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Unlikely Coalition Joins Forces to Recommend Changes to Ontario's Feed-in Tariff Program

By Paul Gipe, Contributor
December 28, 2011   |   7 Comments

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7 Reader Comments
Comment
1 of 7
December 29, 2011
Rooftop breakpoint at 30KW makes this a very generous offer. At assumed $ 5800 installed cost, there will be bazillions of projects at 28-30KW and profits will be in the windfall class.
Comment
2 of 7
December 29, 2011
6000 Mw = 6 nuclear plants size in Ontario, Canada? Does anyone know what the capacity factor is for solar in Canada? Less than 20%? This the most bizarre thing I have ever heard.
Comment
3 of 7
December 29, 2011
What a truly stunning waste of money, once again demonstrating the utter lack of common sense that infests the political elite. Solar energy in Ontario is just plain dumb, as a casual inspection of incoming energy from the sun into the region readily demonstrates.

How about "zero" feed-in tariff.
No image available
Comment
4 of 7
Anonymous
December 31, 2011
In comment #2 drbenson asks: "Does anyone know what the capacity factor is for solar in Canada? Less than 20%?"

I don't know what a precise estimate is, but it is easy to tell what values were used in the Ontario Feed-in Tariff Cost Model because they are listed in their excel spread sheet available from one of the links the author gives. This model uses a 13.1% capacity factor for PV. They also use 25.1% and 35.1% capacity factor estimates for onshore and offshore wind, respectively. These values seem reasonable to me and even slightly conservative. New wind capacity additions in the US have capacity factors of about 35% and presumably there are plenty of decent resources in Canada; offshore wind is often quoted as having capacity factors of 40% or more. I've seen rough estimates of the German PV capacity factor of ~10%; if you site PV in the southern portions of Ontario, which is where the population is, you would get significantly higher insolation than in Germany. Thus, 13.1% should easily be achievable.

While it is hard to fault the estimates of the energy the plan would produce, I would say the FIT payments are insanely high--especially for PV. The estimated cost used for new nuclear power is also very high (16 cents/kWh), but Ontario has a very poor track record of keeping nuclear power at reasonable prices. A mix of wind and natural gas generation or even a large hydro project would seem like very reasonable options compared to the huge costs of solar PV (some of the FIT rates are nearly 60 cents/kWh).
Steven
Comment
5 of 7
January 1, 2012
Poor Ontario, we bet on the wrong (Nuclear) horse ~1960 to generate our electricity. And we've suffered for it, with:
- major cost overruns (the 'stranded debt' of Ontario Hydro)
- unknown costs of storing radioactive spent fuel & reactors
for 10,000[!] years ... if we ever find a Safe method.
- true costs hidden by law (the OCAA suggests $.19-.27/kWhr!)
by limiting liability & having our descendants pay for
our 40-50 years of 'cheap' hydro....

OTOH, how can we compete with the USA:
- Ontario pays for Health Care, USA states do Not;
McGuinty is trying to shift the Health cost of Coal smoke
from our taxes to our Hydro bills.
- 50-75% of USA electricity is generated by 'cheap' Coal, and
50% of USA states have warnings about mercury pollution
(Was my mother's Alzheimers caused by Nanticoke's smoke?
I'll never know, but it sure hasn't helped my asthma.)
- the USA and several States, offer ~50% grants to residents
and businesses to buy Renewable Energy equipment to make
even cheaper power. Ontario offers high FIT rates, but
raises hydro rates which puts pressure on employer costs.

If the Yanks have $.20/kWhr, how will we keep any employers in Ontario?
(In case you hadn't heard, this happened to Niagara Region after 1975 when Pickering Nuclear station was completed, and they melded Niagara's cheap hydro with the costly nuclear rates to keep Toronto voters happy. [eg. Inco moved 2000+ jobs from Niagara to Thompson MB.])
(I've heard of a Northern Ontario mining company that already ships its ore to Tennessee for smelting because of the high cost of Ontario power.)

What a quandary, eh?!
Comment
6 of 7
January 1, 2012
CORRECTION of last paragraph:
If the Yanks have $.20/kWhr, how will we keep any employers in Ontario?
(In case you hadn't heard, this happened to Niagara Region after 1975 when Pickering Nuclear station was completed, and they melded Niagara's cheap hydro with the costly nuclear rates to keep Toronto voters happy. [eg. Inco moved 2000+ jobs from Niagara to Thompson MB.])
(Recently, I've heard of a Northern Ontario mining company that ships its ore to Tennessee for smelting because of the high cost of Ontario power.)

What a quandary, eh?!
Comment
7 of 7
January 1, 2012
CORRECTION #2 of last paragraph:
If the Yanks have hydro rates Less than $.10/kWhr,
and Ontario soon has hydro rates More than $.20/kWhr,
how will we keep any employers in Ontario?
(In case you hadn't heard, this happened to Niagara Region after 1975 when Pickering Nuclear station was completed, and they melded Niagara's cheap hydro with the costly nuclear rates to keep Toronto voters happy. [eg. Inco moved 2000+ jobs from Niagara to Thompson MB.])
(Recently, I've heard of a Northern Ontario mining company that ships its ore to Tennessee for smelting because of the high cost of Ontario power.)

What a quandary, eh?
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About: Paul Gipe has written extensively about renewable energy for both the popular and trade press. He has also lectured widely on wind energy and how to minimize it... more »

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