John Farrell, Institute for Local Self-Reliance
September 04, 2007
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9 Comments
Renewable energy is experiencing a scale-up of unprecedented proportions. In the past five years, U.S. wind and biofuel production has nearly tripled; numerous states have enacted renewable energy standards to guarantee further increases; and, as production capacity has increased, costs have dropped. But bigger isn't always better.
What are the diseconomies of large-scale renewable energy? How will massive wind farms and ethanol plants change the rural landscape? How can farmers and rural residents become owners in the renewable energy revolution rather than observers?
For the renewable energy enthusiast, there's a tendency to focus on the size of the industry rather than its nature. This tunnel vision on "more" overlooks the substantial benefits of local ownership. Ten, 33 million gallon ethanol plants produce as much as three, 100 million gallon plants. But while the latter may foster a modest and short-term improvement in the local economy (and largely benefit the absentee owners), the former may have thousands of local owners and represent an enduring economic foundation.
Locally-owned ethanol plants—representing one-third of U.S. capacity—pump 5-30% more economic impact into the local economy than equivalent absentee-owned plants. Much of this impact comes from the $.30-$.40 cents per bushel dividend payment farmer-owners receive annually. If 300 million gallons of ethanol was produced via ten locally-owned plants instead of three, large absentee-owned ones, the host communities would see nearly $40 million in dividends.
Wind energy can also be developed locally, with substantial local economic benefit. The local and regional economic impact of a locally owned wind farm is 25-300% greater than an absentee-owned turbine. The local farmer may get $100,000 in lease payments over the 20-year turbine life, but as an owner, she could earn easily over $1 million. The difference between ten locally-owned 20 MW wind farms and one absentee-owned 200 MW wind farm is almost $90 million in revenue to local owners.
Local ownership weds energy policy and rural development policy. When farmers can own renewable energy production, they can escape the chains of volatile commodity prices. When rural communities become owners, they can be more self-reliant. The federal government already supports renewable energy with production incentives and rural communities with development programs, in separate accounts. The combination of energy development with rural local ownership creates an economy of scale—every dollar of federal money spent on locally-owned renewable energy pays back into the community.
Local ownership doesn't happen by default. When activists and policy makers focus on gallons and megawatts it becomes a policy preference for massive ethanol plants and large wind farms. Conventional wisdom suggests that this size preference minimizes unit costs. However, a new report from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance shows that the size of cost savings is modest, perhaps undetectable in the retail price. Meanwhile, the benefits of local ownership are lost, since farmers can't afford to finance the largest facilities.
The average ethanol plant in 2002 produced 40 million gallons a year. Half were farmer owned. Today, proposed ethanol plants will typically produce 100 million gallons annually and less than 20% of new capacity—mostly expansions of existing plants—will have farmer owners. The larger plants will produce and sell ethanol for perhaps 2 cents per gallon less than smaller plants, shaving less than 1% off the wholesale price of ethanol.
Wind is also scaling up. The average wind farm under construction is 80 MW, three times bigger than the largest locally-owned project. Over a dozen proposed projects exceed 200 MW. A large, 200 MW wind farm can produce electricity for 25% less than an otherwise equivalent local 10 MW wind farm, but large wind farms often need new transmission lines to send their power long distances. If a 200 MW project sends its power 500 miles, transmission costs and losses largely offset its economic advantage.
On the other hand, twenty 10 MW projects injecting their electricity into the existing transmission system could produce the same power at close to the same cost while also providing substantial local economic benefits.
Scaling up individual facilities along with overall renewable energy production promises one economy of scale at the expense of another. Larger wind farms and ethanol plants modestly lower the cost of electricity and fuel, but price out local owners. Instead, there are opportunities to continue the rapid expansion of renewable energy with a policy economy of scale: combining energy and rural development.
In the next five years, both wind and ethanol production could double again. If the additional 13,000 MW of wind was locally-owned it could add $300 million to rural economies. If the additional 5 billion gallons of ethanol production were owned locally, it could add another $650 million in farmer dividends. That's $1 billion of rural development in concert with doubling renewable energy production.
