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Finding the Apple Computer of Solar Power

By Joseph McCabe, PE
January 17, 2011   |   5 Comments

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5 Reader Comments
Comment
1 of 5
January 17, 2011
Interesting analogy to Apple. Another important factor is that Apple markets its products as the "cool" option, especially compared to stodgier, more utilitarian PCs. (Remember those "I'm a PC, I'm a Mac" commercials?). Why are people willing to pay more for a Macbook or iPhone when they could get a similar product for half the price? Partly because Apple makes quality phones and computers. But also largely because Apple's brand is synonymous with cool, innovation, design, etc.

I don't think the solar industry (or any other renewable energy sector) has developed a sales pitch able to convince ordinary people that investing in solar is cool, let alone useful. This is partly because the computer/software business is an entirely different animal than the energy business. Apple puts out a cool, game-changing new device every few years that millions of people can and want to afford without much fuss. The solar industry deals with still relatively expensive, uninspiring-looking panels that make the electricity needed to charge all those cool Apple gizmos. It is possible or even desirable for renewables to be marketed and packaged like computer hardware and software? I don't know.
Comment
2 of 5
January 18, 2011
PV solar is a commodity. Think DRAM and NAND memory, rather than "design." Only module manufacturers that are the low-cost leaders, on efficiency-adjusted basis, will survive. Right now, those happen to be First Solar and the integrated Chinese crystalline module makers. Meaning, Unisolar is already dead, and SunPower is not out of the woods yet. Akeena, Applied, Lumeta, and Envision are not even worth mentioning.

Oh, and here is a prime example of Unisolar's "design," after just two years under the Sun:

http://picasaweb.google.com/fan.of.ecd/FloridaInternationalUniversitySolarInDistress

An overpriced product that underperforms and degrades beyond belief will obviously have difficulties in a commodity market.
Comment
3 of 5
January 18, 2011
I want to buy a GreenNH3 machine to make my own green fuel at home. Now I see GreenGas.cc and GreenNH3 have joined forces and maybe I can get a machine sooner. Can you imagine if Apple and their competition (and the hackers) joined together to do good? It would be like WW2 when all of America worked together for the common good.
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Comment
4 of 5
Anonymous
January 19, 2011
As the article points out, the "Apple" era of solar has not materialized yet.

I think there are good reasons for this. While solar electricity has seen a tremendous growth over the last 5 or so years, it has largely been concentrated to a few countries – mass-localisation of the market if you will.

A relentless cost-out program is the main drivers of solar currently as competition is intensifying and prices drop to mass market levels (i.e. the elusive grid parity). Grid Parity IS the holy grail because it will make solar a no brainer in a (mostly) global society concerned about the environment.

But there comes a point (of diminishing returns) at where price competition stops being an advantage and that's when design becomes a key differentiator. But it will not happen before the mass accept solar, which ironically of course would expedite the process. It's a sort of catch 20 situation: no design differentiation without a mass market and no mass market without the right approach.

I would expect to see the start of the "Apple" era in 3 – 5 years.
Comment
5 of 5
January 21, 2011
I think if PV can be touted as sexy, too, coolness will be inherent in the marketing. How about pink BiPV for all the soccer moms?!
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Joseph McCabe

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About: Joseph McCabe is a solar industry veteran with over 20 years in the business. He is an American Solar Energy Society Fellow, a Professional Engineer, and is int... more »

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