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A Big Audacious Goal: Turning on the Lights for 1.4 Billion People

Ron Pernick, Managing Director, Clean Edge
May 03, 2012  |  5 Comments

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At the recent Fortune Brainstorm Green conference which I attended in Laguna Niguel, California, there was a host of U.S.-focused presentations and conversations. The ongoing themes and dialogue provided significant insights into the current state of affairs in the U.S. clean-tech market, including:

  • What will happen to the wind power market if the federal production tax credit isn’t extended before the end of the year? (Answer: It will likely crater to near zero in 2013 after strong deployment in recent years.)
  • What does low-cost natural gas mean to the future of the renewables industry? (Answer: It could have a very significant impact, but renewable portfolio standards in dozens of states, along with utility and regulatory desire for a diverse energy portfolio, should help soften the blow.)
  • How will social media and Internet-enabled businesses drive clean-tech growth? (Answer: A large number of companies, from Sunrun to Recyclebank to large corporates, are effectively using the web, apps, and social media to acquire and communicate with customers.)

But, for me, it was an international theme that really grabbed my attention. While the U.S. is currently mired in pre-election clean-tech bashing and partisan shenanigans, it was a simple, straightforward, high-impact presentation by Michael Elliott, president and CEO of the poverty-alleviation-focused nonprofit ONE (One.org), that turned my head. In a packed room, he asked us to imagine living after dark in one of the many places in the developing world without access to electricity (the daily reality for about 1.4 billion people globally). Then, he literally turned off the lights. No video, no music, nothing...and then he kept talking, and said this is what it would be like living in the tens of thousands of villages, favelas, and other outposts that have no, or limited, electricity.

"So just think for a second," Elliott said in the blackened hotel conference room, "what you, with all your dreams, your brainpower, those synapses firing off, how your life would have been different if you had to cope with the fact that around six or seven [every] evening your life went dark. And I’ll tell you what, it wouldn’t have been easy."

With the lights back on, he then outlined a program, spearheaded by the United Nations and supported by business, foundations, governments, and nonprofits like his, that could help to change the equation. The goals of the program, named Sustainable Energy for All, are both simple and aggressive. By 2030:

  • Ensure universal access to modern energy services. (95 percent of the people without access to modern energy live in sub-Saharan Africa or developing Asia.)
  • Double the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency. (Investing in energy efficiency is a low-cost method of creating jobs, fostering economic growth, and improving energy security, especially for countries that lack domestic fossil-fuel resources.)
  • Double the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix. (Increase energy from renewable resources — wind, water, the sun, biomass and geothermal — from 15 percent of the global energy mix to 30 percent.

At the same event, I had the chance to sit down with Aimée Christensen, special advisor to the U.N. Secretary-General’s high-level group on Sustainable Energy for All, to talk more about the goals set forth by the U.N. The aim of the program, she said, was to act as a platform. Similar to the Clinton Global Initiative, where Christensen has served as an advisor since its inception, Sustainable Energy for All isn’t just about raising capital, but about actual firm commitments to action, such as increasing a company’s use of renewables or the efficiency of its supply chain; launching new public-finance mechanisms to de-risk private investments in sustainable energy projects and businesses; and building capacity to accelerate household- and village-scale energy deployment in impoverished communities. Sustainable Energy for All is aiming to provide an online database of all commitments, and then to track them over time to ensure transparency and fulfillment.

As I think about it more, perhaps the goals aren’t so audacious after all. The mission set forth, while grand, seems achievable. And the call to action is at once both motivational and grounded. We face significant ecological, economic, and social challenges of historic proportions on a global scale, and need to have realistic “stretch” goals. I think Sustainable Energy for All might just be the mantra/meme many of us are looking for.

Of course, any tectonic shift like this will require deep political, organizational, and individual will — along with significant financial resources. While most of us have ubiquitous access to the tools and appliances that bring near-constant light, comfort, and communications into our lives, there are more than 1 billion people around the world that go into darkness every night, and 2 billion or so that are mired in unhealthy, primitive energy systems (the burning of charcoal and cow dung, for example). That needs to change, and the Sustainable Energy for All program and challenge is, in my estimation, right on target. Nothing less than clean, reliable energy for those at the base of the pyramid, along with increased renewables and efficiency targets in both the developed and developing world (the 30 percent goal by 2030 seems imminently doable, if not passable), should be a guiding vision for our collective future.

Click here find out more about how your organization can support this effort and perhaps make a commitment of its own.

Image: Four Oaks via Shutterstock.com

5 Comments

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Yotam Ariel
Yotam Ariel
May 9, 2012
Thanks for the article.

