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Gaining Our Freedom from Oil

Jeff Wilson, Author
January 14, 2009  |  23 Comments

As the next President takes office on January 20, 2009, the nation looks to him to come up with a plan that will put an end to the crippling high energy costs. The plan must be thoroughly thought out and based in reality. Yet it must be executed quickly, forcefully, and successfully.

We are repeatedly told that we have lots of oil and gas for the next 60 years. T. Boone Pickens tells us there is a crisis, and we all need to drive compressed natural gas vehicles. The President is shown holding a filling nozzle at a hydrogen filling station, and tells us that the hydrogen economy is our future.

So what is the real situation with oil, and what are our real options for energy? Since neither the media nor our government are offering consistent information that makes sense, I was decided to do some research and find out for myself. What I found was so interesting that I felt compelled to share it.

Here's what I found: We import 70% of our oil. Worldwide, we are consuming oil at twice the rate that new oil is being discovered. Not only are reserves dwindling, but at the same time demand is increasing. In the next 15 years, China will overtake the U.S. as the largest consumer of oil. The competition for this dwindling resource is already becoming fierce.

Here's what I also found: We have the technologies to get ourselves off of oil. We really do. With a serious commitment, adequate funding, and good information, we can get ourselves totally off oil in 15 years.

Yes, we want to get ourselves off of all fossil fuels and on to clean limitless sources of energy. But oil is an immediate crisis. Natural gas, coal, and uranium have an abundant domestic supply for at least another 20 years. We must make oil the first priority.

Oil is a good first place to start. There are many reasons for getting off oil, and they bring together people who are generally on different ends of the political spectrum. Environmentalists want to get us off oil to eliminate the huge volume of greenhouse gases that its use creates. Hardcore security hawks want to end dependence on foreign oil so that we won't be so vulnerable to the whims of the nutcase petro-dictators of the world. Economists want put an end to the trade imbalance of hundreds of billions of dollars leaving the country to buy oil. And the average citizen is still reeling from the memory of $4 a gallon gasoline. Here is a unique opportunity for all of us to come together to get something done.

My book, The Manhattan Project of 2009: Energy Independence NOW, examines our oil situation. It then looks at every use of oil and determines the viable alternatives we have for each use. Next it develops a comprehensive plan to get us off oil. Lastly, it frames the plan as a legislative agenda for our President Obama. This book is not a big long textbook for scientists. Instead it is written in plain simple language for real people, and every section gets right to the point. It is an easy read that will leave you will a good overall perspective on America's energy situation.

Every once in a while in our country's history it is necessary to step up to the plate, make a commitment, and accomplish something huge. It is time once again. This is The Manhattan Project of 2009.

Jeff Wilson has degrees in Physics, Math and Electrical Engineering. Over the past few decades, Jeff has worked as an engineer, entrepreneur, and technical writer. The research that resulted in two books came from Jeff's determination to find out for himself the real truth about America's energy situation.

23 Comments

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paul tousignant
paul tousignant
January 30, 2009
We (as a country) are ignoring one of the best sources of fuel - MSW. We are throwing away enough Municipal Solid Waste in the US to fuel over 500 power plants that can produce electricity and/or bio-methane and/or desalinated water.

The bio-methane can be used in our vehicles. The electricity can displace the 3% of the electricity that is generated from oil; it can displace the use of natural gas, which (as Pickens is promoting) can fuel our vehicles.

The EPA classifies MSW as a renewable fuel; regulations require the equipment that makes the exhaust clean. Literally hundreds of thousands of people can be employed in building, supplying, operating and maintaining Waste to Energy (WtE) plants and they can be built where the fuel is already being delivered - landfills.

