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Solar in Canada: Telling the Good News Story

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The information and views expressed in this blog post are solely those of the author and not necessarily those of RenewableEnergyWorld.com or the companies that advertise on this Web site and other publications. This blog was posted directly by the author and was not reviewed for accuracy, spelling or grammar.

11 Reader Comments
Comment
1 of 11
February 22, 2013
"FIT created a sector from scratch"

... and then destroyed it.

The OPA has been reacting to the rapid changes in the PV world like the lumbering bureaucratic elephant it is, and invariably ends up being behind the curve and repeatedly gamed. As this process continued, and elections loomed, the response cycle got slower and slower.

We still need what we needed from the beginning - a rational plan for residential and small commercial systems that combines some form of net metering with a "bonus", like the NJ system. microFIT is simply small FIT, which is based on an industrial model of PPA's and ROI arguments. Homeowners don't want to hear it. They want to know what happens to their power bill, and with microFIT the answer is "nothing". And what they *don't* want to hear is that they have to pay tax on it.

Right now microFIT is paying 54.5 cents/kWh for rooftop. Power is running about 15 cents/kWh averaged but there's a TOU component that makes peak as high as 20 cents. So if we moved to a net metering solution we could immediately reduce the "fit rate" by 20 cents. But because 20 cents is no longer income, we can lower it further, say to 15 cents, and the end result is the same.

Finally, installing microFIT requires a separate meter. This costs thousands of dollars to install. By moving to net metering, this portion of the install is removed. So maybe go down to 10 cents bonus.

So now we're paying maybe 35 cents total for PV instead of 55, a figure no one will complain about. Yet the end result for the homeowner is close to flat.
Comment
2 of 11
February 23, 2013
Maury, I cannot disagree more. It may be enough of an incentive for some people to have a net metering system but the massive uptake we have had in the past few years is due the 10%+ ROI that is basically guaranteed by FIT. Until enough people look at solar as a mainstream technology, we will have to pay the piper just as the Germans have done. Note that they are now are nearly par and people are still putting in systems.

We do not have a general consensus even in the need for solar or other less damaging energy production methods. The NUC lobby industry is so strong that the current FIT program (for better or worse) is the best advertising we could possible get for solar PV. Remember that the cost to the average electric bill of the FIT program is only about $.02/month (I could be off a bit on this but not that much) so the real impact is minimal even with 10 times the installed capacity.

The Conservatives have no power policy that includes solar and the NDP has basically no idea what they are doing AND the leader sidelines the only real solar advocate in her caucus so it is left to the Liberals and a program, without which, you would probably not be employed in this industry.

When the acceptance is higher we will get to a lower cost but until then, the program must remain.

One thing to add, the FIT is probably the most "democratic" program out there to promote PV. With the changing attitude of some banks to lending almost solely on the return provided by the power produced, the barriers to entry have been lowered dramatically.
Comment
3 of 11
February 23, 2013
'the massive uptake we have had in the past few years is due the 10%+ ROI'

If you had a 10% ROI in your body, you'd call it 'cancer'. If you had a 10% ROI in your portfolio, you'd call it 'pre-bubble'. When you have 10% payouts in PV, the very first thing you should think is that something is seriously wrong.

When you have big growth it's almost always followed by big problems. And that's exactly what we have in Ontario now. I suspect that you would have happily moved some of your 2010/11 business to 12/13 if you could, no?

In any event, I think you've entirely missed the point of the rest of my post. I fully agree that we need an incentive program to promote PV.

What I disagree with is the form of the program we have, which has led to the boom of 2011, followed by the crash of 2012.

Any program led entirely from the top, with no automatic market resets, is doomed to have these sorts of cycles.

I am not alone in thinking this is a serious problem. Both CanSIA and OSEA have both proposed an automatic sliding-scale based on uptake, specifically to fix this problem and all of the political and business planning fall-out it causes.

I suggest that net-metering + buns is an even better solution, mostly because it dramatically lowers the cost of installation. If you have to have a second meter on the grid side, you're looking at thousands of dollars of install cost for *nothing*. Moreover, it eliminates any possibility of using the panels for a UPS.

I'm not inventing this myself, I'm just looking for success stories. NJ is a massive success story. And they did that without the political fallout, gold rush/crash, and the weird requirements of microFIT.