For those ready to take action and bring solar energy to more low-income villagers, you might want to learn more here:

http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2011/08/delivering-solar-to-rural-markets-distribution-challenges-in-the-developing-world

or here:
http://www.bennu-solar.com/

And if you have any questions,
I'll gladly share insights and resources.

Thanks,
Yotam
(y.ariel@bennu-solar.com)
Gary McCallum
Gary McCallum
May 6, 2012
Anonymous says-- Rather than pushing feel-good nonsense like clean energy, the best thing groups like the UN or IMF can do for developing economies is to push hard for democratic governments with free and fair markets.
But it is rather elitist for us to burden developing economies with these added costs.
We live together on a lone planet that we are destroying for our selfserving lust for material 'FEEL GOOD NONSENSE'
The immediante developmant of renewable infastructure for education and communications would help 'TO PUSH HARD FOR DEMOCRATIC GOVERNMENTS WITH FREE AND FAIR MARKETS' even though elitest western governments subsidise their home based industries such as agriculture and manufacturing and in effect help to prevent that from ever happening. We must also mention World Bank loans to sell products from these subsidised industries that 'BURDEN DEVELOPING ECONOMIES WITH THESE ADDED COSTS'
If under developed nations and areas go green first they will not be faced with the expensive and disruptive change over that will soon follow when the price of renewables falls below the status quo of burning up our childrrens future. It will also save on importing CO2 belching fuel sources. This will follow a pattern much the same as the rapid rise in cell phone communications that did not require all the infastructure of land lines.
Why repeat a mistake you can learn from?
Dimitar Mirchev
Dimitar Mirchev
May 4, 2012
@Anonimous #2

In fact the cheapest option for the people in question is Renewables.

Just for the sake of the argument imagine building coal or nuclear or gas plant in Chad, Niger, Mali or Burkina Faso(over 55 million people combined). Questions as this arise:

Who will work in those plants?
How will you build them?
Who will build them?
Do you have infrastructure to transport the fuel?
What are the security issues of transporting the fuel?
Do you have the infrastructure to transport the electricity to the people?
Who will build the infrastructure if it is not present?
How will you secure it?
etc etc etc

You get the point.

Believe me for these people the decentralized renewables are the ONLY option.
ANONYMOUS
May 3, 2012
Over the past 100 years the biggest factor for improving the quality of life of the world's population has been widespread access to cheap, reliable sources of energy. The current developing world's populations would also benefit from access to cheap energy supplies such as NG or coal. What they don't need are relatively expensive sources of energy like wind or solar. Developed economies in Europe and North America can absorb the added costs of transitioning to renewable energy. But it is rather elitist for us to burden developing economies with these added costs.

Rather than pushing feel-good nonsense like clean energy, the best thing groups like the UN or IMF can do for developing economies is to push hard for democratic governments with free and fair markets. A free and prosperous economy is the most effective way to improve peoples lives. Once they have some disposable income, they will be free to make decisions about issues like RE on their own.
Quentin Prideaux
Quentin Prideaux
May 3, 2012
"The goals of the program, named Sustainable Energy for All, are both simple and aggressive. By 2030:
...
- Double the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency…
- Double the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix. (Increase energy from renewable resources—wind, water, the sun, biomass and geothermal — from 15 percent of the global energy mix to 30 percent.)"

This doesn't seem to be anywhere *near* aggressive enough.
The website states : Between 1990 and 2006 [16 years], increased energy efficiency in the manufacturing sectors of 21 member countries of the International Energy Agency resulted in a 21% reduction of energy use per unit of output."
Absent data on non-manufacturing sectors, if this rate of improvement continued to today and was then "doubled" then (depending on your interpretation of doubling rates of change) we might expect a 42% reduction in the 16 years from today (2012 to 2028) with this rate then constant. VERY approximately (rates of change can be tricky) we would arrive at 2030 with at best twice the output per unit of energy. However we actually expect to arrive at 2030 consuming three times globally what we consume today, according to many estimates. The efficiency improvement alone still leaves things getting much worse – the energy requirement is still 50% higher than today.

If we only double the share of renewables from 15% to 30% then instead of 85% of today's output being fossil based, in 2030 we have 70% of 150% = 105% of today's energy use fossil fuel based.
In other words emissions have INCREASED if we only do what is stated above.

The math is very approximate but the point will hold even with large changes in assumptions – what they are aiming for is not enough and the little it does is far too slow. Tectonic - maybe, aggressive - maybe, audacious - maybe. But still completely inadequate.

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Ron Pernick

Ron Pernick

Ron Pernick, co-founder and principal of Clean Edge and co-author of The Clean Tech Revolution, is an accomplished market research, publishing, and business development entrepreneur with two decades of high-tech experience. At Clean Edge...
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