One state has already used policy to prioritize this economy of scale. Minnesota's Community-Based Energy Development statute offers a favorable tariff for locally owned renewable energy projects, requires 51% ownership by Minnesota residents, and designates 51% of financial benefits to local owners. Since 2005, it has ushered in over 150 MW of community-owned wind and made hundreds of rural residents into energy producers. Minnesota leads the nation in locally-owned wind with close to 400 MW built or contracted and the state's 4th-ranking 967 MW of wind capacity shows that community-based policy is compatible with large-scale renewable energy production.
There's also an opportunity to support local ownership nationally. The federal production tax credit (PTC) is the most substantial incentive given to renewable energy producers, but it can only be applied to passive income (e.g. rental income), which few citizens have. Two Minnesota Representatives, Walz and Peterson, have introduced a bill (HR 2691)—currently before the House Ways and Means Committee—to allow the PTC to be taken against ordinary income. This amendment would allow many more Americans to access the tax credit, and become investors in renewable energy.
Rapid growth of the renewable energy industry requires economies of scale. The status quo rewards ever-larger production facilities for rather modest reductions in costs and indirectly reduces local ownership. A policy of locally-owned renewable energy production, however, could pour nearly $1 billion into rural economies via thousands of rural owners. That's an economy of scale.
John Farrell is a research associate at the Institute for Local Self-Reliance, where he examines the benefits of local ownership in renewable energy. His latest paper, Wind and Ethanol: Economies and Diseconomies of Scale, uncovers why bigger isn't necessarily better. He's a graduate of the University of Minnesota's Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs and currently resides in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
@ Scott
Farmers already handle a much higher level of occupational risk of failure than most: weather, crop prices, pests, equipment costs all pose a threat of financial ruin every year. So you raise an important point, especially in light of current agricultural policy.
The idea behind local ownership of renewable energy is that it represents diversification of investment for a farmer beyond commodities. A corn farmer is entirely reliant on the market for corn. A farmer with an ownership share in an ethanol plant has a financial advantage from low corn prices as well as high corn prices. A farmer with a wind turbine has steady income regardless of his crop.
The key to avoiding government bailouts of ethanol plants is in part to make smart policy up front. Minnesota's ethanol production incentive provided a payment only on the plant's first 15 million gallons. It encouraged small-scale plants that could be more quickly paid off. However, as these plants matured, almost all have been expanded. Minnesota's C-BED legislation accomplishes the same for wind without a government payment. A front-loaded electricity tariff helps local owners pay off their investment, so that a failure is not catastrophic.
Ultimately, local owners have to accept the same risks as anyone for being entrepreneurial, but government policy can prioritize ownership to the extent that it provides a better social and economic benefit for renewable energy.
Mr. Farrell makes some important points, but his article seems to start with the assumption that all projects will go as planned and operate profitably inasmuch as he makes no mention at all of the risks involvement in becoming owners. Yes, local farmers COULD make more as owners, but they could also lose everything. What then?
I'm not saying that local ownership is a bad idea, but I am nervous about what happens if governments artificially drive it and it goes bad. If the investors in big plants lose everything, governments tend to take the view that they invested with their eyes open and leave them to absorb the lose. However, if local farmers start losing everything, government will come under immense pressure to cover the losses. I am inclined to think that governments should neither drive or discourage local investment. Better to ensure that all of the costs, risks and benefits are factored into the equations and then let investors (be they local and / or remote) decide.
The same "locally-owned" economic arguments have been made for several generations about agriculture, ranching, timber, and every other resource-based industry. The bottom line is that locally-owned frequently can not tap the economies of scale for production, sign the large long-term product delivery contracts, set up the product delivery infrastructure, or attract the major investor capital to put it all in-place.
Here in our town, we have a thriving Saturday farmer's market. Local farmers sell their locally-grown produce direct to the public, providing food for over 1,000 people. Safeways, Raleys and the other major national supermarkets feed the other 79,000.
EF Schumacher did make the case that "Small is Beautiful", but with most renewable energy systems that are destined actually replace existing conventional multi-MW generators and feed power to mainstream America via the grid, industrial strength will win-out.