Is it too much to ask that we have a program that claims the same?
Comment
4 of 11
February 23, 2013
There are definitely things that can be done to reduce the cost of installs. If part of the goal, as stated by the govt, is to build up manufacturing of PV panels and equipment, there has to be some critical mass to start with. They messed up a lot by this on again/ off again program which isn't helping at all with this goal.

I don't care if the FIT prices as they are now stand but the evidence shows that this type of incentive works in building up momentum. We are a small market by manufacturers standards so it takes more incentive to get manufacturers to set up here. The promise of a minimum market size is important.

I too think the double meter is a stupid requirement but the utilities have to be dragged into this process and they won't make it easy, just look at the BS that Hydro One puts people through.

In the end we agree on the goal. BTW, the cancer analog isn't a good one because although the market is not putting the brakes on it, we can adjust things by having systematic reduction in rates. The payments as they are now are not going to cripple anyones bank account. It is still small potatoes.
Comment
5 of 11
February 25, 2013
FiTs are just PPAs; but pretending otherwise makes them fair game: detractors can rail about the value of a solar PPA without a whiff of complaint when natural gas peakers receive equally favorable treatment.
Ontario FiTs could have had a digression scheme like Germany recognizing that costs diminish as market grows and less incentive is required with increasing uptake; but this would have been of little advantage: whenever Germany schedules a digression, a myriad of politicians and the press put out that it is an indicator of failure even though digression is driven by success. The ugly facts of the Ontario approach are that bureaucratic delay and obfuscation are primary mechanisms used to limit growth and there is, as the article points out, a cap on total non-hydro renewable sources (and always has been) limiting it to a picayune portion of total generation. This is lost on the public and in particular the opposition Conservatives who must get their math done by chimps entering random numbers into a computer.
The two meter thing is a crock. Consider that customers were forced to pay for new smart meters to support TOU pricing and yet, they couldn't come up with a 'smart' meter capable of separately measuring line side and load side current. Worse, by using dual meters with totally independent calibration, billing error exceeds the limits of the Weights and Measures Act. Remind me again - what century is this?
In terms of solar resource, southern Saskatchewan has the best although parts of Alberta, Manitoba and northwestern Ontario are also quite good. This part of Canada has dual advantages of a preponderance of clear days and low ambient temperatures resulting in net solar energy production which is remarkable.
Ontario's policies are somewhat flawed in that they resulted in a proliferation of solar and wind development in regions with less good resources, in particular, with a determination to prevent wind power in the best locations.
Comment
6 of 11
February 25, 2013
Sadly, there's good news and bad news.
In Saskatchewan, the good news - a ample solar and wind resources; the bad news - the highest per capita carbon footprint in Canada. Saskatchewan does not have a FiT or true net metering scheme although they do allow DGs to dump surplus power onto the grid. There is also a modest incentive scheme for this sort of 'net metering'. For reference, southern Saskatchewan's solar resource is 1-1/2 times that of Germany.
In Ontario, the best resource is west of the Soo but, after years of indifference, resources in this area (including vast hydroelectric potential)is stranded. Small comfort is ready access to the Michigan peninsula, a healthy export market.
In Manitoba, the good news for solar is they aren't agin' it; but, government only encourages solar heating. PV, from the government's perspective, should use local battery storage.
In Alberta, the good news - the southeast has an excellent solar resource. The bad news - it is early days for solar policy featuring a net metering scheme for micro-generation with a less than commercial rate of return. Farmers are offered attractive cash rebates.
In Quebec, the news for renewables in general is very good, Quebec being over supplied and a major exporter of renewable energy. The bad news - well developed hydroelectric capacity minimizes the need for other sources. Also, it offsets the need for solar in eastern Ontario which being outside lake effect weather has a good solar resource. Nevertheless, Quebec has net metering and a modest program for solar heating and off-grid PV.
Overall, the good news for Canada is that most of the country has more than adequate renewable resources including solar resources near centers of population with the exception of Newfoundland and coastal BC. The bad news is that Canadians are excessive users of electricity with a large per-capita carbon footprint and a federal government which prefers bitumen export over renewable energy exports.
Comment
7 of 11
February 25, 2013
"Worse, by using dual meters with totally independent calibration, billing error exceeds the limits of the Weights and Measures Act"

Actually that's not quite true. I called the guy who wrote the original report on this (Michael@Measurement Canada IIRC) and had a good 1/2 hour chat with him. Quite the opposite of what the OPA claimed, his paper specifically states that behind-the-meter is fine, as long as you do a little accounting. When I told him what the OPA was saying, he got upset and fired off an email to them, which went nowhere.

