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Don't Miss The Great Solar Debate: Where Does the Global Solar Industry Stand? Click Here to Register! ×

If Congress Extends ITC, 440,000 Solar Jobs Will Be Created, Study Says

Jennifer Runyon, Managing Editor
September 17, 2008  |  20 Comments

Navigant Consulting released the results of its new economic study this week indicating that more than 1.2 million employment opportunities and US $232 billion in investment would be supported by the U.S. solar energy sector alone through 2016 if Congress extends the solar investment tax credit (ITC) for 8 years.

For the study, Navigant Consulting estimated the impact that extending the tax credits would have on solar industry domestic employment and domestic investment using data from the three major forms of solar energy technology: Photovoltaic (PV), Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) and Solar Water Heating (SWH).

"By extending the solar investment tax credits, Congress can provide an immediate boost to the floundering U.S. economy by creating hundreds of thousands of jobs and injecting billions of dollars of new investment capital into the economy, while at the same time driving down energy costs for consumers," said Rhone Resch, president of the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA), based in Washington, D.C.

"The solar energy industry creates jobs that are the foundation of our economy — jobs for manufacturers, construction workers, engineers, roofers, electricians and plumbers. These jobs are needed now and Congress is in a position to extend the ITC and ensure that these jobs are created here in the U.S."

According to the study, by 2016, the solar energy industry would create 440,000 permanent U.S. jobs with much of the direct growth occurring in domestic manufacturing, construction and the trades. This figure reveals the strength of the solar job creation engine when compared to the current 79,000 direct employees of the coal mining industry and the 136,000 direct employees in oil and gas extraction.

"There is the potential to create significant U.S. employment and investment opportunities," said Jay Paidipati, Managing Consultant at Navigant Consulting. "An 8-year extension of the ITC would allow the market to maintain or possibly exceed its current growth rate."

Since many solar energy components are manufactured near the markets the industry serves, extending the ITC would create manufacturing and installation jobs in all 50 states, with California, Florida, Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada, New Jersey, Massachusetts, New York, Oregon and Washington as the states most likely to see the largest economic boost. In some states, the number of jobs could grow as much as 300% or more.

Similarly, the economies of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio and the rest of the Great Lakes region would grow significantly from solar energy if Congress passes the ITC extension, according to a press release issued by SEIA. With the recent decline in automotive and traditional manufacturing jobs that has hit these areas, an economic boost would be a welcome change.

"We strongly urge Congress to seize this opportunity to extend the solar investment tax credit for 8 years now before leaving for the campaign trail," said Resch.

The Navigant study also pointed out that the solar industry creates high quality domestic jobs. The greatest growth will occur in new manufacturing, construction, and engineering jobs, and in the roofing, electrical, and plumbing trades.

Beside jobs, its is estimated in the report that should Congress pass an 8-year extension of the 30% ITC, solar energy could produce 28 gigawatts (GW) of power by 2016, which is 19 GW more than is expected to be installed should the ITC not pass, according to the study.

Navigant also pointed out that 84,000 U.S. jobs were lost in just in August 2008, with 39,000 of those in the auto-making industry alone. The additional 440,000 jobs that would be created in the solar industry if an 8-year extension of the ITC passes would go a long way toward rebuilding a struggling American economy.

Click here to access the 79-slide presentation of the full Navigant Consulting report, "Economic Impacts of Extending Federal Solar Tax Credits."

Last night, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill that includes ITC extensions, however the Senate is not expected to enter into debate on this version of the bill and is instead working on crafting its own bill that may include its own version of ITC extenders.  (See accompanying news story.)

20 Comments

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Frank J. Heller
Frank J. Heller
September 22, 2008
Very little that can't be done by Roofers, electricians, and individual homeowners working through HOME DEPOT, LOWES, etc.

Large commercial installations are becoming a regional industry.

The timing of the release of this report makes its conclusions highly suspect.

And where did the money for the cost of solar pv/thermal come from?
....right, the second mortgage market which tanked on Monday.
Mary Saunders
Mary Saunders
September 21, 2008
There are a lot of extra variables in Jeff's example above.

As he reduces asthma risk for his family and neighbors, he conceivably adds value for the community that might otherwise have gone for high-cost medical care and the stress-risks of those connected to the victims.

He also employed people who might otherwise have been drawing down unemployment.

