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New Approach Aims to Slash Cost of Solar Cells

By Bill Scanlon, NREL
March 7, 2012   |   15 Comments

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15 Reader Comments
Comment
1 of 15
March 7, 2012
Hi:

Tweak that and get economies to scale and WATCH OUT! That really has the potential to drop the end market price... grid parity everywhere...
Just make sure an O&G company does not make you an offer you can not refuse, other wise the product will just fade away like a hundred others..

.....Bill
Comment
2 of 15
March 8, 2012
Interesting!
thanks for this post.

Is this similar to what Evergreen did?

I understand that wafer prices are already at -
us$0.29 to us$0.48 (according to PVinsights)

Perhaps this technology would be useful for newly established
production facilities...

I am serving the off-grid markets in developing countries (like in Africa),
and actually the cost of products are not such an issue.

The more costly items are logistics (transportation), and trade regulations (taxes).

So closer to end user is where more cost saving space exists..

Thanks again,
Yotam
http://www.bennu-solar.com/
Comment
3 of 15
March 8, 2012
This is very exciting! Reducing costs that much would bring pricing down to a point that would further entice fence-sitters to make the decision to go solar.

Any idea on when this might hit the market?
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Comment
4 of 15
Anonymous
March 8, 2012
It will be interesting to see how many installers and wholesalers pass this potential savings on to their customers. While the cost of modules continue to cheapen, I don't see the same happening when it comes to cost of labor and hardware. We have focused on the module cost, but what about the inverters, micro-inverters, racking, etc... I never see any articles about the hardware. Until we see reasonable costs in those technologies, I don't see solar getting cheaper. I do see the module manufacturers working harder for less profits though.
Comment
5 of 15
March 8, 2012
'We have the potential to produce a 15%-efficient solar cell at less than 50 cents per watt with a fraction of the capital investment of other venture-funded PV companies,'. 1) they haven't done it yet. 2)conventional solar cell manufacturers are meeting and exceeding that performance. We have c-Si suppliers providing 16% modules (not cells)at less than 0.90 $/Wp. Tell me something exciting like 20% efficient cells at 0.45 $/Wp.

Cells are no longer the killer commodity. Try glass, structural components, encapsulant and back sheet.

One of the big plus/minus issues for module performance is cell matching - easy to do with individual cells, not possible with monolithic construction.
Comment
6 of 15
March 9, 2012
You beat me to it GeraldR!
Right now I currently have German made 18% efficient solar cells I'm selling for 54 cents a watt....that's with my profit & the factory's profit in it. So what, exactly, is Ampulse all excited about? Sounds like they're already behind the competition, and they haven't even launched production yet! Talk about reinventing the wheel.....
Comment
7 of 15
March 9, 2012
It seems to be easy to ignore the simple detail of cell matching. Even with conventional cells, the demonstrable difference in module efficiency from an ordinary cell sorter to a high precision cell sorter exceeds 2% absolute. This is incredibly important as this is a gain achieved at virtually no cost and consequently represents a 2% increase in margin. No matter how you slice it, higher efficiency is better - increasingly so as the BBM (balance of bill of module materials) and BOS (balance of system) costs become an increasing fraction of the LCOE. In fact, there is a slight selling price premium for higher efficiency as a result.
All cells have a natural variability in efficiency while a string of cells is only as good as it's weakest cell. The resulting module is always slightly worse than what that would predict as the weaker cells run hotter than the rest and have their efficiency reduced. The way to mitigate this is to accurately match cells in a string bringing the efficiency of modules closer to the efficiency of cells. This increases the spread between cost of cells and selling price of modules which translates into a blend of increased margin and reduced selling price in $/Wp. Any form of module assembly that is essentially monolithic has no way of avoiding this penalty and may only strive to minimize process variability but precision costs money.
For web based production,the only option is to excise the web into individual cells which puts one on the same manufacturing track as conventional cells.
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Comment
8 of 15
Anonymous
March 9, 2012
I may be neophyte in this statement, but our company installs mostly micro-inverters, if the maximum a panel can generate is 215W governed by the size of the inverter output, what differnce is the extra effeciency going to make? Does the extra effiency expense balance the output through the micro-inverter? I this changes if we are talking central inverters.
Comment
9 of 15
March 12, 2012
@Anonymous (Comment 8). If module manufacturers increase the STC power of their modules micro-inverter manufacturers will follow and will develop new models that match the new module types.

It should also be noted that the inverter only limits the peak power output of the system. In moderate climates peak insolation happens only for a few hours in summer and a little undersizing of the inverter won't hurt the overall annual yield very much.
Comment
10 of 15
March 13, 2012
GeraldR and Jaysenergy: Ask and ye shall receive? See our writeup today on Twin Creeks which promises $0.40/W cells at c-Si efficiencies, and they're flexible to boot...
Comment
11 of 15
March 15, 2012
@Anonymous (Comment 8), In addition, your micro-inverter is rated at 215 AC watts while your solar panels are rated in DC Watts. So in fact, with an Enphase M215 inverter you can actually install a solar panel that has a STC DC rating up to 260W.
Comment
12 of 15
March 18, 2012
Thanks to sustained research in solar PV in US,Germany and Japan the cost of Solar PV is expected to come down soon.
Dr.A.Jagadeesh Nellore(AP),India
E-mail:anumakonda.jagadeesh@gmail.com
Comment
13 of 15
March 18, 2012
Dear Anumakonda,

You forgot to mention research in China, India, Singapore, UAE, Australia, Israel, and many more countries..

They deserve credit too, and shouldn't be ignored.

Thanks,
Yotam
Comment
14 of 15
March 18, 2012
The Ampulse and the Twin Creeks developments are really exciting, and this high-tech part of the equation is sexy. But once again, it brings attention to the BBM and BOS issues. It seems that we need a concerted effort (and forum) to attack these issues and the policy/regulatory issues that shape our installation process. We have to move to a less labor intensive approach, but we still need safety and accountability.
Comment
15 of 15
March 19, 2012
Dear ynot:

I mentioned countries where the main research is going on. I do agree there are other countries which are working to reduce the cost of solar power but not at the pace of the countries I mentioned first.

Dr.A.Jagadeesh Nellore(AP),India
E-mail: anumakonda.jagadeesh@gmail.com
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