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US Government Should Trust the Free Market for Green Energy Investment

Jim Nelson, Solar3D
May 29, 2012  |  10 Comments

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The loan guarantee program should be retired permanently. The path to commercialization requires brains, discipline and grit. It is rarely aided, and often impeded, by government involvement. Our government should trust the free market forces that have made America great.

The government’s green energy policy includes two parts: (1) supporting basic research, with the aim of developing new green energy technologies; and (2) making loan guarantees that promote the adoption of green energy technologies. Supporting basic research is an important role of government, but the loan guarantee program is a wasteful mistake because it doesn’t work.

The Department of Energy’s loan guarantee to Solyndra was an embarrassing example of the malfunction of the current system. The investment was undoubtedly scrutinized and rejected by the Silicon Valley-based venture capital firms — organizations abundantly more qualified to identify good investments than government committees. There was no urgent strategic need for the U.S. to have Solyndra rush its product to market. The decision to fund Solyndra’s attempt to commercialize did not stand up to reason.

However, politics ultimately trumped reason. The bureaucrats awarding the financial aid were beholden to political masters, who had promised Americans that they were going to fix the U.S. economy by creating green jobs — something that could not possibly happen in any timeframe worthy of consideration. The price of the Solyndra failure was borne by the American people.

It would be interesting, but probably undiscoverable at this point, to know how many projects that are currently funded with loan guarantees would be funded privately if loan guarantees did not exist. After technology is proven, good investments should be able to get private funding and negate the need for government support. Bad investments shouldn’t be funded at all.

Government has a legitimate role in supporting basic research. ARPA-e, the program that awards small tranches of money for basic research and development in alternative energy, will receive $250 million in federal funding in 2012 (half the amount lost at Solyndra alone). This program can and should be expanded. Its objective is to fund innovative technologies that will improve the economics of alternative energy — which is ultimately the only path to widespread adoption of renewable power.

Simply stated, there are three stages to introducing new technology into the market:

  1. Innovation. Universities, government labs and some companies willingly and energetically take the technology risk of exploring new ways of doing things, and work on proving a concept. In this specific situation, we are talking about creating energy.
  2. Go To Market. When a specific technology has been developed and its concept proven, the focus moves to figuring out the best way to develop a prototype that can be manufactured and sold in the marketplace. Angel investors and venture capitalists typically fund this stage.
  3. Expansion. Once a specific technology has reached the market, it needs to be developed into a real, growing product that is both used and useful, thus crossing over into adoption by the public. Venture capitalists and private equity provide investment for growth in these stages.

One of the greatest strengths in America is innovation. It is a long and rich tradition for the U.S. to lead the world in innovation. Government currently plays a key role in providing funds to many companies in the proof-of-concept stage, as well as to national labs and universities developing new technologies. Steps two and three should be left to private investors.

It is time to make a change, and to restructure the government’s broken system that currently funds agenda-driven enterprises that have little or no chance of a successful early development stage. The intent of such agenda-driven grants is to create jobs. But when taxpayer money is invested, spent and lost, the company fails and the jobs are lost. Government dabbling in investments beyond technology development is competitive with private funding or it involves making investments that private investors wouldn’t make — both are bad ideas.

I suggest the following:

  1. Government immediately get out of the loan guarantee program and stop investing in companies at stages beyond technology development.
    1. Making the decisions to guarantee loans is essentially making an investment decision that government bureaucracies are not equipped to make.
      1. Bureaucracy’s agenda-driven analysts do not have necessary training, proper incentives or appropriate reporting structure to make investment grade decisions.
    2. ARPA-E should become a public/private partnership, with the mandate to invest in game-changing energy technology research.
      1. It will be staffed with professionals accustomed to making these types of investments, and qualified to evaluate projects on their economic potential and practicality.
      2. Government should provide the funding to the entity, but the partnership should be consistent with the long-term strategic plan of the government.
      3. The partnership should be evaluated on the basis of the success of their investments and investment strategy.
      4. The professional investors should be told to make the focus of their investing broader than typical venture investing in order to encourage other innovative ideas. Moreover, they should hand off their portfolio entities to private equity as they mature to ensure commercial viability.
      5. Placed in the right hands this concept could be implemented in the first quarter of 2013.

These are tangible, realistic and relatively easy changes to make.  Let the private sector do what it does best, help the economy grow and eventually thrive again.  It is that success that will bring jobs.

Lead image: Definition of Invest via Shutterstock

10 Comments

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ANONYMOUS
June 4, 2012
Prof. Baye,

I do agree with your comments regarding the fundamental flaws inherent in using governmental regulation and agencies to promote technologies like RE. Such efforts have a long track record of not being effective, primarily due to political influence.

The best way is through a free market economy. And while I would also agree with the posters demanding equal treatment for industries such as nuclear and RE, it is a bit disingenuous to claim that oil, coal and gas are subsidized. While oil, coal and NG do receive some tax exemptions, in total these industries contribute huge net revenues to the federal government, while RE currently does not.

In regards to your last comment, the primary constitutional obligation of the US federal government is to ensure the civil rights and protect the private property of US citizens. It has no such responsibility to "create jobs" or promote "sustainable energy".

When the economics of RE make sense, private investment will gladly step in. Hopefully, rapid US RE technology advancements will make this possible in the near future.
Allen Gerhardt
Allen Gerhardt
June 3, 2012
This article reminds me why I am reading about people who are developing and installing renewable energy, and not reading political commentary. Phrases like "governments should not pick winners and losers", "trust me", "look at what happened with Solyndra", are like what one hears standing in a pet store by the parrot cages.