We (the country and the world) need to pay more attention to this overlooked fuel source, and use it!
Ronald STEENBLIK
Ronald STEENBLIK
January 28, 2009
Yes, Fred, we all know that ruminants are adapted to eat grasses. My point was about the relative suitability of DDGs for poultry and hogs compared with ruminants. No evidence that you have provided refutes what I said earlier: hogs and poultry can consume some DDG in their diet, but a smaller percentage than can cattle. They still need the starch for energy. It is only the carbohydrates in excess of energy needs that is stored as fat.
Fred Linn
Fred Linn
January 28, 2009
-------"DDG is the substitute for soymeal. DDG has about the same protien content 12-14%. Dent corn has about 2-4% protien. Dent corn is cheaper than soy beans because it has about 3X the yield per acre. Ethanol is the by product of DDG production."-----------

The protien in DDG is the result of the fermentation by yeast. It is the yeast that increase the protien content of the DDG. Dry mill corn has germ removed before it is ground and fermented. The germ contains most of the protien in the corn. Only the starch is utilized by the yeast during frmentation.
DDG costs about 1/2 the price of soymeal.

Ruminants are adapted to eat grasses.
Ronald STEENBLIK
Ronald STEENBLIK
January 28, 2009
It is not just a question of protein requirements, it is also a question of digestability. We are talking here about livestock, not humans.

From www.window.state.tx.us/specialrpt/energy/renewable/ethanol.php :

"The effects of higher grain prices on animal feeders vary somewhat depending on the ability of some species to use the byproducts of ethanol production -- distiller's grains -- as feed. Ruminants like beef and dairy cattle can digest this product better than hogs or poultry, for example."

(Note, by the way, which is the byproduct referred to here.)

From www.thepigsite.com/swinenews/19952/cme-importance-of-ddgs-in-livestock-diets :

"Corn is an energy source for animal diets. It has a high carbohydrate fraction and is only about 8.0 to 8.5 per cent crude protein. That protein is relatively low quality, meaning that corn is deficient in one or more of the essential amino acids needed by monogastrics such as pigs, chickens and even humans. These species' digestive systems cannot make amino acids. They must be present in the diet and the low proportions of lysine, methionine and tryptophan, in particular, in corn protein mean that a corn diet would be deficient in those acids. Pig and chicken diets are supplemented with soybean meal and synthetic amino acids to meet the animals' specific amino acid requirements.

On the other hand, the microbes in the rumens (ie. multicompartment stomachs) of cattle and sheep can actually manufacture amino acids from low-quality protein and even elemental nitrogen. Therefore, the protein in corn is more useful to them.

... Cattle, on the other hand, can efficiently use the low-quality protein and can even convert the higher fiber content [of DDGS] into energy — something pigs and birds [i.e., poultry] cannot do."
Fred Linn
Fred Linn
January 28, 2009
DDG is added to raise the protien level of the diet. Starch causes weight gain, but it is as fat----it takes protien to make lean muscle mass(meat).

Eat a diet of nothing but corn bread for the next year, and then come show us how healthy you are. A diet of mostly corn causes a dificiency disease called Pellegra. It was quite common in the South in the early 20th Century.

Brewer's Yeast(DDG) is the commercial source for soluble B vitamins in the manufacture of vitamin supplements.
Ronald STEENBLIK
Ronald STEENBLIK
January 28, 2009
Like I said, Fred, you can try to argue to the contrary until you are blue in the face (or should I say red in the face) that ethanol is a byproduct of DDG production, rather than vice-versa, but that does not make it so. The value added is in ethanol productoin, and the bulk of revenues are from ethanol production. DDG is a byproduct of ethanol production.

"Then why did Farmer's Co-Op in Macon, MO, form an investor owned mill that buys corn from its own investors and sells the resulting DDG back to its own investors to feed their own livestock?"

I don't know, Fred, because I don't know the mix of their livestock. Yes, hogs and poultry can consume some DDG in their diet, but a smaller percentage than can cattle. They still need the starch for energy.
Fred Linn
Fred Linn
January 27, 2009
DDG is the substitute for soymeal. DDG has about the same protien content 12-14%. Dent corn has about 2-4% protien. Dent corn is cheaper than soy beans because it has about 3X the yield per acre. Ethanol is the by product of DDG production.

