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Don't Miss The Great Solar Debate: Where Does the Global Solar Industry Stand? Click Here to Register! ×

Two Years In, SunShot Steadfast In Its Solar Mission

Steve Leone, Associate Editor, RenewableEnergyWorld.com
June 15, 2012  |  10 Comments

Ramamoorthy Ramesh is a man in a hurry. As the director of the Department of Energy's SunShot Initiative, he hears the clock ticking as the program inches toward its mission to slash the installed costs of solar 75 percent by the end of the decade.

Two years into this ambitious program, Ramesh and his staff are still guided by the dual principles of zero-subsidy solar and that looming 2020 target.

“There is a sense of urgency because the stakes are so high,” said Ramesh during an interview ahead of the program’s gathering this week in Denver, Colo.

In an industry often judged by yesterday’s stock prices, quarterly installation numbers and incremental increases in efficiency, Ramesh’s role is to take a holistic, multi-year view of the industry, whose value he says will extend well into the trillions of dollars. What are the challenges, where are the bottlenecks and what are the technologies that will make solar a free-standing industry that will produce 15 to 18 percent of America’s electricity generation by 2030? And how can the program better align America’s growing installation capacity with its shrinking manufacturing base?

The SunShot Initiative is trying the elicit the same national focus that was launched by President Kennedy’s challenge to land a man on the moon by the end of the 1960s. That became a movement defined equally by innovation and pride. The SunShot Initiative certainly won’t ascend to that level in the national consciousness, but those politically invested in the program — from the White House on down — are looking to mirror the moon landing’s successes in linking new technologies with American manufacturing and buying power.

The DOE’s SunShot Initiative is working to do this as well, and it’s looking at more than just the crystalline silicon panels that are currently dominating the industry. What it’s seeking are those high-risk, high-reward technologies and models that challenge conventional wisdom and redefine the possibilities of the American solar market.

The program, with a $310 million budget planned for next year, is looking at many options, from lowering costs for concentrating solar power (CSP), concentrated photovoltaics (CPV) and all sorts of thin films to re-examining financing and policy models. But it’s doing so in a way far different that the program’s much maligned loan guarantee program. Rather than pump large sums to private companies to effectively scale-up, the SunShot directs smaller amounts of cash to national laboratories and academic institutions as well as private companies — all with the goal of reducing installed solar’s bottom line.

This is all being done against the backdrop of political reality. Organizations like the Heartland Institute have criticized the program as another example of “solar getting a handout,” and it’s unlikely the program would receive a vote of confidence from a Romney Administration. So with that in mind, the initiative is in even a greater hurry to prove its effectiveness and to chart a viable course toward its stated $1 a watt installation goals.

In the past few days alone — as it geared up for a two-year update of sorts in Denver — the program announced a series of endeavors that could drive cost reduction in manufacturing, financing and installation. And in typical SunShot fashion, it’s done so in a way that unites stakeholders through a shared vision. Here are three recent projects that underscore the diversity of the program's approach.

Manufacturing: Competition Through Cooperation

A winner of a SunShot investment in 2011, The U.S. Photovoltaic Manufacturing Consortium (PVMC), an industry-led coalition that will create a roadmap for thin-film CIGS technology, announced this week its leadership team while further detailing its plans to unite the supply chain.

The technology that uses copper indium gallium selenide lags far behind crystalline silicon in terms of market share, but companies like Japan’s Solar Frontier are starting to make a dent. The new group aims to bring together companies and organizations, from labs and material makers to module producers, integrators and utilities.

To help CIGS catch up to low-cost panels coming out of China, the group is turning to some leaders with deep experience in the solar space — Alain Kaloyeros of the College of Nanoscale Science and Engineering; Dan Armbrust, President and CEO of SEMATECH; Larry Kazmerski, Director of the National Center for Photovoltaics at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL); Joseph Laia, most recently President and CEO of American CIGS manufacturer Miasole; and Richard Swanson, founder and current president emeritus at SunPower.

