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Don't Miss The Great Solar Debate: Where Does the Global Solar Industry Stand? Click Here to Register! ×

Fight Climate Change like a German

Paul Hockenos
November 29, 2012  |  21 Comments

The in-progress Doha Climate Change Conference presents the perfect opportunity to read Global Cooling: Strategies for Climate Protection by Hans-Josef Fell. Green parliamentarian Fell is one of the fathers of Germany’s Renewable Energy Law, the seminal legislation guiding the country's Energiewende.

Fell refutes the tired line that saving the planet’s climate requires sacrifice, vast riches, and endless red tape. Rather than focusing on costs, he points out the gains of proactive policies overhauling our economies within clean energy frameworks.

In a nutshell, there’s serious money to be made (and saved) in the greening of our societies, as well as other perks like energy security, reduced energy imports, job creation, poverty reduction, the generation of substantial tax revenue – not to mention quotidian environmental protection.

Numbers illustrate clearly just how lucrative: Germany’s boom in renewables created a growing industry that has a $16.9 billion annual turnover and employs 382,000 people, many of them in the economically depressed, rural former East. Investment in renewable energy plants reached an all-time high of $31.2 billion in 2011.

Since the production of wind and solar power is largely free of costs once initial investments in infrastructure have been made, one day Germany will have rock-bottom energy prices compared to economies still addicted to fossil fuels and nuclear energy. With “peak oil” days already behind us, and an expected subsequent rise in fossil fuel costs as supply dwindles, this day of comparative advantage may come sooner rather than later.

In addition, Fell claims the energy transition has helped Germany weather the recent economic crises so well. The renewables boom benefited not just major industries like steel, but actors along the value chain: craftsmen, planning offices, financial firms, mutual funds, farmers, and engineering and construction companies, among others. The key to its success is not government subsidies or central planning, but rather a small surcharge tacked onto consumers’ energy bills. This feed-in tariff model is, for Fell, essential to combating climate change.

It is not coincidence that Fell’s book came out in the months preceding Doha. Global Cooling is a how-to manual, presenting a workable recipe for climate protection, as well as starkly admonishing policymakers to steer away from “pseudo-solutions” that aggravate the problem or divert resources from solving it.

Among the gravest of these is carbon capture and storage, or CCS. The idea is to capture carbon from coal-fired power plants and store it forever in abandoned underground mines. A pilot technology that the coal industry once touted, they ran in the other direction as soon as the EU took it seriously and recommended mandatory CCS targets.

In addition to being undeveloped and enormously expensive, Fell, along with most experts and environmental groups, sees CCS as a red herring, distracting from practical solutions. As the captured gases would never dissipate, their escape at any time over the next millennia as the result of, say, an earthquake would again release that carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Further no-goes are non-sustainably produced bio-fuels, hydrogen technologies, natural gas cars, and geoengineering.

Why does one need these expensive, futuristic technologies anyway, asks Fell, when renewables production, reforestation, energy efficiency measures, sustainable bioenergy, and biological agriculture are already there for us – and so affordable?

Just how “affordable” they are to economies less muscular then Germany’s is another question. But once the ball gets rolling, as it is in Germany, the benefits are hard to dispute.

Lead image: Boxing glove via Shutterstock

The information and views expressed in this blog post are solely those of the author and not necessarily those of RenewableEnergyWorld.com or the companies that advertise on this Web site and other publications. This blog was posted directly by the author and was not reviewed for accuracy, spelling or grammar.

