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As Drought Worsens, Food Institute Calls on U.S. to Halt Ethanol Production

Luzi Ann Javier, Bloomberg
August 14, 2012  |  15 Comments

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A global food crisis may "hit us very soon" as a drought ravages corn crops in the U.S., the world's largest grower, the International Food Policy Research Institute said.

Governments must act to prevent the crisis, Shenggen Fan, director-general of the institute, said today. The U.S. should end its biofuel program that uses 40 percent of its corn output, to boost supplies to meat producers, Fan said. The Washington- based institute, supported by governments and international organizations, is part of the Agricultural Market Information System formed by the United Nations to monitor food costs.

“The major problem is policy,” Fan said today in an interview with Susan Li on Bloomberg Television’s “First Up”. “Biofuel production has to be stopped. That actually pushed global food prices higher and many poor people, particularly women and children, have suffered.”

The price of corn, used in everything from food to livestock feed to sweeteners, surged to a record $8.49 a bushel on Aug. 10 and is up 57 percent since June 15. That helped drive up global food inflation tracked by the UN’s Food & Agriculture Organization 6.2 percent in July from a month earlier, the biggest monthly jump since November 2009.

Corn gained as the worst Midwest drought in half a century cut yields in a nation that produced 36 percent of the 2011-2012 world harvest and accounted for 39 percent of global trade in the grain, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Ethanol Mandate

Jose Graziano da Silva, director-general of the FAO, called for a suspension of U.S. government-mandated ethanol production to allow more of the crop to be used for food and livestock feed, the Financial Times reported Aug. 10.

Twenty-five U.S. senators and 156 members of the House of Representatives have called on the Environmental Protection Agency to halt or lower the mandate on how much ethanol the country must use this year and the next.

About 4.5 billion bushels (114.3 million metric tons) of corn was to be used in U.S. ethanol production in the year beginning Sept. 1, the USDA estimates. That’s almost as much as the combined forecast output in Argentina, Brazil and Ukraine, the three biggest shippers after the U.S., and more than global imports of 90.86 million tons estimated by the USDA for the year beginning Oct. 1.

Countries including India and China must release their food stockpiles to help the poor cope with rising costs, and governments must refrain from imposing export bans to prevent a repeat of the global food crisis in 2008, Fan said.

U.S. and French officials plan to hold a conference call in the last week of August to decide whether to organize a meeting of the Group of 20 officials to discuss surging grain and soybean prices, the French Agriculture Ministry said yesterday.

“If we don’t take urgent quick action, another crisis will hit us very soon,” Fan said. “Governments, the global institutions like the FAO, the World Bank, and the G-20 need to monitor the situation, the prices, production, trade and certain policies.”