“One important objective of PVMC is to build leadership around roadmapping to establish the disciplines of financial and cost modeling, strategic planning and other long-term activities for CIGS PV manufacturing and applications,” said Armbrust. “PVMC will take a lead role in bringing in the entire industry supply chain to collaborate in defining critical challenges and potential solutions for over the next decade.”

The collaboration will be headquartered at the College of Nanoscale Science and Engineering (CNSE) of the University at Albany in New York.

Installation Costs: The $2 A Watt Challenge

The big headlines tend to come with the major utility-scale announcements. These mammoth projects have come to define much of the American solar industry, and in fact they could turn out to be the legacy of the Department of Energy’s Loan Guarantee Program.

Rooftop solar, though, remains a vital component of the mix and it is in many way the best approach for bringing solar into the living rooms of everyday Americans. But there are pricing challenges, and right now the installed costs of solar are hovering around $6 a watt, a figure much higher than the installed costs we’re seeing for commercial and utility-scale installations.

To address this, the SunShot Initiative just unveiled a $10 million rooftop challenge. The issues are complex, but the premise of the competition is simple: The money will go to the first three teams that install 5,000 small-scale (defined as up to 15 kW) rooftop solar systems at an average price of $2 per watt or less by the end of 2014. If that target isn’t reached, then the money will be returned to the United States Department of Treasury.

Financing: Everyone Pitches In

Panels and balance of systems play a huge roll in the overall cost of solar. But soft costs are increasingly being seen as an area where serious gains could be made. According to Energy Secretary Steven Chu, these costs associated with permitting and financing can make up about 25 percent of a system’s actual price tag.

As someone with a deep technology background, Ramesh says he’s increasingly aware of how financing drives solar costs. For its part, the DOE is working to reshape the solar financing landscape. "Financing is a major part of getting the cost of solar down. There is a huge difference between borrowing at 12 percent versus 10 percent versus 8 percent,” said Chu.

SunShot recently awarded a $2 million grant to a new company that is working to take solar mainstream by building an online crowdfunding platform to drive individual investment.

California-based Mosaic, which recently raised $2.5 million in venture capital, says it will make it easier for homeowners, business and community groups to invest in solar projects. During the company’s first phase, hundreds of individual investors funded more than $350,000 to complete five rooftop solar projects in California and Arizona with a combined capacity of 73 kW. In addition to the installation jobs created, the company says it helped community groups save a combined $600,000 on their utility bills.

