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India Set To Replicate its IT Sector Success with Solar Energy

Bhupesh Trivedi
August 27, 2012  |  10 Comments

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India is set to replicate its information technology (IT) sector success in solar energy. With every known business entity exploring its own agenda in the solar energy sector, the country is already at the starting point of an energy revolution.

All prominent Indian companies have either set up their wholly-owned solar energy subsidiaries or have gone in for joint ventures or have set up solar energy divisions within their existing operations. The predominant business model being pursued by them currently is of grid-tied project development.

However, as more avenues open up for captive and REC-driven solar power projects, business entities are seeing more value in getting ready for the next wave. (RECs are renewable energy certificates that have become tradable commodities on India’s different power exchanges.)

The private business sector is gearing up for solar energy even though there is an almost policy paralysis with the central government, while different state governments have slowed down or postponed their policy initiatives. Most companies have set up small teams, seeking to explore opportunities in off-grid, micro-grid and roof-top applications to serve the larger private consumer market.

These opportunities are small in terms of ticket-size, but these are enabling all new entrants to test technologies, processes and their people. Gaining experience through pilot projects seems to be the underlying thought.

And, it is not only in the PV space that this activity is happening. Companies are finding solar thermal, particularly heat and steam applications, too to be exciting opportunities. Roof-top solar water heaters, one of the oldest availably solar solutions, are now increasingly becoming a USP (unique selling position) for residential property developers to offer to their prospective customers. The property developers on their part are forming joint ventures with technologists to gain a share in a market that will surely see exponential growth in the years to come.

Among the predominant and already-known entrants are the Reliance business groups, Lanco Infratech, Moser-Baer, Tatas and BHEL. But, other corporate houses like that of automobile major Mahindra, finance major Welspun, finance major Kotak and the Birla group too have taken long bets on the solar energy sector.

International majors like First Solar, juwi, abakus Solar, Bosch Solar, DelSolar, EMMVEE and SCHOTT are also among those who have taken long bets on the Indian market. Some of such players, who are largely equipment manufacturers or suppliers in the other markets, are even keen to become project developers in a country where more than 30 percent of the population is still without any grid-supplied power.

Dedicated and recently-promoted solar companies include Azure Power, Waaree, GreenBrilliance, Vikram Solar and Indosolar. If I took the time to list the scores of other newly established regional players, you might think that the market is already over-crowded – all are waiting for the solar energy wave to come in.

The above phenomenon is largely reminiscent of the early part of 1990s when almost all business entities in India stepped into the information technology (IT), or more specifically software services, arena. The dotcom boom of the late 90s and parallel offshoring of various service jobs placed Indian’s IT sector among the world majors.

The current euphoria, however, is not without its own set of challenges and risks. The number of marketing and sales CVs that have started getting shared through emails proves that at this time business is not a brisk as was expected. These CVs are not only of those professionals who are wishing to enter the solar sector, but also of professionals who claim to have at least a couple of years of experience in India’s solar project development space.

Nevertheless, as awareness rises, as conventional power becomes costlier and as power shortages increase, the demand for solar power will rise. And this day is certainly not far off.

Lead image: Sihouette Taj Mahal via Shutterstock

10 Comments

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Bhupesh Trivedi
Bhupesh Trivedi
August 30, 2012
Am happy to read the comments. My comments in response to some of these:
Dinesh-Madan and lee-gee: Profitability is important for making sustainable investments. I think adding power generation capacities is the core priority of the day. The rest are not as important as enough is being/has been done for other sector. The 'fancy projects' in solar have created awareness and brought in more investments from the private sector.
MaheshBhave: Even if it is after a couple of decades, I look forward to the day when people will carry their solar power source in their pockets.
amalik4949: Agreed that IT was exported and didn't have to deal with bureaucracy/corruption. For solar, the latter will surely remain. On the positive side, the domestic market is so large that it can sustain all existing solar companies of the world.
e-v-r-sastry-38156: Yes - it is just one point, that tonnes of money is waiting in the queue to be invested. This capital will actually get deployed when the sector becomes fairly independent of government policies.
Bob_Wallace: Diesel-replacement, gas-based captive power plants replacement and off-grid/micro-grid market segments are fairly government-independent and these can really be market-changing in their own right. I continue to emphasise on solar companies in India to invest in demo projects across the country and consider it as a marketing expense to generate awareness/build brands. I wish there were more takers. :)
Bob Wallace
Bob Wallace
August 29, 2012
"A key difference from the IT sector is that solar power development is highly dependent on government policies, including physical targets, feed-in tariffs, domestic content requirements, RPO targets, etc. "

Perhaps not. Diesel is used in India to generate electricity and that is an expensive way to get the job done. A village or small town that uses diesel to power their local grid isn't likely to pay too much attention to government policies if someone can show them a way to save money. Get some successful installations in place and the word will spread quickly.

--

A lot of people use kerosene and candles to light their off-the-grid houses. Some walk for hours or put their cell phone on the bus to reach a place where they can get a charge.

