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Will the Cost of Silicon Keep PV Prices High?

By Scott Sklar
May 2, 2005   |   2 Comments

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2 Reader Comments
Comment
1 of 2
May 3, 2005
The bulk of silicon used for PV cells remains scrap from electronics grade (EG) silicon. It is sold to PV manufacturers at a much lower price than EG silicon, but being scrap, its supply is limited. Competition for that supply reduces the price spread between EG and PV grade silicon, and is encouraging a few producers to make PV grade silicon directly. But so far, AFAIK, the cost of directly manufactured PV silicon isn't much less than that of EG silicon. Maybe that will change, but meanwhile the most promising way to reduce the silicon cost in PV modules is to reduce the silicon content through use of either thin cells or solar concentrators.
Comment
2 of 2
May 4, 2005
In 1998, the polysilicon suppliers warned of a shortage of PV material by 2002 due to rapid growth in the PV industry, continued growth in the semiconductor industry, reduced volume of scrap material available, and the reluctance of suppliers to invest in new facilities due to low prices. There simply was not enough (if any) profit to justify capacity expansion, particularly for the prices that the Solar Industry was willing to pay. At present, the demand for solar grade silicon feedstock is about 9000 metric tons. Since the industry produces only 3000 metric tons of scrap, the shortfall has to be covered by polysilicon produced for the PV industry or the industry has to bid against the semiconductor industry for electronic grade poly. The only answer for the next ten years' demand is to increase existing capacity of the polysilicon supply.
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Scott Sklar

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About: Scott, founder and president of The Stella Group, Ltd., in Washington, DC, is the Chair of the Steering Committee of the Sustainable Energy Coalition and serves... more »

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