21 Comments

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Philip Haddad
Philip Haddad
December 4, 2012
Precisely!
John Bronson
John Bronson
December 3, 2012
AHE - Anthropogenic Heat Emissions
Philip Haddad
Philip Haddad
December 1, 2012
I am not advocating photosynthesis as the renewable solution. It will take solar, wind, hydroelectric, etc to replace fossil fuels and nuclear. Pointing out that CO2 converts photons converted to sugars, as you elegantly put it, and minimizes that which is converted to heat is intended to remind people that CO2 is an important gas that helps regulate temperature through its cooling potential. Because all of the temperature rise can be accounted for by heat emissions alone I believe the power to cool greatly exceeds any heat increase due to CO2's capacity to absorb infra red. The world is hung up on sequestering CO2 and promoting nuclear power because it does not emit CO2. Just this week it has been reported that Greenland lost 250 billion tons of ice last year. That requires 7x10E16 btus or 14% of the heat emitted from our energy use. I don't think the present level of CO2 has anything to do with global warming.
Cliff Claven
Cliff Claven
December 1, 2012
Phillip, okay, I follow that you are saying that photons that would otherwise just radiatively heat the earth are instead absorbed in reforming CO2 and H2O into glucose and polysacharride polymers, etc. Makes sense. I have seen a recent study that discusses direct heating v. radiative forcing in global warming as you mention as well. I am with you up to the point you advocate for renewables. Since you seem to appreciate the mechanics of photosynthesis, how are you going to power civilization with a process that harvests only 0.1% of solar irradiance into solid biomass, and which then loses even more usable energy in the conversion to liquid fuel. Solar irradiance in the cloudless US southwest is 300 W/m2. The fraction becoming biomass is about 0.3W/m2, and the portion ultimately becoming liquid fuel is probably 0.1W/m2, and is effectively much smaller when all the energy inputs required are subtracted. Empirically, we get 0.315 W/m2 out of corn as ethanol, the most productive biofuel crop in the US, and that's after pumping huge amounts of fossil fuel energy into it to get 500 gal/acre. Even at that yield, it would take 700M acres of corn just to replace the 27 quadrillion BTU of US annual transportation energy. Today's deployed solar panels can deliver 6W/m2 as AC electricity, obliterating biomass, but still a shadow of the 90W/m2 of an oil stripper well. What is your vision?
Philip Haddad
Philip Haddad
November 30, 2012
The reaction of CO2 and H2O in the presence of a catalyst, such as chlorophyl in the presence of sunlight converts them into cellulose or lignin with absorption of solar energy equal to 5000 btus per pound. A specific example: 6CO2+ 5H2O ---> C6H10-O5+6O2 264# + 90# ---> 162#+ 192#. Heat of formation: 6(_170.1)+5(-104.4)---> -259 KBTU/# mol = 1283 KBTUs total. Equals 214,000 btus/#mol CO2. Divide = by molecular weight of 44#/#mol CO2, equals 4862 BTUs /# CO2: the amount of solar energy absorbed per pound of CO2. Thanks for your question. I don't think there is enough appreciation for the role CO2 plays in keeping the planet cool. We have simply overwhelmed our system by the excessive amounts of heat emitted.
Cliff Claven
Cliff Claven
November 30, 2012
@Denis-D: US federal subsidies for gas & oil amount to 45 cents per barrel of crude oil equivalent energy domestically produced. The federal government in 2009 (most recent data available from IRS) collected $9.01 per barrel in oil company-paid corporate taxes and consumer-paid sales taxes. This does not count the taxes paid by oil companies to state and local government and other fees and expenses. Oil and gas subsidize all echelons of US government, not the other way around. That is what true primary energy sources must do, by definition. That is also why biofuels and wind and solar are not true primary energy sources. They are subsidized at $10.39, and $31.39 and $52.30 per barrel equivalent energy provided, respectively. You can't just count the outflow, you have to count the revenue. When something is a money-maker, everybody has their hand out for a cut. When something is a money-pit, it is the one with the hand out. Let's end all energy subsidies. The real sources and sink will become obvious in a heartbeat.
Cliff Claven
Cliff Claven
November 30, 2012
Phillip, could you please explain how "photosynthesis removes 5000 BTUs per pound of CO2 converted." From where is this heat energy taken and by what specific chemical or thermodynamic process. The way you phrase this sounds like you are saying that ambient heat energy is consumed in an endothermic chemical reaction that is part of photosynthesis. That is far different than cooling effects from transpiration of water by the leaves. Please explain. I genuinely want to understand what you are saying.
Philip Haddad
Philip Haddad
November 30, 2012
If you will bother to calculate it, the heat emitted from our energy use is more than enough to account for temperature rise. For example: in 2008 energy use was 16 terrawatts. (All energy eventually becomes heat). This is equivalent to 50x10E16 btus per year, or roughly 500 Mount Saint Helen's eruptions. The potential rise is 0.17*F, actual rise was one fourth that due to cooling from melting glaciers and from photosynthesis which removes 5000 btus per pound of CO2 converted. Nuclear power adds twice as much total heat as its electrical output, so is clearly not an acceptable alternate energy. We have the technology to install renewable power, but we fritter away time and money on useless and counter-productive efforts to capture and sequester CO2. The real cause of global warming is HEAT, not CO2.
ANONYMOUS
November 30, 2012
Denis writes in comment #12:
Would Steven care to adjust his cost figures to be comparable, i.e., include the value of government subsidies for coal, natural gas and nuclear energy production in the United States?

