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July 21, 2009

US Wind Market is Weaker Than in 2008

Berkeley, California [RenewableEnergyWorld.com]

For the fourth consecutive year, the U.S. was home to the fastest-growing wind power market in the world in 2008, according to a report released today by the U.S. Department of Energy and prepared by Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL). Specifically, U.S. wind power capacity additions increased by 60 percent in 2008, representing a US $16 billion investment in new wind projects.

The 2008 edition of the Wind Technologies Market Report provides a comprehensive overview of developments in the rapidly evolving U.S. wind power market.

According to the report, the U.S. is the fastest-growing wind market worldwide. The U.S. has led the world in new wind capacity for four straight years, and overtook Germany to take the lead in cumulative wind capacity installations.

Market growth is spurring manufacturing investments in the U.S. Several major foreign wind turbine manufacturers either opened or announced new U.S. wind turbine manufacturing plants in 2008. Likewise, new and existing U.S.-based manufacturers either initiated or scaled-up production. The number of utility-scale wind turbine manufacturers assembling turbines in the U.S. increased from just one in 2004 (GE) to five in 2008 (GE, Gamesa, Clipper, Acciona, CTC/DeWind).

LBNL found that wind turbine prices and installed project costs continued to increase into 2008. Near the end of 2008 and into 2009, however, turbine prices have weakened in response to reduced demand for wind due to the financial crisis.

Wind project performance has improved over time, but has leveled off in recent years. The longer-term improvement in project performance has been driven in part by taller towers and larger rotors, enhanced project siting, and technological advancements.

Wind remained economically competitive in 2008. Despite rising project costs, in recent years wind has consistently been priced at or below the price of conventional electricity, as reflected in wholesale power prices. With wholesale prices plummeting in recent months, however, the economic position of wind in the near-term has become more challenging.

Expectations are for a slower year in 2009, in large part due to the global recession. Projections among industry prognosticators range from 4,400 MW to 6,800 MW of wind likely to be installed in the U.S. in 2009. After a slower 2009, most predictions show market resurgence in 2010 and continuing for the immediate future.

Click here to download the report.

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Reader Comments (11)
 
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Anonymous
July 22, 2009
What to do if your community is targeted
Don't panic. You are not alone. You will soon realize that almost everywhere that wind power facilities are proposed, there is organized and informed opposition that is well versed on the subject, thanks in large part to the internet and the ease with which we can share information these days. It is definitely not to the advantage of today's wind developers that they must compete with this bounty of knowledge, accessible to all of us with just a click of a button.
Massachusetts is about to line up all the former Big Contractors as commercial wind turbine contractors.The stimulus money was to be used for shovel ready projects but somehow in Massachusetts the shovel ready projects are all commercial wind turbine projects .How did this happen?
The Massachusetts legislature is about to take residential property rights away through the proposed Wind Energy Siting Reform Act .This act sites commercial wind turbines as close as 600 feet from residential property that borders state parks,wetlands,open space or anywhere the state can lease the property out to . This is about the environment?
Comment 1 of 11
No image available
July 22, 2009
Anonymous, thank you for helping to defend public rights, laws, and resources threatened by the Wind Turbine Siting Reform Act that silences citizens and excludes our participation in decision making over our turf and taxes. It is the Patrick Administration's expansion of 40 B type powers applied by Act to respond to "climate crisis" by taxation with no public benefits. All benefits extend to industry while ratepayers' and taxpayers' interests are harmed along with the environment.

Just say, "No", to the Wind Turbine Siting Reform Act

http://bjdurk.newsvine.com/_news/2009/07/04/2996607-just-say-no-to-the-wind-energy-siting-reform-act-
Comment 2 of 11
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Anonymous
July 22, 2009
Enough already. People gripe about spoiling their "view" etc. and the doctor tells my pregnant daughter not to eat fish while she's pregnant because there is too much mercury in the fish for the fetus.

Where did this mercury come from? Coal power plants. It is time for us to get our priorities straight. Do we want deformed and stupid kids, or a different view? Our scrubbers at the plants help keep it out of the air, but it is stored in ash ponds in concentrated form, to leak at some point into our rivers. Progress, yes, but not enough.

In the United States, all 50 states recommend that pregnant women avoid fish because of the mercury. Check it out yourself.
Comment 3 of 11
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Anonymous
July 22, 2009
Would you prefer to look at the smoke stack of a coal or natural gas plant?
Comment 4 of 11
No image available
July 22, 2009
Wind energy is not about the environment. "Green is green."

http://www.wind-watch.org/documents/wind-energy-industry-tells-the-truth/

"Calculating Wind Power's Environmental Benefits"

" wind's unpredictability means it truly has no generating capacity value, and its construction will not displace building any new coal or natural gas generating capacity. Grid reserve margins require wind-back up, and the inefficiency of quickly firing up a natural gas unit to meet erratic wind generation output means any emissions displacement is minimal. Wind is simply an additional capital cost which proves to be more than twice as expensive for the ratepayer."