Copyright 2012 Bloomberg

15 Comments

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Gernot Trolf
Gernot Trolf
August 24, 2012
This is just one of the reasons the U.S. should look to Algae to Fuel projects. Algae are the most abundant and prolific organisms on Earth and will produce up to 25 times as much oil as palms. Bio Lipidos de Puerto Rico is such a project and is ready to start production.
Senior funding in place.
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Gernot Trolf
Gernot@aatic.com
Thor Williams
Thor Williams
August 24, 2012
The real answer is one that most people won't like enough so as to let others starve to death- eat the corn instead of eating cow or chicken or whatever. Since the corn they're using isn't fit for human consumption, nothing can be done about it this year. Let the farmers have time to plan for next year and the ethanol producers time to find a new feedstock. Cut the mandates for higher and higher levels of ethanol to just what is needed to raise the octane level up to whatever is needed. Stop subsidizing the ethanol industry; if gas prices go up a little, then drivers will just have to deal with it. Pay at the pump instead of in your income tax.
Cliff Claven
Cliff Claven
August 22, 2012
1. The truth is that ethanol is more expensive than gasoline, even after paying more than $6B a year since 2005 in total corn ethanol subsidies and with continuing farm subsidies and a guaranteed market mandated by the RFS and EPA. Look up what E-85 costs, CORRECTED FOR MPG, compared to premium gasoline on AAA's Daily Fuel Gauge Report (http://fuelgaugereport.opisnet.com/index.asp ). 2. Corn Ethanol in the final analysis is a way to burn 4.7 tons of fossil fuel and consume 2.7 million gallons of water and emit 16 tons of CO2 for a net gain of 5.5 tons of DDGS. There is no net gain in liquid fuel as the ethanol produced only displaces the fuel energy in the diesel and gasoline and coal which is used to make the fertilizer and pesticide and herbicide and fuel the machinery and provide electricity and heat to the mills and distilleries. We have a much, much better way to generate high-protein animal feed. It's called soy. 3. Yet another inconvenient truth is that all cultivated agriculture competes with all other cultivated agriculture. Every cultivated biofuel competes with food agriculture for land, water, agri-chemicals, farm equipment, transportation, financing, etc. Labels such as 'Gen2' or 'Advanced' are merely Orwellian attempts to hide the truth and assuage investor consciences. This has been studied to death and validated in scores of lifecycle studies and the resulting increases to food prices documented around the world. A united front of more than a dozen international aid agencies led by the WHO and UN FAO have formally petitioned the G20 to drop all renewable fuel mandates. The myth that cultivated biofuels are 'clean and green' is one of the great hoaxes of modern politics.
Sandy Caruso
Sandy Caruso
August 15, 2012
A global food crisis may "hit us very soon" as a drought ravages corn crops in the U.S., the world's largest grower, the International Food Policy Research Institute said.



"Governments must act to prevent the crisis, Shenggen Fan, director-general of the institute, said today. The U.S. should end its biofuel program that uses 40 percent of its corn output, to boost supplies to meat producers, Fan said. The Washington- based institute, supported by governments and international organizations, is part of the Agricultural Market Information System formed by the United Nations to monitor food costs."

Thanks be to the author of this article, Luzi Ann Javier. This is RIGHT on the money only it is worse than what is being reported from the perspective of a livestock owner/breeder/rancher/farmer. The ranchers are having to bring their cattle off the mountain 2 months earlier because there is NO feed. Forest fires, lack of rain and general drought conditions are wreaking havoc. Corn is selling for $11.00 per bushel in our area IF you can find it to buy.

It is time to suspend the government ethanol mandate. Better yet get rid of the EPA. They are OUT of touch with reality.
Sandy Caruso
Sandy Caruso
August 15, 2012
@ anonymous " Based on this, I would guess that there is plenty of corn available for ethanol production without impacting food production."

Unfortunately you are wrong in your assumption. The following article reveals the impact the drought has had on world food prices.
This is not just a local problem; this is a global problem. http://www.agweb.com/article/concern_over_global_food_prices_escalates/

Now, might I shed some light on this VERY serious problem from the perspective as a livestock owner/breeder/farmer/rancher as well as owner of a solar company. There is an old saying wheat is the staple for man. Not so in this day and age. Corn has definitely taken it's place. The current drought across the nation has caused farmers and ranchers to 'dump' their cattle in record numbers. The local farmers livestock auction usually sells 300-400 head per week. They have been selling 700-800 per week instead. This is the norm across the nation especially in the south. Texas is still reeling from the worst drought in a century. Cattle have died in record numbers due to lack of water in their 'tanks' and no feed. Those ranchers who could save their cattle sold them to avoid having them starve or die of thirst. The processing plants had a 6 week waiting period to slaughter the cattle brought to them. Those cattle have to be fed while they are waiting to be processed for human consumption. That takes CORN...and hay. The strain of no water and no feed (CORN)has taken it's toll. Texas produces 60% of our beef.