OK, such costs are less that $0.01/kWh in the US and dropping (I don't have exact figures at hand but have seen extensive tabulations in the past; natural gas subsidies are much smaller than those for coal and nuclear power, which are very modest. I don't see the point in quibbling over fractions of a penny in this sort of discussion). I don't know fossil fuel subsidies are in Germany, but US subsidies for fossil fuels are all very small compared to the EEG. (The stranded costs of closing down German nuclear power plants before the useful lifetimes is another cost we have not gotten into in detail.)

Any such factors won't change my argument that the surcharges the author calls "small" would be characterized as large (or huge) my many people if they saw the actual numbers. Moreover, if we all "fight climate change like a German" we are going to lose that struggle. The author of this article seems to confuse spending a lot of money with achieving a lot of progress; Germany IS doing a lot of the former, but its actual record on the latter is pretty weak. In fact, the Euro-style FIT policies have led directly to the boom and bust cycles in the solar PV industry that are arguably SLOWING progress in that sector compared to where we would be without such FITs.
Steven
Denis Du Bois
Denis Du Bois
November 30, 2012
Would Steven care to adjust his cost figures to be comparable, i.e., include the value of government subsidies for coal, natural gas and nuclear energy production in the United States? That would elucidate the conversation (but perhaps defeat his purpose). We all pay for those subsidies through our taxes rather than on our utility bills.
Dimitar Mirchev
Dimitar Mirchev
November 30, 2012
Also this one:

Renewables raise German retail power rate by 7 percent but lower industry prices by 18 percent

http://www.renewablesinternational.net/renewables-raise-german-retail-power-rate-by-7-percent-but-lower-industry-prices-by-18-percent/150/537/57492/

Infact here is the graph I want you to see:

http://www.renewablesinternational.net/files/smthumbnaildata/lightboxdetail/1/3/1/4/0/3/image002.png

0.69 eurocents from the 2013 EEG Surcharge is for pay the debt accumulated during 2012.

2014 it will be gone.
Dimitar Mirchev
Dimitar Mirchev
November 30, 2012
Steven

Craig Moris has several articles on the EEG Surcharge in:

http://www.renewablesinternational.net/

which contain and explain all the components of the EEG and why they are there. You'll be surprised.

Here they are:

http://www.renewablesinternational.net/what-does-the-energiewende-cost-industry/150/537/58681/

This one!
http://www.renewablesinternational.net/the-energiewende-cost-index/150/537/57917/
Dimitar Mirchev
Dimitar Mirchev
November 30, 2012
Steven
This:
"Germans having PV on their roofs may one day generate electricity cheaper than it can be purchased on the German grid because the costs of intermittency mitigation will be foisted on all ratepayers, but It will be a LONG time before it is cheaper than grid prices in countries with sensible energy policies--if ever."

Could not be MORE wrong. The latest Fit For the smallest roof-top PV is:

http://www.germanenergyblog.de/?p=10767

17.90 eurocent/kWh. January it will be 17.

And how much an electricity cost to buy it from the grid for the domestic users?

http://www.energy.eu/#Domestic-Elec

Germany € 0.2541/kWh

The electricity produced on the roof is cheaper than the one from the grid, my friend :)
Cliff Claven
Cliff Claven
November 30, 2012
Thanks. Appears not to work when editing a comment.
ANONYMOUS
November 30, 2012
Cliff:
I get new paragraphs by simply hitting the return key a couple times to get a blank line separation. This site has occasionally had problems in the past with white space being stripped out, especially if you edit a previously posted comment. However, it seems to be working now....
Steven
Cliff Claven
Cliff Claven
November 30, 2012
Anyone want to reveal how they make paragraphs in these comments. I hate running everything together into a mass, but the can't find a break or linefeed code that doesn't get stripped out.
ANONYMOUS
November 30, 2012
Dmitar:
Regarding your remarks in comment #3, there is a long history of underestimating the cost of the EEG surcharge even one year into the future. The charge has increased every year and hopes that it might begin to level off seem overly optimistic. Even if the surcharge remains at the ~$0.068/kWh level of 2013, which does not include a 19% VAT added on top of this, I'd consider the costs oppressive.

As for my use of the term "skyrocketing cost of renewables" I think most readers would agree that a 47% increase in costs associated with the renewables program in the space of a single year might fairly be characterized as skyrocketing. The very high rates promised by the German FIT program for current generation capacity are locked in for decades so even though the FIT rates for new generation are decreasing modestly, high electricity costs are guaranteed in Germany long into the future. Furthermore, the removal and cheap nuclear power and the need to deal with increased intermittency concerns are going to push German electricity prices even higher than they are now.