Hey
Here is how I see it. We are talking about and looking for that right balance or formula of expense VS product. I think we all agree RE is the right things to do! The real issue is funding and finding that right “formula” to get these ideas implemented. My idea or vision (what ever you want to call it) is that multiple RE products be combined in one location to make the overall energy produced cost effective. I propose we combine wind/solar/methane/biomass together at one source within each community.
What better (established) place than your local landfill!! Pre purchased land that is already maintained. Set up a local (city) energy co-op. That is how the local economy can prosper in more than one way! They already are on land that has no real high or reusable selling options for many, many years so that expense is not in the equation. Set up solar on the existing buildings and install 1-2 turbines (maybe sponsored by local university) for a more concentrated “overall” power production. As for biomass there are refineries that exist that can convert multiple materials to energy. Local farmers can truck in (the only bad exchange of Co2) to the site and weigh in to receive “credits or payments” for their delivery. This way there is just one big expense for the refinery. To comments about using trucks (burning gas) to deliver RE products please think first. How do all those organic farmers get there product to the local weekend market…driving! Set up a bio-fuel station at the landfill for them.To take it further the landfill has to be covered in something to combat runoff and it has to be mowed ANYWAY. Why not plant switch grass and just bag it and put it into the mix!
For that matter towns maintain (grow & mow) common areas anyway and the towns have “waste trucks”??? to throw brush away. Why not switch grass side walks and medians or highway area that can be collected by “FUEL TRUCKS”! It's all in how you look at it!
So to sum it up as cities grow they become a bigger enviro problem. The landfill is there anyway. The system is there anyway. This would allow local farmers to grow and sell a differnet organic product. Hey doesn't that solve another issue of compedative organic products and the rising cost of corn?! Let’s find better and yes different ways of looking at it.
As I always try and solve a problem I look to the “problem” for my answer!
Sorry for the rant but, there are lot of things that need to be looked at in a different way!
Marty Hanks
The Ideal Co.
I have to disagree with Mr. Farrell. The market will tell you which system is better. Time and time again, history has shown us that larger setups tend to be more efficient.
The most simplest of examples is the retailer. As much as people hate Wal-mart, they are simply more efficient than the numerous smaller shops.
With this it will be no different. When you include all direct costs, (engineering design, construction, ongoing operating, etc.) the economies of scale will win out. It's really not just a theory in our economics books.
Bottom line - we really don't have to act like a communist entity and say which system is more efficient. The free market will do it for us.
Paul
Intending to or not you provide support for my idea. If this "cummulative system" is cheaper in that some of the upfront costs are covered and managment and collection sytems already exist then it is on track to be lower to start up and maintain. The idea of the community playing a part in providing "some" of their own energy while at the same time dealing with waste issues and providing income to local famalies (farmer) needs to be explored further. Oh yea there is the part that they are helping to finance RE solutions that in time will be free energy.
Look at it at reinvesting into your community. Also think of teaching & research oppertunaties.
Marty Hanks
Hey all,
Obviously, heat of the moment rants or opinions shouldn’t be attempted w/o spell check! Please after quick laugh insert…*cumulative
*management
*systems
*families
*opportunities
into the above response for complete enjoyment.
Thanks,
Marty
As of the 'wind', economical/consumber size are better of with its price. At point of service it costs more than $0.10/kwh more then $100/MWH. While wind farm are selling thier electricity at about #30.00/mwh some others are selling at $18.00/MWH. These above number are saying for themselves. The only problem is the current techonlogy is too costly in order to provide too little. The following article form BBC news say it all. http://news.bbc.co.uk/nol/ukfs_news/hi/newsid_6410000/newsid_6419300/6419397.stm
Are we waiting for a new technology that YET TO COME? aren't we?
Phi (Neo-aerodynamic.com)
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September 12, 2007
In Minnesota, 80% of the state's 600 million gallons of ethanol production and over 30% of the 900 MW of wind power are locally-owned. In Denmark, wind power is almost entirely locally-owned and provides close to 20% of the country's electricity. Local owners can raise capital, build facilities of significant size, and serve large populations. The missing piece is the new rules that align the social and economic priority of better renewable energy with public policy. Check out Minnesota's Community-Based Energy Development statute for more information, www.c-bed.org.