positive during the first six months of 2012 as well.

German Coal-Fired Generation Declines

Brown coal-fired generation has decreased about 10% during the past two decades, falling from 170 TWh in 1990 to 150 TWh in 2011.

Hard coal generation has fallen even more, slightly less than 20%, from 140 TWh to 115 TWh last year.

Overall, total coal-fired generation has fallen 14% from 310 TWh to 270 TWh.

Coal-fired generation made up 43.5% of generation in 2011, down from 56.7% in 1990.

Results for the first half of 2012 indicate that coal-fired generation may have increased slightly (~8%) above last year's generation, according to the Fraunhofer Institute.

If confirmed for the full year, this would return coal-fired generation to the level just prior to the worldwide financial collapse in 2007. However, this data is only for the first six months of the year and may not be indicative for the full year. Europe suffered through one of the coldest February's on record this year and this may have cause a temporary bump in coal-fired generation. See Renewables Helped France Avoid Freezing in the Dark.

Moreover, the source for this data is not the same source as I've used. Those who work with statistics on electricity generation and consumption know that it's no simple matter working with data from different sources. We probably won't know until late next year how much coal-fired generation was actually produced in Germany this year.

Nuclear Generation Down

It has now been more than a year since Germany announced (again) that it was phasing out nuclear power (30 May 2011) and immediately closed eight reactors permanently.

However, it is not widely known that German nuclear generation was already in decline. At the time of the conservative government's announcement in 2011, two reactors had already been off line for several years.

Nuclear generation increased from 150 TWh in 1990 to a peak of 170 TWh in 2001. Generation began to fall off steeply in 2006 and dramatically declined after 2008.

Since 1990, nuclear generation has fallen nearly 30% to 110 TWh by the end of 2011 .

Renewable Generation Up

Total renewable generation during the past two decades has risen dramatically--in real terms. Of course that is the message that the steady drumbeat of anti-renewables stories are trying to drown out.

Total renewable generation increased from 20 TWh in 1990 to 120 TWh in 2011 with most of that growth taking place since the introduction of Germany's Renewable Energy Sources Act (Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz, or the EEG) in 2000.

Total renewables generation now exceeds nuclear generation, 110 TWh, generation with hard coal, 115 TWh, and gas-fired generation, 84 TWh.

Existing hydro accounted for nearly 4% of supply in 1990 and by the end of 2011 total renewable generation had increased five times to nearly 20% of generation.

Most of the growth in renewable generation came from wind energy and biomass, but solar photovoltaics (solar PV) contributed nearly 20 TWh in 2011 or about 16% of total renewable generation.

Solar already rivals existing hydro in Germany and solar PV's contribution is increasing dramatically. In 2011 it supplied 3% of total generation in Germany and is expected to reach 4% or more of total generation in 2012.

Only brown coal generates more electricity in Germany, 150 TWh, than renewables.

Lead image: Charts via Shutterstock

9 Comments

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tom clark
tom clark
October 6, 2012
Didn't I just read last week in a German energy periodical that there
are 1200 coal fired stations on the drawing board across the world -I believe 26 of them are in Germany. That is just on the drawing boards - there are many more in various states of construction.
Germany is closing down its own nuclear fleet and replacing it with coal not wind or solar power. In the meantime they are a net importer purchasing Nuclear generated power from France as well as ancient stations stations in the Czech Republic.
ANONYMOUS
October 6, 2012
Technically, the charts report generation of electricity from various sources (with natural gas notably missing) but if one really wanted to evaluate the claim that "The latest talking point is that Germany is burning more coal than ever because of all the intermittent renewables" you would need to report the amount of coal (and natural gas, where the claim is more likely to be true) used because when a plant is in standby mode you can be burning fuel without generating any electricity. Political talking points often miss the mark though--the real problem is that Germany has decided to dramatically decrease production for relatively clean nuclear power instead of a sharp decrease in the use of coal.

The author also says: "In the case of Germany, generation exceeds consumption. Yes, that's right. Despite the claims, Germany exports electricity to neighboring countries--including France."