In the meantime the steady but not pell-mell increase in renewables in the US, which does not pay outlandish FITs, and the shift away from coal to cheap natural gas is keeping US electricity prices steady at about $0.10/kWh while causing dramatic deceases in CO2 generation. How many decades--or centuries--will it take for German electricity prices to match the affordable levels found in the US?

Germans having PV on their roofs may one day generate electricity cheaper than it can be purchased on the German grid because the costs of intermittency mitigation will be foisted on all ratepayers, but It will be a LONG time before it is cheaper than grid prices in countries with sensible energy policies--if ever.

Steven
Cliff Claven
Cliff Claven
November 30, 2012
1. 'Fight Climate Change like a German' . . . by throwing away $26.8 Euro in emissionless nuclear power generation and building 26 new coal plants. Brilliant. Germany and Japan are both increasing their CO2 emissions, fully offsetting reductions by the rest of the EU and flouting their Kyoto obligations. 2. 'One day Germany will have rock-bottom energy prices compared to economies still addicted to fossil fuels and nuclear energy.' Well addressed by commenter above. However consider these additional facts. Every German on the grid pays something called Umlage, a special surcharge to subsidize green energy. The average Germany household rate is now up to 175-250 euro a year. The overall value of the subsidy is approaching 20 billion euro a year, about one percent of GDP! This is on top of what are some of the highest electricity rate in Europe, which have already risen 44 percent since Merkel came to power seven years ago. 3. 'With 'peak oil' days already behind us . . .' On what basis do you say this? Global production of crude oil is rising and set a new record in 2011. Global proved reserves are rising and set a new record in 2011. Where's the peak? - Germany is setting a great example of how to commit national economic suicide and take the climate with it. Meanwhile, I request Paul Hockenos please provide the data upon which he makes his outlandish claims.
Dimitar Mirchev
Dimitar Mirchev
November 30, 2012
@ #1 Anonimous

The EEG surcharge may decline next year:

http://www.germanenergyblog.de/?p=11421

And the EEG surcharge will peak in 2-3 years and than start to decline and millions Germans will have PV on their roofs which will produce cheaper electricity than the one you can buy from the grid.

"Given the skyrocketing cost of renewables, one is forced to wonder when exactly is "one day"?"

One may wonder what the heck you are talking about? What SKYROCKETING cost of renewables? Where? What type of renewables?

Enlighten me.
V. Bruce Stenswick
V. Bruce Stenswick
November 29, 2012
There is some truth to what they are saying. I just superinsulated my house. Was it a good investment? Not by traditional measures, but I spend less than the price of a new car, which is currently over $30000. Ten years from now that new car will be worth $5000. For the next 100 years whoever lives in my house will have absurdly low heating bills, and carbon emissions. It somewhat depends on how you spin the numbers.
ANONYMOUS
November 29, 2012
The author writes: "The key to its success is not government subsidies or central planning, but rather a small surcharge tacked onto consumers' energy bills."

The value of this "small surcharge" was 3.592 eurocents/kWh (~$0.047/kWh at today's exchange rate) in 2012 and will increase to 5.277 eurocents/kWh for 2013 (~$0.068/kWh in dollars), a whopping 47% increase in a single year. In the US, the average cost of electricity is about $0.10/kWh, of which about 6 cents is for generation and 4 cents for transmission and distribution. Thus, the "small surcharge" the author refers to is more than the production price for electricity in the US and nearly 70% of the mean retail rate. Last year the US generated about 12.7% of its electricity from renewables and the German's generated about 20%, but this very modest difference was obtained by profligate spending that will keep their electricity costs very high for decades into the future.

The author writes: "Since the production of wind and solar power is largely free of costs once initial investments in infrastructure have been made, one day Germany will have rock-bottom energy prices compared to economies still addicted to fossil fuels and nuclear energy."
Given the skyrocketing cost of renewables, one is forced to wonder when exactly is "one day"?

As for the German's climate change fighting efforts, they are phasing out all their nuclear power, by far their largest source of electricity production that does not generate CO2, so we can't expect any progress on that front for many years.
Steven

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Paul Hockenos

Paul Hockenos

Paul Hockenos is a Berlin-based author who has written about Europe since 1989. Paul is the author of three major books on European politics: Free to Hate: The Rise of the Right in Post-Communist Eastern Europe, Homeland Calling: Exile...
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