He invested over the long-term, whereas that $10,000 could have just been lost to corruption in our present economic environment.

If he has the proper controllers on his system, he may be able to save his fridge and freezer stored food, and may be able to help his neighbors if the grid goes down.

Maybe some of his neighbors, by force of government, were enslaved to provide his tax credit.

If I were in Jeff's shoes, I would feel better knowing I could contribute a dramatic amount to stone soup, if it comes to that.

The calculations regarding renewable energy are more complicated than mere lucre at the rate of exchange presently decided by international money-changers.

It is really interesting to hear Chinese leaders spouting off free-market rhetoric at Bush/Cheney/Pelosi, etc. Who'd have thunk it? Shakespeare? Christ?
Jeff Anderson
Jeff Anderson
September 21, 2008
Here is an real world example of a PV system at my home in the midwest.
Total system cost $14,000
Government incentives $4000
Total out of pocket cost $10,000
One year electric production 2500 kwh
Power company by back rate 22.5 cents per kilo watt hour.
Revenue produce in a year $562.50
Estimated pay back in 17.8 years.
With out the government incentives pay back would take 24.9 years.
With a electrical rate of 10 cents a kwh it would take 56 years to recover the system cost. That is if the electrical rate stayed at 10 cents a kwh.
Actual electrical rates may go up on a average of 5 percent a year.
With adjusted inflation of 5 percent would take 26.6 year to recover the system cost.

Tax incentives do not decrease system cost it just means that part of the solar system cost came out of some one elses wallet.
Jeff Anderson
Jeff Anderson
September 21, 2008
The so called tax givaways are realy not that all. It's oil exploration tax credit. This encorages oil companies to develop domestic oil resources. Most easydrilling locations for oil production have been tapped, or is illegal to go after. So whats left are high risk location. High risk of drilling a dry hole.
Most oil companies make less than 20 cents proffit on a gallon of gas.
Unfortunatly most people just see a really big proffit number, and look at the price on the pump and come to the wrong conclusion. Once one digs beyond the serface, and crunchs the numbers. You will find the real store.
Most people think that the price of PV solar would come down if the government impliment an agressive incentive program. The state of California had 50% tax incentive program at one time. You would think at this level of incentive half the homes in California would have solar. Less than one percent of the homes today have solar. Some say the price of solar will go down with high volume production. Yes high volume production will push down prices, but it will not cut the price in half. This is because what determines the price is the cost of material, labor, and energy that went into manufacturing the solar panel.
Bill Geils
Bill Geils
September 21, 2008
I think it is wonderful that there is a possibility of any number of jobs created by alternative energy. Is it fantastic that finally, there will an increase in solar energy production and yes, the price will come down for your equipment, but it is not about the price. The day you install a solar system is the day you start saving money and helping cleaning up the air.

Bill <(((~~~< =====
Thomas Schmidt
Thomas Schmidt
September 21, 2008
Predictions, forecastings, all of these could be renderd compleletly worthless be any singular event as time goes by.

Reality is simple to understand. There are 6.5 billion humans beings balanced on this Earth and one day soon, the scales will tip. We don't need scientist to tell us that an increase of 4.5 billion humans over the past 100 years is having a negative effet on the global environment and the global economy. Or that nature is all about seeking a balance. Wether this tilt, be a natural or manmade event, I'll leave that up to those who think they can predict the future.

Oh, if it makes you feel any better, think of this recent stock market event as, welfare for the rich, as opposed to wlefare for the needy. Start to think in terms such as "trickle down economics" if there can be such a concept as this, then shouldn't "trickle down crimes" be just as viable a concept?
White collar criminals should be facing harder punishments. A white collar criminal can set into motion events that will cascade down through our economy that might eventually result in a violent crime taking place.
Imagine that a crime Marba Stewcart commited had an effect on the economy a year maybe two years later that caused a young man to loose his job and with no other jobs available, he turns to crime and eventually someone dies by his hand.
The young man made the decision of turning to a life of crime, Marba Stewcart did not hold a gun to his head and make him commit crimes. But, did her criminal actions remove all other means of a lawful existance for the young man? The world may never know.
Its a concept that would be very difficult if not impossible to prove in a court of law, but we all know it is possible.

Do you want a prediction for the future?
Be prepared, death and taxes will never go away.

