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The Key to Exponential Solar Growth Is Virtual Net Metering — and Solar Companies

Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
August 21, 2012  |  25 Comments

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On August 15, 2012, at 8 a.m., Colorado’s Xcel utility opened up its registration for a new solar gardens/virtual net metering program. It took just 30 minutes to shut the doors on applications. The utility had received 13.5 MW in those 30 minutes, more than triple the 4.5 MW allowed. This excitement is one reason why I believe that community solar is the key to widespread U.S. solar adoption, but let's go through all of them...plus the challenges to it ever happening.

Right now there are relatively few solar gardens/net metering/community solar programs in the United States. The most notable and successful ones are in Sacramento via the SMUD, as well as an earlier solar gardens program in Colorado. Currently, California law allows for community solar on site, limiting roof space on buildings. However, a new bill, SB 843, will allow off-site solar virtual net metering, a.k.a. community solar.

Another reason why I'm bullish on widespread community solar is Solar Mosaic, a new company that allows individuals to invest in solar through a Solar PPA model. Here, instead of a utility bill directly benefiting from the watts, a consumer invests in a large solar PPA project and basically becomes an equity partner, earning an ROI.

In the two models above, roof or property ownership is not required, so renters and tree-lined-street lovers can enjoy solar benefits and savings. Also, because the actual solar installation is off-site, perfect insolation, roof age, home-owner vanity, and belligerent home owner associations are no longer in the way of sales. In addition, unlike physical PV, these panels can virtually follow you to a new residence, though typically within the same utility area.

Although the formulas for crediting your utility bill (or bank account in the case of Solar Mosaic) will vary by state and utility, one constant remains: Consumers or businesses can buy or lease a part of a large solar PV farm and benefit financially, regardless of location or property ownership.

From a solar market and marketing perspective, the above paragraph is revolutionary. On the surface, community solar models completely democratize solar power. Capital, access to loans, or a good credit score will still be required, but beyond those qualifications, community solar models could be accessible to millions of renters in large urban cities, or even rural off-grid residents who can invest and indirectly save on energy costs via a solar mosaic-type model.

Even more exciting from an untapped solar market perspective is the latest National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) report, which estimates that the annual technical potential in the United States for urban utility-scale PV is 2,232 terawatt-hours (TWh)! For rural utility-scale PV, there is an estimated U.S. technical potential of 280,613 TWh!

Sounds fantastic, eh? But we can't get giddy just yet.

Four little things stand in the way of solar PV nirvana, and that’s where you, dear solar capitalist reader, will have to roll up your sleeves and work very, very hard. Because, while these models and technical solar potential exist, the industry will have to overcome the following general challenges:

1) Energy politics. California being the leader that it is in solar, I have high confidence that SB 843 will pass both state legislators and be signed by Governor Brown. But the same model will not be adapted in Alabama or Mississippi, or even the blue state of Illinois. Fossil fuel interests and utility monopolies will not see their revenues and market share decrease without a battle with their legislators/regulators and on their local airwaves.

The solution: Diving into energy politics. Solar companies, large and small, can’t sit on the sidelines. Not only must they lobby and get to know their state legislators, they must spend the time to rally public opinion and explain the value of these models. And that brings me to:

2) Public education. Even without mentioning virtual net metering, the vast majority of U.S. rate payers are still believing in the 1980’s mindset of expensive and unreliable solar. Some don't know the difference between solar PV and solar thermal. While the old mindset is slowing getting modernized, we’re far from there yet. On top of traditional models, now we have to add education about community solar, community solar purchasing versus a leasing model, and the Solar Mosaic option. Solar marketers and educators are already challenged, but sure, let’s pile on community solar.

The solution: Educate customers now. While this may appear to conflict with current sales, the public needs to understand their solar options, as well as be able to support legislative efforts to make virtual net metering available everywhere. To do your part, have a section on your website that explains and keeps track of local community solar initiatives. Link to local community solar advocates who are pushing for your local legislation. Bottom line, explain community solar and get people excited about the concept.

3) Outdated utility business models.  Related to #1, but more specific. American power is currently stuck in a very old business model where a single energy provider collects and distributes grid-connected power to homes and businesses. In Germany, sign a two page agreement, and anyone with a solar panel or wind turbine can sell power to the Utility.  Here in the U.S., the “smart grid” and its related technologies will slowly change the way we create, deliver, consume, and pay for energy, but we’re not even close to any new utility business model. Utilities know they will lose revenue when customers participate in community solar farms. And yet, the grid costs money, especially if it's to be improved...some day.