I suspect the LDC's didn't want to have to do the extra accounting, so the OPA simply said "no". So now we have two problems: the expense of double metering (I've heard horror stories up to $8500) and that the panels are on the wrong side of the circuit to do automatic transfers... so no power during a blackout.

Believe it or not, this problem could also be solved by not having the generator meter measure dollars. If the meter measures "renewable energy credits" and then you get paid a certain value for those "RECs", that's perfectly fine under the WMA. Ahh, laws.
Comment
8 of 11
February 25, 2013
Maury ... sorry, I forgot that the whole metering thing is a festering sore. Measurement Canada has the general impression that it has a duty to protect consumers from fraudulent or inaccurate sales practices and that consumers have a right to confirm the measurements on which their payment is based while the industry, as one might expect, disagrees. In one presentation, the industry association went as far as to claim that power is not necessarily the product of voltage and in phase current. The problem with smart meters is that they measure both time and usage which doubles the precision of metrology issue. At the same time, a simple cumulative record of consumption is inadequate creating a significant data management and records keeping issue. Measurement Canada asks that all of these things be qualified to a level of statistical precision and, given the relative level of experience data, that this be done rather more frequently than for the old electro-mechanical single data point meters. The industry take is they should be able to measure more, calibrate less and provide users with less feedback, particularly any data which could be correlated with billing data. An additional problem arises when data is lost and the utility simply fudges the numbers (there is a politically correct term for that process). When you introduce a second meter into the mix, things only get more complicated. There is a simple mathematical point that if one is going to make a billing on the difference between two meters, each must by more precise in order to maintain the same precision as a single meter in the result.
The industry take is simple, it costs money to provide accurate metrology and accounting. Also, precise reckoning exposes them to liability if a provable problem occurs.
Comment
9 of 11
February 28, 2013
Most provinces need to get serious about renewable energy in any and all forms. Consider that electricity consumers in Quebec pay about half as much as consumers in Ontario, Ontario burns 20 times as much fossil fuel and produces 23% less electricity. What's the secret? Quebec relies almost entirely on renewable sources, produces substantially more electricity than it needs and has a healthy export business. British Columbia relies strongly on renewable sources and its consumers pay about 1/3 less than in Ontario even though BC generally has to import power from Washington and Alberta. One can find a strong correlation between electricity prices and dependence on fossil fuels. Albertans who depend almost entirely on fossil fuels also enjoy the highest electricity prices of all the southern provinces. Ontarians, assuming they next choose the Conservative party to lead them, can look forward to a similar level of enjoyment. They should be happy that power generation in Ontario already has the largest carbon footprint of any province with a 44% lead over second place. While Ontario is a major solar market, solar is only a drop in the bucket thus far; hopefully, the good news is much more not less.
While researching solar water and space heating, I noticed a strange anomaly: Canadian companies hold a substantial portion of the North American market but it is almost entirely an export business.
Comment
10 of 11
February 28, 2013
How, when Alberta and Saskatchewan are both major fossil users, can we be first in carbon footprint. I assume you mean in aggregate not per capita.
Comment
11 of 11
March 1, 2013
@mike - true: I'm referring only to the carbon footprint of electrical power generation in each province. Obviously, Alberta produces a lot of energy in other forms as well and has the highest total carbon footprint as a consequence; however, you can move Ontario up the scale if you include other products like cement. Nevertheless,Ontario produces more GHG from electricity production than any other province and could use much more clean energy development. Or, if you wan't to point the finger elsewhere, Alberta is the leader in per-capita GHG from electricity production. If you want to do better accounting, you can include GHG emissions in Alberta and Saskatchewan resulting from the production of fossil fuels which are burned in Ontario - this has the effect of slightly increasing Ontario's lead in GHG from power generation.
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Adrienne Baker, Canadian Clean Energy Conferences

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About: Adrienne is a director at Canadian Clean Energy Conferences. With degrees from McGill and Concordia, Adrienne Baker spent seven years in financial journalism re... more »
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