10 Comments

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Jens Stubbe
Jens Stubbe
June 22, 2012
#14 better still. Obama uses the military and 15.000 people at the s embassy in Irak to control oil supply it would be helpful if just a tiny fraction of that cost was diverted into solar and wind research.
craig nyman
craig nyman
June 22, 2012
We are to transition from fossil fuels to renewables, lets just take the big oil subsidy and distribute it between big solar and smaller applications (home and small business installs) and call it a day. Some oil executives have even said they do not need the subsidy. Simple and sweet. Never happen. You know why.
M. SIMON
M. SIMON
June 20, 2012
I'd like to see Big Solar subsidy free too. The subsidy per watt is 20 times to 100 times as much for solar vs the inorganic fuels. Europe is dropping its subsidy and it nearly killed solar world wide. The US will be next. Good ideas don't need massive subsidy because they are PROFITABLE. And profitable is impossible to stop. Look at the market for illegal drugs.
craig nyman
craig nyman
June 20, 2012
Sorry I joined way late. This is an ambitious effort. Is it also possible to have big oil subsidy free. How many decades have we been there for big oil. Food for thought even for 'anonymous'.
Louis Shaffer
Louis Shaffer
June 20, 2012
This is a good article and a serious subject. I do agree that the cost goal is not agressive enough! We will easily reach the $2 per watt. What we should set is $1 per watt or even lower for 2020. We can make that! One simple way to cut costs - simplify the process. Force utilities to accept PV and set a single standard that applies to all states for what is required for a home PV system.
M. SIMON
M. SIMON
June 19, 2012
He could do that very simply. Just eliminate the need for backup plants to support solar. Or reduce the cost of storage to near zero. We need cells that can collect dark energy. Oh. Wait. There is no such thing as dark energy. Tough luck that.
Jens Stubbe
Jens Stubbe
June 18, 2012
#5 Do not.
Jens Stubbe
Jens Stubbe
June 18, 2012
#4 Thank you for the link. I think that developed countries that can afford to pioneer solar energy should do so because the only way to develop the business to a commercial level is by buying solarcells. Besides it has been very cheap so far in Denmark at least and we have a healthy industry with growth potential and several companies that have very interesting technologies that could turn a profit from licensing. Clearly the Atlas Mountains and Taurus in Turkey are interesting but at the moment there are no solutions to the dust attenuation and the abrasive particle problems. Abrasive particles decrease PV with no hardcoat 16% per decade in Europe (potentially much worse in deserts) and dust particles in deserts attenuate light 40% on average against 15% on average for PV in Europe, so the actual PV output if you include losses in HVDC grid and cost for same makes remote solar utility plants something that the future will bring. One of the nice things about PV is that you can deploy it everywhere and create economic growth to billions outside the grid. For Europeans and americans alike I think there is good karma in producing energy at home so I dont mind that we overspend a bit to get the market development on track. In the next few years the efficiency will increase rapidly. Many researchers target to go beyond the Shockley-Queisser limit at 33.7% and cost will also decrease. Mckinsey believes 70% by this decade but I have reason to believe that efficiency increases will decrease prices even more and that the real LCOE also will be improved by more stabile panels and inverters.
E Fried
E Fried
June 18, 2012
Jens there is a good article at http://solarcellcentral.com/cost_page.html My concern is about utility scale. IMHO the FIT cut-down should lead to more focus on PV in sunny regions. Think about the Atlas mountains in Northern Africa and the Taurus mountains in Turkey to secure a high output for the existing PV-production pacilities. For PV plants in Denmark and the like I would like to see less ressources used both in terms of natural ressources and money...
Jens Stubbe
Jens Stubbe
June 17, 2012
$6 per Watt for rooftop installations? The article mentions it is the 2010 price - why not add the actual price? The article mentions a 75% installation price reduction goal by the end of the decade? In Denmark a 6kW rooftop installations starts at $15.815 and you can knock of $2.000 by installing it yourself. That is pretty close to the magical $2 per Watt challenge scheduled by the end of 2014. The $1 challenge by 2020 should also be within reach as the projected price reduction from todays level at $0.75 per Watt for panels is 75% => by 2020 the panel price will be less than $0.2. If you assume everything else stays the same just the panel price reduction will bring rooftop installations just below the $2 challenge. To go to the $1.50 challenge by 2020 would require significant reductions in the other costs associated with putting up a residential rooftop installation. It is from the article and the Sunshot analysis unclear what the cost of installation entails. Does it include architect, loan documents, applications for permit, grid connection etc. According the Sunshot executive summary their 2020 targets are: $1/watt (W) for utility-scale PV systems, $1.25/W for commercial rooftop PV and $1.50/W for residential rooftop PV. The Utility-scale target is a no brainer but I wonder why they were assuming that all the complex conditions relating to installing PV on a roof would only add up to 20-50% extra cost above a utility plant!! Further $/W does not really tell a lot about the LCOE for consumers or even about how much their solar installation will produce. In a residential installation you would add surplus panel capacity relative to the inverter capacity to stabilize power output diurnal and annual as well as over installation lifetime where the output drop.

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Steve Leone

Steve Leone

Steve Leone has been a journalist for more than 15 years and has worked for news organizations in Rhode Island, Maine, New Hampshire, Virginia and California.
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