The solution: There’s no easy one here. Utilities and solar companies just have to start thinking about creating new energy business models that complement each other. Both businesses need each other for now, although battery storage technology may one day eliminate the need for net metering for some customers. For others, grid-tied storage services and distribution services, either from deserts or rooftops, will be required. Nevertheless, utilities have the monopolies today, and that limits consumer choice. So, until consumers have a choice of distribution services and community solar is available to all, any argument in 2012 that solar customers must pay more for “their fair share” of grid distribution is ridiculous. When the utilities open the doors to true energy choice via community solar, then public utility commissions can discuss consumers paying extra for solar energy transmission and the fair value of that service.

4) Improving grid infrastructure. #3 above is about business models. Here, we have a physical and economic problem. The American grid is old and inefficient. The more solar farms we grow, the more updated smart power technology and power lines will be needed. So, while we may be able to change political minds, educate the public, and create new utility business models, little happens without physically building a new, modern electric grid, especially in rural sunny areas that have the most solar production potential.

The solution: The solutions are 1, 2, and 3 above. Utilities will either need to be forced to create updated grid infrastructure via legislation and taxpayer/ratepayer funding, or they may voluntarily do it with an innovative business model that shows an ROI. Either way, the smart grid and new transmission lines won’t happen without political advocacy, public education, and win-win community solar business models.

Want a great resource for implementing Community Solar? Then go to Vote Solar and see their terrific community solar tool kit.

One more thing about community solar’s main-streaming potential: Besides democratizing the grid and solar power, community solar will benefit all sectors of the solar industry. Obviously, the more solar farms created via new laws, the more solar products manufactured, distributed, sold, and installed, creating jobs and profits.

Implementing community solar not only has growth potential for solar businesses, it's also a personal goal. Because as much as I’m a part of the solar industry and a passionate solar advocate, I grew up in Manhattan and lived most of my adult life in various Los Angeles residences where solar was either not possible (apartment) or practical (trees). Community solar can change that for me and for millions like me. The change starts with all of us tackling the above steps… and UnThinking Solar.

Tor Valenza a.k.a. “Solar Fred” advises solar companies on marketing, communications, and branding. Contact him through UnThink Solar or follow him on Twitter @SolarFred. 

The information and views expressed in this blog post are solely those of the author and not necessarily those of RenewableEnergyWorld.com or the companies that advertise on this Web site and other publications. This blog was posted directly by the author and was not reviewed for accuracy, spelling or grammar.

25 Comments

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Myron Katz
Myron Katz
March 6, 2013
The New Orleans Energy Policy Task Force's published final report, the Energy Hawk, Fall, 2007 http://www.theregengroup.com/rg/docs/EnergyHawk.doc
described "Remote, Displaced Generation". Apparently, it's new name is Virtual Net Metering. I would like to know if we invented this idea or it was previously described. All comments are welcome.
Gregory L Smith
Gregory L Smith
September 6, 2012
Great questions about Solar installations and overall costs...But before anyone discloses costs, you have to/MUST disclose just what YOU want? By knowing what you want, by knowing what is possible at your present location and conditions, then you can compare Apples with Apples, instead of Oranges or Kiwis with Apples. Because the Department of Energy has resisted creating standards for the Solar Industry, (Other than the IEC), instead, manufacturers have created them in terms of Lifetime, Efficiency rating, Survivablity certifications (Insurance), Warranty requirements, Maximum loads for Inverters, Inverter lifetimes, Battery bank requirements if that is a component, and Qualifications of the Installer, such as, are they NABCEP certified, do they belong to the IBEW, ASES or some other certified contractor? You then look at your location. Is it free from shadow- producing trees or structures. After all this data is identifed, you have a good shot at what is fairly certain to be a great investment. You get so many benefits you seldom hear about, like: No more need for Natural gas lines running into you home, an insurance savings...No more gas bills means you do not pay for delivery fees, or taxes on your fuel. You do not have to pay for repairs for gas related leaks or worry about safety. Solar has low maintenance costs over 20 years. Less than $200 per year, and the average is about $50 a year. It can be purchased with your system, so it can be built into the warranty structure. Solar is designed to last 40 years, but likely will last longer at reduced efficiencies. If you are interested in learning more, visit www.sunwise.com for free information and a solid quote.
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
September 6, 2012
FYI, John Farrel just published some more details about the Solar Mosaic community solar model. Good information:

http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/blog/post/2012/09/crowdfunding-for-community-power
ANONYMOUS
September 5, 2012
A lot of this sounds REALLY interesting, but I have a few hard, fact based questions to ask.

