"The opinion that wind energy can't deliver on a big scale has been blown away"
- Corin Millais, CEO of EWEA
"What is valuable from the European perspective is that in Germany the planned tripling of wind energy to deliver 14 percent of the country's electricity consumption by 2015 is technically feasible and economically very effective", said Corin Millais, CEO of EWEA. "The reports' findings are significant for policy makers - can wind power practically deliver an important part of a country's electricity supply? The answer is yes. It costs little and there are no technical constraints. The opinion that wind energy can't deliver on a big scale has been blown away"
The core results of the study are that:
- Wind energy installations in Germany can expand from almost 17 GW today to 36 GW in 2015 and 48 GW in 2020. Wind energy annual production triples from 23,5 TWh in 2003 to 77,2 TWh in 2015, providing 14 percent of the German net electricity consumption.
- Wind energy increases only marginally the cost of electricity for the consumers: The total additional cost caused by tripling wind power production up to 77 TWh in 2015 compared to 2003 is estimated to be between 1.6 and 2.3 Billion Euro on the basis of minor or no price increases for fossil fuels. For an average household using 3.5 MWh per year the incremental cost due to higher generation costs and increased grid charges would be in the order of 1 Euro per month.
- Wind energy requires only minor expansion of the grid; Until 2015, an additional 850 km of extra high voltage lines should be built, and another 400 km should be upgraded. This corresponds to a share of 5 percent of the currently existing extra high voltage line tracks. The corresponding investment is estimated to be 1.1 Billion Euro. Grid extension alone would increase the electricity cost by 2015 for the consumer by the equivalent of less than 1 Euro per household per annum.
- Wind energy does not require construction of additional 'balancing' power stations; Additional required balancing power can be provided by the existing conventional plants.
- Wind energy can help to maintain the system security of supply even with a very significant percentage of the power supply; Improved grid connection codes issued in 2003 which make use of advanced wind turbine technology, ensure that until 2015 the security of supply can be maintained and supported by the increasing wind power capacity.
The report, however, did leave some unanswered questions.
"The quality of advanced turbine technology and the optimisation potential of the grid for the integration of wind energy was not sufficiently analysed in the dena study, this needs to be done now," said Thorsten Herdan, Managing Director of VDMA Power Systems.
Peter Ahmels, CEO of BWE said that his organization agreed with the study's overall findings but found that some improvements are necessary for a follow up study.
"Networking optimisation, temperature monitoring and incorporation into the balancing power market have not been taken into account, as well as connection to neighbouring electricity markets e.g. Scandinavia with its hydro power resources," Ahmels said.
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77200GWh/(36x365.25x24)GWh=24% of availability?
or 77200/(365.25x24)=8.8GWh effective installed power?
"- Wind energy does not require construction of additional 'balancing' power stations; Additional required balancing power can be provided by the existing conventional plants."
But what if your objective is to get rid of this "existing conventional plants" (being fossil or nuclear)?
in the case of UK, some study (http://www.guardian.co.uk/renewable/Story/0,2763,1481540,00.html) let imagine a best mix contribution for about 50% of the production. what about the other 50% ?