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U.S. Solar Trade Surplus With China Turns Into Gaping Deficit, Says Coalition of Manufacturers

Stephen Lacey, Climate Progress
March 07, 2012  |  8 Comments

Last summer, we wrote about a trade report from GTM Research showing that the U.S. had a $247 million solar trade surplus with China in 2010 — an unexpected tip of the scales that came mostly from exporting polysilicon and manufacturing equipment.

GTM analysts haven’t updated their study yet. But a coalition of American manufacturers just released its own report showing that the U.S. lost that surplus in 2011. By a lot.

According to the Coalition for American Solar Manufacturing (CASM), the U.S. now has a $1.6 billion trade deficit with China. The group, which supports an anti-dumping complaint recently filed with the International Trade Commission, concludes that the deterioration of U.S. solar manufacturing due to unfair trade practices has turned America’s $1.9 billion global trade surplus into a $1.5 billion trade deficit.

Applying the same data sets that GTM Research used, CASM looked at the U.S. industry’s competitive position with China and the world.  The analysis shows that in 2011 the United States became a net solar importer from both.

The organization is using the study to highlight its belief that Chinese solar firms are dumping product into the U.S. market:

A leading cause of this reversal is a massive surge in Chinese exports of dumped and subsidized solar cells and modules, which, in 2011, more than doubled the totals of 2010, increasing from more than $1.2 billion to more than $2.8 billion. Further, exports to China of products for which the United States had a significant trade surplus in 2010 – polysilicon (the main raw material used to produce solar cells) and solar manufacturing equipment – declined precipitously in 2011, falling by $194 million and $170 million, respectively (a 21 percent combined decrease).

The CASM report comes on the heels of a report released by Oregon Senator Ron Wyden, which found that the U.S. trade deficit for environmental goods grew by almost 90% in 2011 — a figure that includes both wind and solar technologies.

The solar industry is still waiting for an official ruling on whether or not Chinese solar companies have been unfairly subsidized. The Commerce Department was supposed to issue a decision last week on whether or not to enforce tariffs on Chinese solar equipment. But the decision has been delayed until later this month.

The solar trade issue has stirred a fierce debate within the industry, creating a rift between manufacturers struggling to compete with depressed panel prices and developers depend on those continued price reductions.

This story was originally published on Climate Progress and was republsihed with permission.

8 Comments

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Xjy Xjy
Xjy Xjy
March 9, 2012
@macafrican: "China just has a different approach to capital(ism): they don't mind if state backed enterprises operate for a decade at cash cost without servicing any debt or equity. A decade is more than enough to close down the foreign manufacturers."
This is crucial. China uses capitalist economic techniques but runs a non-capitalist state financing operation. Which means the return on investment can be calculated over a decade (or more) and over an entire sector, or even in the case of priority infrastructure (rail, energy, telecoms) the entire economy. Just one of the advantages of a non-capitalist system that purely capitalist states will never ever be able to emulate.
The US is extremely protectionist, and Big Energy is extremely dependent on state subsidies, but when it comes to running the economy for the good of the whole nation neither protectionism or subsidies US style make the slightest difference - except to cripple and distort development.
And when the debt bubble really bursts, this will become painfully obvious. 100-0 in 2 seconds.
Danielle Barnes
Danielle Barnes
March 9, 2012
@Going4DistanceGoing4Speed - Our average hourly rate COST for anything outside of scale is $18/hour. When we are doing scale projects, the rate for residential is around $34/hour, which is ridiculous for a small residential project. When you get into commercial, the rate jumps to a minimum of $42/hour that our guys get paid up to $75/hour if it's closer to Philly and the larger cities. We are installing a 10kw complete in 5 days with 3 guys. We finished a 66kw last December in about 3-4 weeks with 6 guys full time. It was out of town so there was some travel too.

Yeah, I just got some numbers from a sales rep trying to sell me his racking and he gave me $2.06 and $2.22 per watt installed. I asked what planet he was on and that's when he said those were the install rates in China.
Gerry Wootton
Gerry Wootton
March 9, 2012
@Eisenhower - simple but true. Import tariffs result in a higher cost to the consumer. This is just a form of taxation directed at John Q Public. In effect it's a personal tax used to advance a political and/or industry agenda.
This leads to strange distortions in the market: while promoting ethanol in gasoline the same government is imposing a 0.54 $/gallon tariff on ethanol imports. Without this tariff, the cost of E15 at the pumps would be ~0.10 $/gallon less. This is clearly a consumer tax directly benefiting US manufacturers. Of course politicians love this approach: government derives additional revenue without offending campaign contributors.
But consider how unbalanced and even counterproductive these examples are in light of the fact that over $2B/a worth of thermal coal is imported tax free from South America A) giving an advantage to nonrenewable energy and B) providing substantial revenue to two sketchy countries, Columbia and Venezuala. The only balance here is that the tons of coke imported from Columbia are both black and white.
Danielle Barnes
Danielle Barnes
March 9, 2012
@MacAfrican - Being one of those installers, we aren't charging $6+/watt in PA. We are around $4/watt and that includes prevailing wage (thanks to our states way-past-due-for-an-upate requirements.) Any project that receives state funding and is over $25,000 (which is all commercial and most residential projects) is subject to union-like wages. We could definitely charge closer to $3.50/watt if we didn't have to pay our guys double what the earn on any other electrical project. But even with those higher rates, we still aren't close to the $6/watt you are stating. I know other states are even higher than that, but PA, MD, NJ, and MA are all lower than $5. In NJ, large scale are even under $3.
Johan Buys
Johan Buys
March 9, 2012
I would have more sympathy for the installers if they were not charging about twice as much per installed watt rooftop as their peers in Germany and other EU countries. (California recent average 1kw-10kw is 6.73/watt whereas you can get complete systems in germany now for under EUR2/watt). The prices are a ripoff or the installers are grossly incompetent. A 50% tariff on $1//watt modules would hardly dent the installed price.

While I have lots of sympathies for solar manufacturers in the US, I'm afraid that there is no way on earth for US manufacturers, especially ones that are little more than assemblers, to stay in business and sell modules at the kind of price necessary to be competitive with peak daytime grid prices. China just has a different approach to capital(ism): they don't mind if state backed enterprises operate for a decade at cash cost without servicing any debt or equity. A decade is more than enough to close down the foreign manufacturers.
Ron Peterson
Ron Peterson
March 8, 2012
A modest value added tax would do a lot to improve the balance of trade and reduce US unemployment.
Tariffs are a way of playing favorites that can distort the market.
Global peak coal production may occur about 2025 and then the need for alternative energy sources will increase dramatically.
Rich Borba
Rich Borba
March 8, 2012
We have a large trade deficit for Oil and coffee among many others, should we tack on massive tariffs on those doubling or tripling our price as well, lowering our purchasing power and standard of living.

Even if we do have a deficit on solar every dollar we spend come back to purchase American high value products and services and supports American jobs.
Gerry Wootton
Gerry Wootton
March 8, 2012
Interesting but still doesn't compare to US imports of coal or coal power equipment. In fact,the number given (possibly a biased estimator to prove a point) is less than US imports of coal from America's favorite narco republic. This is dwarfed by nearly an order of magnitude by US imports of equipment for coal fired power plants from China.

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Stephen Lacey

Stephen Lacey

I am a reporter with ClimateProgress.org, a blog published by the Center for American Progress. I am former editor and producer for RenewableEnergyWorld.com, where I contributed stories and hosted the Inside Renewable Energy Podcast. Keep...
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