1) What is the cost of a solar installation?
2) What is the reliability/longevity of these components? That is, what is the MTBF and what is the maintenance cost over the life of the system (or on an averaged, yearly basis)?
3) In the end, what is the cost to generate a kwh ? Yes, you can amortize this over the life of the system, but you MUST take into account the degradation of the solar panels over the life of the system, plus, any replacement parts (inverters fail/etc) and labor that will be involved. It's all math, so this is not (or at least should not be) a daunting task.

Let's here it - I'm all ears and, if things look good, I'll sign up and put in a facility at my home!
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
September 5, 2012
Thanks for the clarification, Lisa. Looking forward to your launch. I'm already signed up. :)
Lisa Curtis
Lisa Curtis
September 5, 2012
Hey Fred great post and thanks for highlighting Mosaic. Quick clarification from the comments, we've always been a for-profit, mission-driven company. We're launching a new model soon, anyone who is interested can request an invite at www.solarmosaic.com to get early access before we publicly launch.

I can't disclose too much more than that at this point but we're excited to help take community solar to the next level soon.
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
September 3, 2012
My optimism for passage of SB 843, the California community solar/virtual net metering law was... too optimistic. At lest for now. It did not pass before the end of the 2012 legislative session, thanks to opposition from PG&E and SCE, two main California utilities. However, it can be brought up again for the 2013 session... Stay tuned.
Gregory L Smith
Gregory L Smith
August 29, 2012
The concept of Virtual Netting is good for those just wanting an investment tool or a way to help the environment, but it negates the real value that Solar can be to residential users, both in an energy using way, but also in their not so vitrual pocketbook. True, there are ways that some residential consumers can't take advantage of solar for their homes via the PV version, yet, unless they have 100% shaded roofs, they can use and enjoy the benefits of Solar Thermal, though the return on investment is much slower, perhaps as much as 10 years. But, here is the awesome news you need to realize...Solar users, both PV and Thermal, save their entire costs for heating and electricity. Both water heating, and radiant heating of their homes can be done with a simple solar thermal installation. You eliminate natural gas sources in your home! No more fears of an explosion or dying from Carbon Monoxide or CO2 exposure. You are immediately healthier! You also can reduce your monthly costs, consolidating your energy into one easy bill, that incidentally disappears in as little as 7 years and sometimes even less, and only for a few, it may be as long as 10 years. But, after that time, you spend your savings on things you want! Could it get any better? Yes, but those are the larger benefits that individual residential solar can do for you, while virtual solar communities are good, they do not give you the amazing freedom of owning your own. Your choice, but I will love not paying for ANY energy at the end...Gregor S.
Peter Lynch
Peter Lynch
August 27, 2012
Thanks Fred appreciate it.....not sure yet is going to SPI
Wendy Towber
Wendy Towber
August 27, 2012
The City and County of Denver is working on facilitating a net zero energy community that utilizes virtual net metering and would perform like a solar garden whereby the 72 acres that includes over 800 residential units and over 200,000 sq ft of commercial space would pool their electricity and then reallocate any credits back to property owners. It is ia 7MW project at the old Buckley Airforce base in the Lowry area of Denver. We hope to do this in a way that is model for Colorado and the rest of the country.
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
August 25, 2012
Peter, the recent (and rare) jobs bill just passed into law about six months ago took care of these provisions that you're talking about. The idea from Congress was to reduce those types of regulations in order to allow more "Kickstarters" and entrepreneurship. As soon as it was signed into law, Mosaic announced that it was changing its business model. Previously, it was a non-profit where "investors" donated their proceeds to charities. Now, with the new relaxed regulations, it's possible to directly make a profit and for Mosaic to be an administrator and take a fee. At least, that's my understanding. Search GTM for an article with more details.