-------"And, by the way, most poultry and hog farmers would rather buy corn than DDG."------------

Then why did Farmer's Co-Op in Macon, MO, form an investor owned mill that buys corn from its own investors and sells the resulting DDG back to its own investors to feed their own livestock? Something must be working right, they are tripling capacity.
Andrew H Mackay
Andrew H Mackay
January 22, 2009
I think that generating electricity from renewables is the wrong strategy.

The answer is to generate HEAT and feed it into existing fossil fuelled power stations - this is the only way of reducing the coal, oil and gas burn rates

Google "gentec wats" for more info
Ronald STEENBLIK
Ronald STEENBLIK
January 22, 2009
"Brian--the reason we make ethanol from corn is that the ethanol is a byproduct of DDG--high protien animal feed." -- Fred Linn

Fred, there is no economist who would agree with that statement. Dried distilers grains (DDGs) are a byproduct of ethanol, plain and simple. You can try to claim until you are blue in the face that it is the oher way around, but that is not going to make your erroneous and self-serving assertion true.

It is the smaller-value (as a % of total output) and smaller-volume product of ethanol refineries. Public policy is not directly mandating or subsidizing the production of DDG; but it IS mandating and subsidizing the production of ethanol.

For most of the last several years, the price of DDG has not been far above the price of corn, and during some periods it has even been below the price of corn:

http://content.edgar-online.com/edgar_conv_img/2007/09/21/0000950137-07-014446_C14815A2I1481507.GIF

If DDG were the product driving the production of an ethanol by-product, it would have to command a lot higher price than corn, because it makes no sense to spend a lot of money to transform a raw material (corn) and then sell the resulting product (DDG) for about the same unit price ($/bushel) as the raw material you started with.

That makes DDG a byproduct of ethanol, since it is ethanol that is driving the production of the two products, not demand for DDG.

And, by the way, most poultry and hog farmers would rather buy corn than DDG.
Fred Linn
Fred Linn
January 20, 2009
Brian---the reason we make ethanol from corn is that the ethanol is a by product of DDG---high protien animal feed. There are many other sources of ethanol. Cane, Agave and beet sugar for instance. Cellulose from any plant source, corn cobs and other agricultural waste, wood waste from logging, milling and culling managed timberstands---even harvesting dead timber caused by insect damage or blight, or grasses like saw grass, blue stem or miscanthus. We have plenty of options to produce as much biomass as we need to replace oil with biofuels.

Remember also, that ethanol is not the only biofuel. There is biodiesel and there is methane also.
Biodiesel can be produced from saltwater algae, as well as other sources. Diesel engines require no modification to use biofuels,
Biomethane can be used either alone or in mixture with natural gas in any application you can use natural gas for. The methane in both is exactly the same chemically--the only difference is the source. Biomethane can also be used as a feedstock for any application NG is---including producing other products such as fertilizer, plastics, chemicals, etc.
There is no reason that we could not replace ALL of our oil consumption with biofuel products. Biofuels do anything that oil can do, and they can do it better.
Brian Newsom
Brian Newsom
January 19, 2009
Although cellulosic ethanol use has been very promising it is not without it's problems. The problem with biofuel is we have largely used corn in this process which only produces 400 gallons of ethanol per acre. Corn is a major food and feed for livestock. Using 20% of this staple for biofuel drove up the cost per bushel from 2.00 to over 6.00. Added to that dim fact the cost of energy to convert it is rather high. There is a tall reed type grass called Miscanthus (native to our country) that is capable of producing up to 1,500 gallons of ethanol per acre. Using a non-food source makes more sense. It also needs very little in the way of irrigation or fertilizer and can be grown on very poor soil thus not interfering with our existing food crop production. Bio fuels are a piece of the energy independence puzzle. We could if executed correctly replace 20-25% of our oil consumption with the production and utilization of biofuels. There is no one single answer to this major problem. There are many players in the big picture and it will take all of them to make the transformation our nation to a nation that is self sufficient and energy independent.
CHRIS MOORE
CHRIS MOORE
January 19, 2009
If you take the biodegradable fraction of municipal and food wastes (of which there a re milions of tonnes produced annually), together with the slurries produced by farms (in particular, pig and chicken effluent) and sewage produced by humans, and put them through Anaerobic Digestion systems (lots of systems around from which to choose - I currently favour the Maltin System), we can generate significant volumes of methane which can easily be convereted to CNG for automotive use (can also, of course, be used to feed into the gas grid or to generate heat & power in a CHP plant). We thus address two significant issues - energy security, and carbon emmissions (remembering that methane is 21 times more harmful as a GHG than CO2).
I'd be happy to show you how......
Alexander Blaine
Alexander Blaine
January 18, 2009
I got your book for Christmas from my grandson. Wow! Great book! Did you send our president elect a copy of your book? If you didn't you should!