This is a misleading statement. The electricity market in Europe involves lots of imports and exports to help balance demand so there are times when Germany exports to France, but exports from France to Germany are much larger than exports from Germany to France. Thus, France is the NET exporter of electricity in the Germany-France submarket. German net exports in 2011 were down sharply even though their nuclear shutdowns occurred midyear. The further drop in nuclear generation--if the phaseout occurs on schedule--is almost certainly going to make Germany a net importer of electricity, even though it is building several new coal plant.
Steven
Peter Bradshaw
Peter Bradshaw
October 6, 2012
Very interesting and encouraging. Let us hope that the rest of the world will follow the German example.
Zoran Oštri?
Zoran Oštri?
October 5, 2012
German plan is 35% renewable electricity in 2020, 80% in 2050.
http://www.germanenergyblog.de/?page_id=283

A new 2200 MW coal (lignite) fired-plant opened this August. It is planed to produce 16 TWh/a.
http://fossilfuel.energy-business-review.com/news/rwe-commissions-2200mw-coal-fired-plant-in-germany-170812

Bloomberg commented: "Germany's increasing coal consumption is part of a global return to the fossil fuel that's cheaper than most alternatives."
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-19/merkel-s-green-shift-forces-germany-to-burn-more-coal-energy.html

However, some old coal-fired plants are decomisioned. Environmental minister said a new plant will actually reduce CO2-emisions, for it's more efficient than older models. "If one builds a new state-of-the-art lignite power plant to replace several older and much less efficient plants, then I feel this should also be acknowledged as a contribution to our climate protection efforts," Mr. Altmaier said.
http://www.4-traders.com/RWE-AG-436529/news/RWE-AG-Environment-Minister-Germany-Needs-More-Coal-Gas-Power-Plants-14461100/

"Der Spiegel" magazine comment: "Flexible Fossils - A New Role for Coal in German Energy Revolution". Flexibillity, to make coal compatible with intermittent wind and sun, as like as natural gas is.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/new-coal-fired-plants-could-be-key-to-german-energy-revolution-a-854335.html

RWE Company: "The expansion of power generation based on renewables means that increasing volumes of fluctuating energy are fed into the power grid. To counteract this effect, it is of particular importance that research and development are geared towards developing new solutions for a flexible operation of fossil-fired power plants."
http://www.rwe.com/web/cms/en/183542/rwe/innovation/projects-technologies/power-generation/fossil-fired-power-plants/
Gerry Wootton
Gerry Wootton
October 5, 2012
@davidcarl - good point. The usual back-of-the-envelope calculation typically uses the wholesale price. By the time you add distribution charges, markups, loss adjustments, system operator fees, connection charges, service fees, production taxes, consumption taxes, excise taxes and special funds, the customer cost is much higher. That being said, sales taxes generally sit on top and magnify all the other taxes and tolls. It's really not possible to compare rates until you understand the entire tax and toll structure for each jurisdiction (even within one country). Often price structures are non-linear so just using the average customer consumption produces a coarse result. When available, knowing retail sales and applicable sales taxes is the way to get a decent number quickly.
My own most irksome charge is the fee I pay for the utility to collect electronic data from the meter, I was made to purchase, at a rate that is ~2,000,000X the cost of the data service used. This, of course, doubles with a PPA. Then, I pay sales tax on this larceny.
Gerry Wootton
Gerry Wootton
October 5, 2012
Just as we expected - renewable energy is a total scam ... not! Good article.
One of the subtexts might be that cheap coal is hard to wean off of even if you're motivated.
Germany's growth in consumption from 1990 works out to ~0.3%/a on a per-capita basis - not bad since that included boosting the East German economy. I would expect the shorter term trend of negative growth in consumption per-capita to continue as a result of German energy conservation programs and implementation of the EC EcoDesign directive.
David Carl
David Carl
October 5, 2012
energy.eu says Germans pay about 27 cents (US) per kwhr. I am sure (yes I am guessing) I large portion of the price difference between Germany and the US is how European countries tax energy, not specifically any taxes mant to encourage the use of renewables.
DoggyDog World
DoggyDog World
October 5, 2012
Thanks for the article. Coal still dominates at 270 TWh vs. 120 for all renewables combined and 110 for nuclear, but your graphs make the trendlines quite clear.

Any data on how much Germans pay for electricity relative to the US?
ANONYMOUS
October 5, 2012
Thanks for this. Though we far behind Germany the UK's renewable energy production has been at record level in the first two quarters as was overall EU figure for the second quarter of this year.

http://www.theoillamp.co.uk/

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Paul Gipe

Paul Gipe

Paul Gipe has written extensively about renewable energy for both the popular and trade press. He has also lectured widely on wind energy and how to minimize its impact on the environment and the communities of which it is a part. For his...
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