Power Magazine online pages 90-92:

http://online.qmags.com/PE0709/Default.aspx?sessionID=458FBEECBECBD4B0C72510D83&cid=969220&eid=13991
Comment 5 of 11
No image available
July 22, 2009
Barbara is right, although Stanford U found 1/3 of windpower is reliable when built over a large enough area. But the biggest problem is that utility monopolies are using almost all windpower to satisfy their renewable mandates, so they can continue to build their fossil and nuclear plants. Now, they are even trying to build very expensive transmission lines from the Midwest to the coasts. After Obama gets his short-term windpower stimulus (like Clinton's .com and Bush's housing bubble), the renewable energy industry will fail, the country will be even more bankrupt and the utilities will be able to go back to using fossil and nuclear fuels. In comparison, the EU is giving renewable energy a real chance to succeed by also using local hydropower, geothermal and biomass sources, which are lower-cost and generate reliable base-load power.
Comment 6 of 11
No image available
July 22, 2009
If you've ever done a jig-saw puzzle...it takes a whole lot of pieces to make the puzzle work. In most cases, the time and effort are worth the final result.
Wind Energy is simply one of several pieces or alternatives! I'm a wind energy developer working on two projects in mostly-mountainous areas of northern New England. The towers will be erected in uncommonly windy sections of two mountains, 32 miles apart. There will be 178 towers at the northern site and 342 my southern site. And yes, they only work when, or if the wind is blowing....but, they will do it again and again, and again, etc. My locations do & will continue to have very strong winds with regularity. The towers will have to be maintained and serviced with regularity at a similar rate as automobiles, washing machines, fans and most tools. This kind of energy could & should have been used or at least considered many, many years ago but, as a society, we didn't have the vision, the wisdom, the good judgement or the perspective to do so. Wisdom is often the willingness to recognize a mistake and make the best correction which is affordable, available, or just known. Wind energy is not the only solution, or the best possible solution, or the cheapest solution, but it is one which works well, though is somewhat expensive, affordable and one of the best solutions for America's energy problems at this time.
Comment 7 of 11
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Anonymous
July 22, 2009
This is the best video on wind power in America paste it to your browser:

http://www.wind-watch.org/video-meyersdale.php
Comment 8 of 11
No image available
July 23, 2009
If "Wind energy is not the only solution" why has the US added 97% of its new renewable energy generation as windpower since 1994, when at that time hydropower, geothermal and biomass were the largest, lowest-cost and most reliable base-load renewable sources???
Comment 9 of 11
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Anonymous
July 23, 2009
Mike Holly writes in comment 9:
"why has the US added 97% of its new renewable energy generation as windpower since 1994 (?)"
One wonders how he calculates this 97% figure.... Here is some hard data for renewable energy consumption from the EIA (http://www.eia.doe.gov/mer/pdf/pages/sec10_3.pdf):

Source 1995 2007 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Hydro. 3205 2446 2452
Geothermal 294 349 358
Solar (thermal & PV) 70 81 91
Wind 33 341 514
All Biomass 3105 3597 3884
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Totals 6707 6814 7300

Where the units are Trillions of BTU.

Some things worthy of note are:
1) Increases in wind do NOT dominate the total increases
2) Biomass increases exceed those for wind
3) Hydroelectric contributions have declined from earlier periods
4) The data is for energy consumed, not nameplate capacity which is skewed by widely varying rates for achievable utilization

Large hydro projects run into concerns about environmental impact, solar is expensive, and conventional geothermal resources are not especially common, require long drilling times, etc. This leaves wind and biomass as the primary NEAR-term competitors for new renewable energy production. Most new production is still being met by natural gas and coal, so there is room for many non-fossil fuels producers to compete.
Steven
Comment 10 of 11
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Anonymous
July 28, 2009
Fascinating example in this thread of how split and conflicted green power advocates are on wind power. I don't have the patience to argue with the stubborn and cemented views of ideologues but I'll simply say that the anti-commercial wind people are selfish, hypocritical, and unrealistic. Big wind is the cheapest, most efficient and cost effective renewable energy technology currently available. Why else would it be the nearly exclusive go-to technology used when utilities are forced to go green. And what do the NIMBY anti-wind folks suggest as the alternative? Residential roof-top solar PV? I'm for as much solar as we can deploy but I'm sorry to say it will barely make a dent on its own. For clean power to ever reach double-digits, society needs to embrace commercial wind. That doesn't mean the abstract idea of it, but actually being willing to see turbines and transmission lines somewhere in your community. There are no perfect solutions.
Comment 11 of 11
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