Alex
Brian Newsom
Brian Newsom
January 18, 2009
Mr Wilson, I read your book. I was wondering if you would be free for a speaking engagement sometime the last week in February or possibly the first week in March. Your expertise is amazing and I look forward to hearing from you soon. I left my contact information on your site. Please contact me at your earliest convenience. Brian Newsom
Fred Linn
Fred Linn
January 18, 2009
--------"Fred Linn, you are dreaming. Biofuels cannot be brought to scale. There isn't enough soil or water. See www.oilcrisis.com/ethanol/. The energy return on energy invested is pathetic. See www.oilcrisis.com/junkScience/."-------

No Ron, YOU are dreaming to think that your Pod Car system could possibly replace internal combustion engine vehicles. First of all, to be even remotely viable, you will have to replace the ENTIRE paved roadway systems of the entire world and the ENTIRE world vehicle fleet to even begin to become a viable alternative---and THEN you still haven't accounted for the fact that internal combustion vehicles can operate off road. For a farmer to use your pod vehicle system to repair a fence in a far back pasture, what are you going to do? Build a pod rail to the back fence line, buy a pod to run on it, deliver the posts and barb wire, and then never use the pod and rail again? I don't see that ever happening.
Internal Combustion Engine vehicles are still the most widely dispursed and versatile vehicles available. And there is no technology available that can or even might in the foreseeable future even come close to replacing that versatility and performance. Better still, ICE engine vehicles comprise over 99% of the world's vehicle fleet, and the entire infrastructure is geared to liquid fuel storage and distribution. Even IF there were another technology that would make a better replacement for ICE vehicles(which there isn't), it would take 100 years or more to do so. Biofuels are perfectly compatible with ICE vehicles and can be implemented in incremental steps seamlessly as supplies become available.

It takes 1.23 million BTUs of energy to produce 1 million BTUs of energy from gasoline, vs. .73 million BTUs to produce 1 million BTUs from Ethanol----and since petroleum is the standard; that is hardly a "pathetic" return---it is a 60% improvement.
Ron Swenson
Ron Swenson
January 18, 2009
Paul Phillips, you speak my mind. You might be pleased to know that such systems are being designed in many European cities, and two cities in the USA are considering them -- San Jose, CA and Ithaca, NY. More at www.solarevolution.com/.

Fred Linn, you are dreaming. Biofuels cannot be brought to scale. There isn't enough soil or water. See www.oilcrisis.com/ethanol/. The energy return on energy invested is pathetic. See www.oilcrisis.com/junkScience/.
Fred Linn
Fred Linn
January 17, 2009
All we need to do to reduce and eliminate foreign oil dependence is don't use it.
Biofuels can do anything petroleum can, and they do it better.
We do not need to change vehicles or the supply and distribution network, or vehicle manufacturing or maintaince network to any major degree. We are already using biofuels successfully and have been for many years.
Brazil has already made the change and is currently riding the crest of an economic boom as a result.
With biofuels, we can use the same vehicles we always have, improve performance, reduce pollution, and have greater safety from fires and accidental spills. Biofuels are very low in toxicity to the environment and humans.
Biofuels are relatively inexpensive to make from a wide range of raw materials that are available almost everywhere, they are cheap, readily adaptable to mass production and often represent energy that just goes to waste now.
Biofuels have been around over 100 years and internal combustion engines were first developed to use biofuels. There is no need to wait for further development or research----biofuels are ready to go now. The most advanced race cars in the world including Indy Racing League and Grand Prix Formula One cars use biofuels.
Biofuels are extremely flexible and can be used alone or mixed with petroleum to meet any need we have. They can be integrated into our current system by incremental steps smoothly and easily.