You see, somethings are just plain self evident truths.
Pity about Earth.
Mary Saunders
Mary Saunders
September 20, 2008
Chemical companies assert that using their products in no-till farming is green (Google recent article in Economist). Green has replaced white as camouflage for putting long-term messes out of short-term minds.

Renewable is a better word to use in crusades against dirty extract-and-burn processes.

I don't see how apologists for gunk can say tar sands or removed mountaintops are renewable.

If you have family or friends with asthma, burning stinky stuff leads to more ER trips. Drive-time radio warns us not to exert ourselves too much when particulates are high, though bike-riders have multiplied like flies in my town.

Many drivers here guilt-trip themselves as they maneuver their Priuses among the hard bodies in tight clothes.

A good lobbying tactic is probably to tempt Congresspeople to see themselves as heroes, so I agree with the tactic of mentioning high unemployment and pointing out ways to do something about that.

Pointing out heroic opportunities might help legislators after hard days passing more perks or attending private parties with large donors.

The thought of more plumbing jobs has got to have some of them salivating. I assume they don't have composting toilets. There are always uses for more plumbers, other than just on rooftops installing solar.
Denny Houghton
Denny Houghton
September 20, 2008
Bryan Shull, I agree completely. that is why I pointed out the baseline used by the writers of the report. I know that the number of hours is far too high even today. This report was about jobs to be created and I do believe that their numbers are unrealistically inflated. That does not make anyone evil just over-enthusiastic, perhaps. I believe that there will be few new, pure"green" jobs, most of the change will be a greenish tinge to traditional jobs. Build upon what we already have and our culture will slowly change. Propose rapid, high cost or high effort ideas and resistance will rise, making change even slower.

fireofenergy: The PV sector likes high prices because installer's margins are so low. The PV manufacturing sector will only allow prices to drop due to competition and supply exceeding demand. Both conditions may happen in the next few years, with or without US subsidies.

I think that global installation of Solar PV was about 2.9 GW in 2007 so, to reach a 28GW target, would we have to install most of the global production of modules for the next 8 years. Not likely.

Conservation first. Variable frequency motor drives will conserve more energy than solar PV will produce during the next decade
Bryan Shull
Bryan Shull
September 20, 2008
Go John!!
John Spagnoli
John Spagnoli
September 19, 2008
I don't understand the negativity here. We all bitch about the politicians doing nothing, then they try and most of the commentators rip them. Do we need to get everything we want? That is not the way it works in a "free" country. This is not even political, we need something now! At least the Dems. are trying to undo the giveaways to the oil industry, as if Exxon needed our tax money, and all the while they are not even paying royalties!!! Get your heads out of the sand and get busy electing people who support clean industry. Ask questions,get involved. As a retired electrician, I've been fighting since the sixtys for renewable power. Don't tell me the old saw about where are we going to store the power, it can be done, it could have been done 40 years ago. Read, study, watch c-span and see what they do and who are our friends, then get busy replacing the toads and thieves. You are smart people here, you should be able to figure out who the good guys and girls are. E-mail them, go to meetings, this is too simple a problem to go unsolved, we went to the moon for crying out loud.
Jeff Anderson
Jeff Anderson
September 19, 2008
These numbers are unrealistic. Just divide all the numbers by 10. This is like the numbers they use to justify light rail. After running over buget the ridership never reaches the levels that were projected. Don't worry the tax payers can pay to keep it working. Every light rail project in the US operates with tax payers dollars. The only exception is New york city transit system.
Any reduction in growth in solar industry will be due to slowing economy. Most solar systems payed for with disposible cash. In other words a slow economy is bad for solar. Tax incentives can increase the number of solar system installations. As for solar manufacturing most solar panels will be made in China. This will because of cheaper labor cost, and non enforce polution laws. This reduces production cost so low that US manufactures will not be able to compete price wise.
Bryan Shull
Bryan Shull
September 19, 2008
Denny, any solar integrator still installing at 30 hr/kw will probably not be in business come 2010. The standard hr/kw is much lower for companies operating in the black today. The industry can and will support living wages and still achieve grid parity. I personnaly feel any solar company worth working for should have the Henry Ford mentality. Make the cost of the good or service affordable to those who supply it.