Off topic, hope to see you at SPI.
Peter Lynch
Peter Lynch
August 25, 2012
SolarFred - do you know how Solar Mosaics is getting around any SEC problems with their projects? I am fairly sure there are problems - silly ones usually - that stand in the way of what solar mosaic is doing and also with MLP's and S-REITS....
Peter Lynch
Peter Lynch
August 25, 2012
SolarFred - do you know how Solar Mosaics is getting around any SEC problems with their projects? I am fairly sure there are problems - silly ones usually - that stand in the way of what solar mosaic is doing and also with MLP's and S-REITS....
John Motycka
John Motycka
August 24, 2012
Hopefully the new JOBS Bill will lead to even more financing vehicles for Solar. We need a whole host of Solar Mosaics.
Elisa Wood
Elisa Wood
August 24, 2012
Also -- great article, Fred!
Elisa Wood
Elisa Wood
August 24, 2012
Joy -- any news on the Aurora project?
Joy Hughes
Joy Hughes
August 23, 2012
The Solar Gardens Institute is helping bring community solar to Massachusetts
Nathan Phelps
Nathan Phelps
August 23, 2012
I actually was the speaker for a webinar on net metering for cities and towns. It's also a good overview of NM in MA if you want to check it out:
http://www.mass.gov/eea/docs/doer/green-communities/pubs-reports/webinar-net-metering-101.wmv
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
August 23, 2012
Thanks for the info, Nathan! Interesting that cities and towns would push for this. Something I never considered, but great solar market food for thought! Small towns as well as renters can benefit if other states have this model.
Nathan Phelps
Nathan Phelps
August 23, 2012
I know of developers that are pursuing this idea, but they haven't gotten off the ground yet (at least to my knowledge). In my opinion, I think the market has been more focused on the single beneficiary model because it's a little easier to manage and there is still a lot of low hanging fruit.
That being said, I've actually seen the most movement on the virtual net metering front in public sector. Cities/towns and other governmental entities are working together (usually because a developer is facilitating the process) to develop large projects and thereby share the economies-of-scale benefits.
BTW, I'm the net metering analyst for the MA Department of Public Utilities (the MA PUC).
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
August 23, 2012
Interesting, Nathan! So, why do you think it hasn't taken off in MA? I would think developers would be all over this, especially with relatively good SREC market over there. Perhaps it's public awareness. This is the first I've heard of it. Can you direct us to any installations/info that are up and running?
Nathan Phelps
Nathan Phelps
August 23, 2012
This framework (virtual net metering) has existed in Massachusetts since 2009. In MA, any customer with a net metering facility can allocate net metering credits to any other customer in the (a) same service territory, and (b) load zone (there are three load zones in MA, and each has a different price of electricity). Furthermore, there is no minimum on-site load requirement for a net metering facility, so an entity can install a net metering facility, create a lot of net metering credits, and then allocate them to other customers.
Joy Hughes
Joy Hughes
August 21, 2012
By setting the rate structure properly, solar gardens can be revenue neutral or even profitable to utilities. A win-win!
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
Tor 'Solar Fred' Valenza
August 21, 2012
Thanks for the update, Jim. As I said above, it's not going to be easy, which is why we need installers like you helping the public and legislators to understand how great community solar is for growing solar jobs, as well as benefiting rate payers, the environment, and energy independence.

Just because we've had a utility monopoly model for 100 years doesn't mean things can't change. We also use to ride around in horses and buggies and AT&T used to be the only phone provider. Things change, and so must utilities.
Jim Jenal
Jim Jenal
August 21, 2012
While I have been writing (and lobbying) about SB 843 (blog posts here: http://runonsun.com/~runons5/blogs/blog1.php/solecon/power-to-people-support-sb843) I am not as confident that it will make it into law this year. Southern California Edison remains staunchly opposed, the CPUC has its own doubts, and when it got voted out of the Appropriations committee, not a single Republican VOTED on the bill. I don't mean they voted against it, I mean they refused to vote at all!
Also, the utilities point to the grid as a reason for resisting the proliferation of solar farms. It is almost as if keeping the grid obsolete and creaky is a means of preserving market share - and how perverse is that?
But as always, the answer is education - the more consumers know about the true value proposition for solar, the more support we in the industry will have from the public and that will ultimately be translated into political clout. Only then will we achieve the growth in solar that we are hoping to see.

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UnThink Solar

UnThink Solar

UnThink Solar is a strategic solar marketing and communications company. Clients include Panasonic, One Block Off the Grid, Free Hot Water and other solar PV and Thermal companies who desire to stand out in an increasing competitive solar...
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