Elsewhere in feedlots in Colorado, Nebraska, Kansas, and Colorado the same scenario is be played out. We're are not only looking at a CORN shortage in this country, we're looking at a FOOD shortage, ie: NO beef, pork, chicken or dairy- since they ALL require CORN. This is just around the corner. Which brings us back to the fact our congressional leaders have mandated we put CORN in our fuel tanks. Idiotic! We can live without fuel, we can't live without FOOD!
Howard Johnson
Howard Johnson
August 15, 2012
brian-h is exactly right.
The ethanol replaces MTBE which replaced LEAD.
ANONYMOUS
August 15, 2012
It seems to me that people are missing the main point about this drought. While it has hurt corn production by about 10% or so, the real impact is to cause about THREE-QUARTERS of the corn crop to be in the very poor, poor, or fair categories. You're not going to eat this poor-quality corn, but it's fine to use for cattle feed or fuel.

Based on this, I would guess that there is plenty of corn available for ethanol production without impacting food production. In fact, the ethanol industry may help out the corn farmers on this one. Also, there's already a glut of ethanol out there, so I don't think there's going to me a major amount of ethanol production as the corn harvest comes in ... most ethanol producers are reducing production as their profit margin disappears.

All this tells me that this "food vs. fuel" debate is probably misguided and wrong.
Gernot Trolf
Gernot Trolf
August 15, 2012
There is absolutely no need to use corn to produce ethanol. Today's technology can produce fuel from algae at a higher rate than corn.
Algae produces pure vegetable oil that can be further refined to diesel like oil and be used to produce power when almost clean burned.
Contact us for details. www.aatic.com
Edward Crosby
Edward Crosby
August 15, 2012
I suggest we take some of the land farmers are being paid not to farm and plant hemp to be used as a feedstock for biofuel. As I understand it takes less water, less pesticide, less fertilizer and produces more feedstock per acre and will produce many other valuable products.

There is not legitimate reason for growing hemp to be illegal and it grows like a weed because it is one.
Sandy Caruso
Sandy Caruso
August 15, 2012
Finally, someone with common sense to halt the foolishness of putting FOOD in gas tanks. Now congressional leaders just need to
do away with the mandate. There are far better sources for fuel than FOOD!
Bill Brandon
Bill Brandon
August 15, 2012
To mandate or to not mandate, that is the very, very complicated question. It appears that the FAO and the Food Institute do not understand the "very, very commplicated" aspect of this question. First, everyone should click on the link provided by Brian-h. Whlile there may be some misleading statements in this article, it does show the interrelated aspects of corn production. On the whole, the mandate and increased ethanol production has ben very good for the country. But more basic than that, tinkering with the mandate is not a short term solution. A good short term solution may be letting a few more 2010 RINs into the market for 2012. (Counting ethanol produced in 2010 in excess of the mandate to count for 2012). There is also significant stocks of ethanol and 2011 RINS that can be used to meet the mandate. The mandate is flexible. But even if the mandate were to be totally canceled, it would have little effect because fuel producers rely on ethanol for octane and oxygenation needs. (Oil refiners can't turn on a dime as to their refining ratios.) The market is doing its job as to rationing supply. High prices in the time of low supply is a reality of a capital economy. If the government wants to take action that is more community oriented, they need to set up those stuctures, but the mandate is serving us all well in general and should not be fooled with. B Brandon
Brian H
Brian H
August 15, 2012
We should also stop using valuable land in our cities for parks and lawns and streets when we could be growing corn for cows. It's just silly that we are wasting all those resources on non-food.
Brett G
Brett G
August 15, 2012
So is the recommendation only to stop using corn to make fuel for cars or is it to stop using food to make booze also. Have to set priorities, right?
William Fitch
William Fitch
August 14, 2012
Hi: How about implementing an alternative to corn ethanol. Their are other, far more efficient yields out there for the taking....

.....Bill
Brian H
Brian H
August 14, 2012
Good article, but the 40%-for-ethanol is a little misleading, as 1/3 of that goes back into the feed supply as DDGS. "Last year the amount of distillers grains produced was more than the total amount of grain consumed by all the beef cattle in American feedlots."

SOURCE: http://domesticfuel.com/2012/08/10/10-ways-ethanol-is-helping-livestock-producers/

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