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Preparing for "Cheaper than Grid" Solar Electricity

John Farrell
November 20, 2012  |  2 Comments

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It started with off-grid locations, places where electricity was either carried in or generated on-site. Then it beat expensive diesel generators. In 2010, unsubsidized solar electricity could best on-grid retail electricity prices of major utilities in Hawaii. In the next decade, residents in metropolitan areas representing 100 million people will watch the biggest solar barrier yet — economics — fall by the wayside.

But cost isn’t the only barrier to solar, and U.S. states should carefully consider the lessons learned in Hawaii as solar creeps toward cost parity with the grid.

For one, utilities adhere to archaic limits on local power generation that can severely curtail the expansion of residential and commercial rooftop solar power. For another, local permit authorities can be overwhelmed when cost-effective solar means that as many has half of local building permit applications are for solar installations. And costly electrical upgrades and grid interconnection studies can add thousands to the cost of solar arrays.

Then there are the 3 out of 4 residential and commercial buildings that aren’t suitable for solar because of the orientation or shading or the occupant is a renter, but who could “go solar” by sharing in a community project.

And of course there’s the political backlash if the existing incentives for solar don’t scale back commensurate with the falling cost of solar, leaving taxpayers holding the bag.

This short presentation outlines the challenges and solutions from Hawaii (and the full details can be found in the report here):

 
Hawaiian Sunblock: Solar Facing Unexpected Barriers Despite Low Cost from John Farrell

This post originally appeared on ILSR’s Energy Self-Reliant States blog.

Lead image: Tension wires via Shutterstock

The information and views expressed in this blog post are solely those of the author and not necessarily those of RenewableEnergyWorld.com or the companies that advertise on this Web site and other publications. This blog was posted directly by the author and was not reviewed for accuracy, spelling or grammar.

2 Comments

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V. Bruce Stenswick
V. Bruce Stenswick
November 20, 2012
I have a suggestion for one of the authors problems. Suppose you set a state goal of 10 MW of residential solar photovoltaics per month, and set a tax credit of 18% along with the federal tax credit. Every month you check to see how much photovoltaics was contracted for, and if in the range 9.5 MW to 10.5 MW, leave it alone, if less than 9.5 MW, increment the tax credit 1%, if more than 10.5 MW decrement the tax credit 1%.
Maury Markowitz
Maury Markowitz
November 20, 2012
I recently had a chance to look at a power bill from Jamaica. Power is flat-metered (no time-of-use) at 12 cents. Oh, except for the fuel surcharge of 26 cents. All in except taxes, 38 cents/kWh.

A quick LCoE without depreciation shows PV at $5 a watt installed (which is likely way too high) is about 14 cents/kWh.

They should be paving the place with panels.

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John Farrell

John Farrell

John Farrell directs the Energy Self-Reliant States and Communities program at ILSR and he focuses on energy policy developments that best expand the benefits of local ownership and dispersed generation of renewable energy. His latest paper,...
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