------"NO!!! The cost of energy will go up as we reduce our dependence on foreign oil. Up as in HIGHER COST. Adapting our economy to higher energy costs is part of the PAIN that comes from curring off our cheap oil supply.
Keith Campbell
Denver"---------

Quite the opposite. We'll give ourselves HUGE benefits by trading foreign oil dependence for biofuel production.
Paul Phillips
Paul Phillips
January 16, 2009
The model for personal transportation is lacking integrity. The car is a dinosaur and begs for extinction asap. The physics of a 4000 lb car transporting a 200 lb body is an absurd squandering of energy not to mention unsustainable. The crying need is for a new model based on the techniques used at the most modern airports to transport luggage from check-in to the aircraft or the systems used by Wall Mart to move things in their warehouses. I envision getting into some modular "vehicle", dialing in a code, and then sitting back reading a book while being delivered to my destination.
Geoffrey Gunning
Geoffrey Gunning
January 16, 2009
I hope your book is not full of "off ofs." I cannot abide "off of." The "of" is completely redundant.
Keith Campbell
Keith Campbell
January 16, 2009
NO!!! The cost of energy will go up as we reduce our dependence on foreign oil. Up as in HIGHER COST. Adapting our economy to higher energy costs is part of the PAIN that comes from curring off our cheap oil supply.
Keith Campbell
Denver
Paul Ervin
Paul Ervin
January 16, 2009
Ronald,
I, like you am getting tired of going to blogs and getting inundated with subjective comments that eventually lead to the author, company, sales reps, link.

This self promotion is tainting most of the objective discussion these days.

Renewable Energy is becoming the new mortgage, dot com bubble about to burst.
Tom Goddu
Tom Goddu
January 16, 2009
Obama should change the excise tax on gasoline to a sales tax. I propose changing the current excise tax of 18.4 cents per gallon to a sales tax of 12.5%. At the current $2.00 price in the weak economy, we'd hardly notice a change. I believe gas will climb again into the $3 - $4 range when the economy improves, and the sales tax at that point, would help keep gasoline use down and moderate prices.

Instead of more tax when the price is low, there should be more tax when the price is high, even though that seems counterintuitive. It works for food and everything else that we buy.

Any effort to create a price floor (more tax when the price is low) simply encourages the oil speculators to bid up the price to the floor level, thus they collect the revenue instead of the government. Similarly, with the current excise system, (cents per gallon) the speculators get more profit percentage-wise as the gallon price goes up. So the excise tax drives up speculation and volatility, with a whiplash effect at the top.
A sales tax has a dampening effect on the price of gas and keeps the volatility down. And, a sales tax doesn't need to be adjusted for inflation.
I would be in favor of a pretty high sales tax, even 20%. If the price of gas goes high, increased revenues will allow the government to encourage alternative transportation and the high prices make alternative energy sources more competitive. If the price of gasoline is low, there is less urgency for the government to make those investments, relative to the urgency of other domestic problems.

A sales tax on gasoline is a simple matter for gas stations and the government to collect. The stations already collect sales tax on many other things and the pumps don't have to be altered.
Ronald STEENBLIK
Ronald STEENBLIK
January 16, 2009
This isn't an article, this is an advertisement for the guy's book! When is RenewableEnergyWorld.com going to start exercising some editorial control on content?

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