If the government is to get out of the loan business, then more money could be saved for the taxpayers by stopping low interest loans to big banks, stopping the wasteful nuclear power loan guarantees, stopping the liability insurance support for nuclear power, stop fossil fuel subsidies and subsidies to the railroads that use coal. Nuclear power loans have a default rate of over 50%, making the Solyndra bankruptcy look like extremely good odds compared to the nuclear bankruptcy rates.

Anyone who claims a "free market" exists in business is a person who has never done any business, or a person seeking to deceive others in order to benefit their own market manipulations. All countries invest in their citizens and economy, and if they don't, then they are not worth having.
Timothy Baye
Timothy Baye
June 1, 2012
Mr. Nelson's ideas, ignoring any political orientation or bias, are spot-on in the sense that government business development and commercialization programs almost always trend toward "picking winners." This trend and the structural inability of government appointed reviewers to "have skin in the game" makes such programs historically and inherently ineffective.

That said, the government's obligation to foster the public good and general welfare does mean that market failures and externalities should, and must, addressed. However, the general means of doing so, taxation and/or regulation, are seldom as politically "sexy" as a funding or jobs program. Tragically, the tax/compliance tool would prompt a lot more investment and risk taking, especially if these techniques were not handicapped with a short-term sunset.

The U.S. could learn a lot about promoting sustainable development by studying other regions and by following Nelson's recommendations WHILE also not abdicating the government's responsibility to guard against threats.... e.g. energy security and environmental degradation.

Tim Baye
Professor, Business Development & Finance
Renewable Energy Specialist
University of Wisconsin-Extension
Lloyd Hamilton
Lloyd Hamilton
May 31, 2012
If government loan guarantees are not good business, then the nuclear industry should be forced to do without them.

Naturally no one would invest in a nuclear plant without the federal government stepping in and providing legal protection from liability as well as loan guarantees. A level playing field would mean the nuclear, coal and oil industries should also be forced to forgo any government support of any type.

Lets get rid of SBA loan guarantees as well as all other forms of corporate welfare.

Or Not.

The reality is that the federal government has supported development of technology for a long time, and it is an important player in technology development. Loan guarantees are an important part of that participation.
John Chase
John Chase
May 31, 2012
The business model for renewables should emulate the model that drove the growth of computing power since about 1965. Who could have predicted that over a million transistors could be put on a chip! That number has been increasing at about 30%/year, every year since the beginning. Disk capacity and calculations/sec have grown at similar rates.
ANONYMOUS
May 31, 2012
I thinks it's great that REW is starting to add more commentary like Mr. Nelson's which promotes an alternative viewpoint from almost all of the other articles. In the limited space available, Mr. Nelson does a good job of making his case for taking a more free-market-oriented approach to RE investment. He just plainly states his case without resorting to hyperbole, political attacks, or conspiracies.

While I'm a firm proponent of advancing renewable energy technology, I also agree with Mr. Nelson that working within the free market system is the best way forward. His suggestions for changing the way the federal government funds RE developments are spot-on. Most importantly, any private company receiving federal taxpayer money should have significant "skin in the game". There needs to be real accountability from those receiving tax dollars.

I also agree with his comments about ARPA-E. The risk/payoff structure of ARPA-E programs is much better than other typical DOE projects. But it could still be improved. ARPA-E taxpayer funds should not be given to any project that private investors would not consider. ARPA-E does not fund high risk basic research projects. Instead ARPA-E funds provide a high payoff by allowing small tech companies to advance new RE products to a marketable state without incurring huge debt or loss of equity. The funding bridges the so-called "valley of death" for tech start-ups.
DoggyDog World
DoggyDog World
May 30, 2012
I agree it's a bad idea for Gov't to invest into specific companies, even indirectly via loan guarantees. Governments are really bad at picking winners, the process gets politicized and bogged down in cronyism, failures become political footballs and so forth.

Governments can fund basic research. Governments can also use rules and/or subsidies to reduce reliance on imported or dirty fuels. But government should try to be technology-neutral and should never fund individual companies.
David Schoenwald
David Schoenwald
May 30, 2012
So America has made it self 'great' ? Only Fox news thinks so.
ANONYMOUS
May 30, 2012
Wow... it sure is a refreshing change to hear a Mormon (BYU grad, anyway) Republican and former Bain employee blather on about Solyndra and the utopia of free markets! What a visionary to look back at a failed investment and note that it was a failed investment in what's been a successful overall program. Perhaps the author missed the headlines almost four months ago where the loan guarantee program was proven a success by Herb Allison, John McCain's former national finance chairman, thanks to its overall portfolio featuring many low-risk investments. Herb must be a socialist. It is nice to read about bipartisan support for ARPA-E, which should be obvious even to tea partiers. By the way, if the author supports government funding for R&D, why isn't he applying for any of it? It sounds like his company could use the help. R&D is expensive.
V. Bruce Stenswick
V. Bruce Stenswick
May 29, 2012
Free market is fine as long as we start charging the fossil fuel guys for the damage fossil fuels cause; i.e. we need to price fossil fuels out of the energy mix and then let the free market decide.

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Jim Nelson

Jim Nelson

Mr. James B. Nelson is the CEO of Solar3D, Inc., in Santa Barbara, California, a developer of a 3-dimensional solar cell technology to maximize the conversion of sunlight into electricity. Mr. Nelson began his executive career 30 years...
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