There are now programs that let them purchase a tiny solar system with LED lighting/phone charging and pay for it over time using the money saved from kero/candle purchases.

Solar is likely to move faster than the IT sector did. It's not dependent on large systems like establishing web connections. And it's not a new expense, it's a savings.
Bob Wallace
Bob Wallace
August 29, 2012
When I was last in Nepal I saw small solar water heating factories being run out buildings the size of our walk-in closets. Guys were out front on the sidewalk with metal shears and basic metal-bending brakes. They were making simple metal boxes, attaching metal tubing inside, soldering everything together with irons heated in charcoal burners or with blow torches. Paint the innards black and install a glass front plate and you've got a basic water heater.

Lots of metal smiths in India making storage containers, the skills are widely distributed. Perhaps if there was a wide dissemination of the methods this could be a technology that could take off at the village level.
E.V.R. Sastry
E.V.R. Sastry
August 29, 2012
The article makes just one point - that a number of companies have entered the solar energy field in recent years, among them some big industrial houses. It ignores the reality that while solar power projects are multiplying, several Indian manufacturers have either closed production or are operating at well below their capacity, unable to compete with low cost imports. Exports have also fallen drastically compared to 2008. Quite a few power projects seem to be having trouble achieving financial closure, given the low tariffs, falling rupee and high interest rates.

A key difference from the IT sector is that solar power development is highly dependent on government policies, including physical targets, feed-in tariffs, domestic content requirements, RPO targets, etc. While a large market looms ahead, there are also pitfalls and uncertainties.
A Malik
A Malik
August 29, 2012
Interesting article. Misses the key point though. IT output was essentially 'exported' and did not have to deal with the bureaucracy (and corruption) endemic in India. And the cap costs are a few orders of magnitude greater. MaheshBhave's hope that "the overall economics of PV solar, panels and balance of systems, improves by a few orders of magnitude" is hopefully a dream out of 'hope' rather than ignorance. The problem these projects have is that the hardware could become 'free' (as transistors are now) and yet the labor and support component will keep rising. These concepts (of wider adoption of solar-PV etc) may be better 'tested' out in smaller bites in smaller markets. But as Nehru said: "I dont have a day to give. I need it now." That attitude comes with its own risks, which are usually borne by the taxpayers.
Mahesh Bhave
Mahesh Bhave
August 28, 2012
A fine, timely article. In addition to grid-tied solar, I hope PV sprouts up on rural households and on urban building roofs much as TV antennas once did - distributed generation, micro-grids, community power. Given the scale of India's needs, I hope the overall economics of PV solar, panels and balance of systems, improves by a few orders of magnitude. While I am hopeful, I must say the solar PV market is still in the latent phase in India - the "chasm" has to be crossed (in Geoffrey Moore's words) to reach the mass market.
Gopal Darbari
Gopal Darbari
August 28, 2012
Nice presentation, but lacked the juice to indicate how and why of such growth. However, it contained number of useful inputs, compiled at one place. Govt. of India has got into a loop of big players, both Indian and foreign, who have encourged them to go for mega watt power projects, ignoring completely the needs of Off Grid Lighting users in Rural India, where grid connectivity is a distant dream, Electricity could not be distributed in 64 years of Indian independence in rural india. In my openion, Govt. should share their fund and plans between Off Grid and Grid connected system. Govt. should encourage equally (not necessarily 50:50)both sectors., then only real Solar will grow in India. Current Solar power purchase agreement with megawatt power plants is higher than the current power tariff charged by many power companies. If this is the senerio on power tariff, will the rural populace of India be able to afford these higher tariff, even if Govt. arranges distribution network. It is a complex process needs to be looked in carefully. In my openion, Off Grid Lighting has its own place for rural India, and Grid connected power plants are for national industrial growth.
lee gee
lee gee
August 28, 2012
Good business is doing the most good for the least investment. Deciding based on economic viability is just economics 101.

If solar is less expensive then it should be employed. And vice versa.

Pity to squander money on fancy projects that a nation doesn't need or cant afford.

Better to profit more and spend that money on better and more education and improved health. Oh, and a higher standard of living.
dinesh madan
dinesh madan
August 28, 2012
Great! i wish it becomes possible to achieve the success like IT sector. However, it appears the companies entering in this area no where near, in term of corporate governance, to the companies in IT sector. I think companies aiming only profitability as objective without any core interest for this sector may end up providing this sector in the wrong hands.
Anumakonda Jagadeesh
Anumakonda Jagadeesh
August 28, 2012
I have been advocating IT Companies also to go green like Google. It Companies being profit earners on a large scale can diversify into Renewables also.

Dr.A.Jagadeesh Nellore(AP),India
Wind Energy Expert
E-mail: anumakonda.jagadeesh@gmail.com

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Bhupesh Trivedi

Bhupesh Trivedi

Bhupesh Trivedi is the CEO of Mumbai-based solar power consulting firm REECODE Energy Solutions. He has spoken at a few climate change and solar power conferences in India and consulted solar investors, EPC contractors and vendors in India....
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