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Bolstering Renewables with Patriotism

Dana Blankenhorn
February 23, 2011  |  12 Comments

Yesterday I asked whether there is a way to trump the arguments of natural gas, on behalf of renewable energy.

The responses were interesting. Some believe we can't. Others that we must. Some pointed out that natural gas prices are volatile, others noted the volatility of energy from wind.

My article focused on the issue of fracturing, exploding small bombs deep in the Earth's crust to stimulate delivery of gas. I acknowledged that while the concerns are real the argument is not winning the day.

Today I want to propose that we have two trump cards to play right now at a time when lawmakers are re-evaluating incentives for many renewable energy programs: Libya and China.

The price explosion that followed recent unrest in Libya can happen at any time, and in many places. Each time it happens, economies that depend on fossil fuels are hit hard. The stock market tanks. We wind up rooting against democracy for fear that our own jobs could disappear if it triumphed. It's a sin we're constantly reminded of on the world stage, a reality our high ideals can't absolve us of.

Fact is that when you tie your economy to a common commodity that is imported you lose your autonomy. America's national security is in the hands of others. Our best and bravest are sent to fight and die to maintain supply lines, even when alternative technologies exist that can cut those ties and reduce that dependence.

China's next five-year plan  (yes, they still have them) focuses on higher wages and domestic demand. But its key buzzword on the supply side is renewable energy.

In an effort to keep growing while expanding renewable energy to 20% of domestic demand by 2020, our rival plans on doing the very same things America's renewable industry wants us to do, starting with a tax on pollution. A carbon trading system is also expected to be part of the plan, due for ratification next month, with environmental and energy efficiency declared “priority industries” for the first time.

Fact is we're in a race with China. The nation that weans itself from imported fossil fuels first will have an enormous economic advantage. China is no longer willing to be just the “low cost supplier” – its workers are getting raises – but it does plan on using wind and solar energy, along with hydropower and even nuclear energy, to enhance its national security.

The question we have to ask is, can we afford to do less? China thinks renewable energy can help its grandchildren earn more than your grandchildren. Are we up to the challenge? Or are we going to let troubles in places like Libya drive our future?

Those are the stakes. I think most Americans understand this, and it's why renewable energy remains popular. Even in states dominated by conservative Republicans, efforts to overturn renewable energy targets are falling short.

I think we have the wind at our backs. Let's not be afraid to use patriotism to close the deal.

The information and views expressed in this blog post are solely those of the author and not necessarily those of RenewableEnergyWorld.com or the companies that advertise on this Web site and other publications. This blog was posted directly by the author and was not reviewed for accuracy, spelling or grammar.

12 Comments

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Robert Emery
Robert Emery
February 25, 2011
Clee you are correct is saying these planned projects may not be built, roughly 50% if that. There are efforts underway in congress to cut off funding on just about all. I have been involved in solar when "solar wasn't cool." In the late 90s and early 2000s I participated in meetings with European Energy Ministers to "kick-start" the solar industry. The US was not interested. Through 2006, all of my development work was internationally, the US wasn't interested. These large solar projects began as Stimulus projects and receive a 30% grant with 20% equity or 150% ROI out the gate and attracted politically connected interests. All of this is irrelevant except for one simple point. There ISN'T ANY PLAN. What are the goals, what do you plan to accomplish and how? Which tells me the Gov isn't really committed and it will end just as fast as it started.
Robert Emery
Robert Emery
February 25, 2011
A little factoid. Tessera recently sold their IV project to AES and Riverstone Holdings. Riverstone was founded in 2000 by Pierre F. Lapeyre, Jr. and David M. Leuschen, who had been instrumental in the formation of the Goldman Sachs Global Energy & Power Group. Riverstone is a JV and the public face of the Carlyle Group. Members of the Carlye Group are/were:
Bush - Former US President and Vice President Former Director of the CIA
Carlucci - Former Secretary of Defense and Deputy Director of the CIA
Baker - Former Secretary of State and Sec. of Treasury
Darman - White House Budget Advisor Bush / Clinton Administrations
Ramos - Former President of the Philippines
Major - Former British Prime Minister
Robert Emery
Robert Emery
February 25, 2011
Clee the CEC forecast of 8505 MW increase from 2010 to 2020 is realist. Historically, California adds about 850 MW/year. But, 9,344 MW CURRENTLY under construction is NOT spread out over the ten year period and facilities generally take 2 years to construct. So by 2013 most of these plants will be completed and we have 7 years for demand to catch-up. Also your numbers do not include the projects I am currently developing in Mexico for export to California that already has the international agreements in place nor the Power Nevada and Arizona plan to export to California. Obviously, someone had better Plan or build a whole lot of electric cars
Robert Emery
Robert Emery
February 24, 2011
My comment regarding reducing military training was not a solution for climate change but a limited number of CSP Solar plants. Sometimes conservation can be a preferable alternative. I am a former pilot and aeroderivative combustion turbines, jet engines, are used in power generation. Research the amount of fuel used by the military and compare it to the fuel these solar projects will offset or combustion gases prevented from entering the atmosphere.