Bring solar to the mainstream!!!!
Denny Houghton
Denny Houghton
September 19, 2008
Mark Twain elaborated Benjamin Disraeli in writing, "There are three kinds of lies: lies, darned (sic) lies, and statistics". A brief analysis of the charts on pages 22, 26, and 27 of the downloadable report would indicate that installation, system integration and cost of sales will remain about 30% of total installed cost throughout 2009-2016 period. If all of that gross margin was applied to labor costs only and the installed cost falls to $4/watt then all new installer jobs must pay little more than minimum wage and stay that way. The 2010 estimate is about 30 job-hours per Kw. Green jobs should be good paying jobs or why bother subsidizing their creation.

The work will probably be done by traditional contractors using a skilled workforce. Job creation in installation will be limited by licensing requirements.



The presentation is very well done and worth browsing through
Chuck Conover
Chuck Conover
September 19, 2008
You call it a bailout, but its not a bailout because the industry doesn't need saving. The oil industry receives about $20B/year. Do you call that a bailout?

What we need is not incentives, though. What we need is leadership. We need the President and Governors to require federal and state vehicles to be 0-emissions, and federal and state buildings to generate 100% of their own electricity. This would create even more of a boost to the industry while govts get back something and minimize graft.
Jim Baber
Jim Baber
September 19, 2008
Any renewable energy is preferable to non-renewable, the big problem is managing the mix. Since both wind and solar energy are quite variable they need a means to "store" their production from their peak periods to their low periods. The current technique is to use the grid as a "battery" to manage this variability. This requires the use of peaking plants on the grid to allow the utilities to absorb the currently uncontrolled injection of wind and solar power to the grid.

The concept of using the batteries in thousands of electric vehicles in conjunction with smart metering to manage this changing load pattern is the best overall answer, since it would have the best ability to either contribute power or act as a load on the varying power from renewable sources.

This can be done rather easily with existing technology as has been proven with home built PHEV automobiles by PG&E. This would also serve to help the fuel crisis and the global warming situation from the automotive sector.
Mary Saunders
Mary Saunders
September 19, 2008
I am not sure where geothermal is in all this. Does anyone know?
Paul Johnson
Paul Johnson
September 19, 2008
The title of the article is misleading. If you read the study, job creation is expected to be 163,000 w/o extending the ITC vs. 440,000 with the extension over 8 years. Thus the the 8 year ITC extension would only project to add 276,000 with several assumptions made.

Considering the Solar Energy Research and Education Foundation funded the research, it is clearly intended to get dollars to the solar industry.

I would prefer an approach that provided support for RE in general and let the market help dictate which ones deserve more of the funding. IE - Wind is much more cost effective and should therfore receive more support than solar PV.
Keith Ljunghammar
Keith Ljunghammar
September 17, 2008
I have corresponded with Congressman Dave Reichert and this sounds like Apollo Energy Act (H.R. 6385). He is in support of this bill. 30% tax credit for solar installation and 30% for solar water heater tax credit with a maximum of $2000 for each credit for a $4000 tax credit from the solar.
And if anyone comes up with it a 50% Tax Credit for the purchase of a 100 MPG vehicle.
I did find some mistakes in the bill. It does not offer any credits for the production of butanol but only for the production of ethanol.

But the point missed here is that installation needs to be from a sprinters viewpoint. The Cross Country racer approach is nice but when in a sprint we need a financial sprint and not a cross country racing program. I really just need to send my sprinters idea to all of the Congrssmen in Washington, D.C. But any stimulus is a good stimulus. Go for it.
Ben Gatti
Ben Gatti
September 17, 2008
One problem with this PV-Industry Bailout, is that while the taxpayers will pay in 50 States, the jobs will not be created in 50 states.

I would vote against the PV Bailout unless the opportunities are fairly distributed to 50 states.
Jim Berry
Jim Berry
September 17, 2008
It might be money better spent and cheaper than on bailing out Wall Street - might not.

Simple fact of the matter any solar system bought today is like a bank stock, you could buy it cheaper than next month.

Does anyone actually believe the 440,000 jobs figure?

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Jennifer Runyon

Jennifer Runyon

Jennifer Runyon is managing editor of RenewableEnergyWorld.com coordinating, writing and/or editing columns, features, news stories and blogs for the publications. She also serves as conference chair of Solar Power-Gen Conference and Exhibition...
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