The original Kyoto Accords benchmark was a 5.2% reduction of GHG from 1990 levels. The new targets will level the rate of GHG but if you read the fine print the amount in the atmosphere will continue to rise. I fear our politicians still don't have a grasp of what it will take to mitigate climate change.
Robert Emery
Robert Emery
February 24, 2011
Clee: Old inefficient fossil fuel plants should be closed and replaced with newer preferable RE plants as practicable. But the net jobs created will only be as fast as economic growth. There isn't an electricity shortage. Look at the number megawatts under review at the CEC web site. Then let me know where all that electricity will be used without a significant number of electric cars. You mentioned a plan. There isn't any National Energy Plan or policy. Even solar PV which experienced explosive growth the past few years will shrink as RPS standards are met. Following is an alternative study:

February 4, 2010
Renewable energy jobs and the future
By JULIE SCHMIT
USA TODAY
The number of clean-energy jobs in the U.S. would more than double by 2025 if the nation adopts a plan
to get 25 percent of its electricity from renewable energy sources, says a report backed by energy
firms.
Nationwide, 274,000 jobs would be created in the wind, solar, hydropower, biomass and waste-toenergy
industries by 2025 if a 25 percent standard is adopted, says research firm Navigant Consulting.
Those sectors now support about 196,000 jobs.
Navigant did the study for the RES Alliance for Jobs, a consortium of renewable energy companies and
others that recommends national renewable electricity targets of 12 percent in 2014 and 20 percent in
2020.

I am a former Luz PM who constructed the worlds first utility scale solar and developer of RE biomass facilities. In the 90s, the utilities bought out the PPAs to build Combined Cycle Gas Turbine. I have a Patent pending on a CSP solar process and invested in these large projects through Goldman Sachs. Very few people have access to those opportunities. Pardon me for using the term Greed.
ANONYMOUS
February 24, 2011
Robtemery writes: "Climate Change and Green House Gases can be mitigated by a 10% reduction in Military Training flights that will accomplish the same goals at a savings to the taxpayer."

This is an absolutely strange view. If all air travel--not just military flights--were to be grounded this still would not constitute a major change in the rate of growth of greenhouse cases. The scope of the climate change problem is so large that it will take Trillions of dollars to address and technologies that are not even developed yet.
Steven
Robert Emery
Robert Emery
February 24, 2011
Almost any endeavor requires a plan. If you fail to plan, you plan to fail. We don't produce electricity with foreign oil and renewable energy that produces electricity will not reduce our dependence on foreign oil without a mature electric auto industry years in the future. Without any electricity SHORTAGE or need any permanent jobs created will be offset by the closure of conventional generation facilities with a corresponding loss of those jobs. Where is the Plan to deal with this problem? Forget China, one does not follow but Leads. What I see from the RE industry in the US is greedy corporate interests. Climate Change and Green House Gases can be mitigated by a 10% reduction in Military Training flights that will accomplish the same goals at a savings to the taxpayer.
Stephen Lacey
Stephen Lacey
February 24, 2011
I agree with Steven on his point about the size of China's energy system.

To go even further: We are so focused on China's push toward clean energy -- but we ignore how terrible its water and air still is due to coal-fired electricity and lower environmental standards in the industrial sector.

Should we feel competitive with China from a manufacturing standpoint? I think so. But it looks like the country has a long way to go before it catches up to the U.S. from an overall environmental-health perspective.

I'm not sure we need to be as worried about China as everyone says.

I'd love to hear some thoughts from others -- especially those who know the country well.
Andrew W
Andrew W
February 24, 2011
It's amazing how wind and solar cheerleaders ignore coal-generated electricity because they remain obsessed with oil and natural gas.

Pickens made the "domestic argument" for natural gas and wasted $80 million.

The solution is "clean, affordable electricity." We haven't found that yet. Neither has china.
ANONYMOUS
February 24, 2011
The last poster actually makes a really good point re: population of China and need to make changes faster.
ANONYMOUS
February 24, 2011
The author writes: "Fact is we're in a race with China. The nation that weans itself from imported fossil fuels first will have an enormous economic advantage."

This isn't a competition or a race. Appeals to patriotism or to "do it for the children" are attempts to cause people to make decisions based on emotion that they would not make based on reason alone.

With four times the population that the US has, China needs to move expeditiously to modernize its electricity generation system. They are naturally going to be a bigger market for renewable technologies than the US is and this is a good thing--the alternative is that they become massive polluters, which few rational people would want.
Steven
William Fitch
William Fitch
February 24, 2011
Hi:

Melting your two posts together a bit with some of the comments, I doubt there is a single person who reads this site and is an RE person that is against bio based CH4, especially if it is sequestered in nature. That process is a true WIN, WIN displacing fossil fuels and killing an extreme green house gas.
The phrase, "frack-baby-frack" was used in the context of, it could happen. That IS EXACTLY WHAT HAS HAPPENED!!! Its just not being voiced publicly. But behind the scenes, which is where it counts, that is the reality. One must keep in mind that this being an RE site, it is always like preaching to the choir to a large degree, which is fine... but, all must face some uncomfortable facts. WE do not live in a Democracy any more. All posters and readers here would probably admit to the loud cheering when all the RE "gains" were made in the previous 5 or 6 years. OK, but, did you notice how easily they are being taken away?? Do you think it is just because all the RE people didn't yell loud enough?? or didn't try hard enough?? There is probably not a more hard working and obsessed group on the planet then RE and environmental people.
I know thinking these thoughts is not a pleasant undertaking. No one wants to think they are impotent regarding their future. But, as long as we have corporations owning the government, ruled by money through all the legal avenues they have been given, I am afraid that consolidated efforts through those same channels is pretty much like pissing in the wind....
Change on an individual basis is a different story...
Small historical fact, the Revolutionary soldiers did not beat the British by dressing up in black and white suits and forming nice neat columns, going at it column against column. We would have lost. They scattered themselves among the trees and picked them off one at a time, gave them no real target to shoot at. But history is always forgotten all to easily....


.....Bill

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Dana Blankenhorn

Dana Blankenhorn

Dana Blankenhorn has covered business and technology since 1978. He covered the Houston oil boom of the 1970s, began making his living online in 1985, and launched the Interactive Age Daily, the first daily coverage of e-commerce, in 1994....
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