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Are we all climate deniers?

Earthscan Blog
May 28, 2010  |  10 Comments

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It’s easy to jeer at the climate deniers for their obtuseness and fantastic theories.

But aren’t we all, by one means or another, denying the reality of a warming world?

Even a very optimistic set of assumptions about when global emissions will reach a peak and the rate at which they will then decline will see the world warm by around 4°C by the 2070s. That will make the Earth hotter than at any time for the last 15 million years. And of course the temperature will not stabilise at that level because feedback effects will have taken control of the Earth’s climate out of our hands.

The conditions of life on Earth will be wholly transformed, ecosystems will be remade, and humans will be retreating to the poles, with those already occupying the higher latitudes resisting the influx. All this will occur within the life-times of children born today.

Yet almost everyone, even those very concerned about warming, is going about daily life as though the future will be a gradually improving version of the present. ::continue::

In Requiem for a Species I describe the “maladaptive coping strategies” we all use to avoid facing up to the facts of climate change or to blunt the emotional force of what the scientists are telling us. We reinterpret the threat, engage in pleasure-seeking, shift blame and cling to unfounded hopes.

One of the more pervasive forms of avoidance is the belief that engaging in individual actions, like changing one’s light-bulbs, is an effective response. Some green groups base their strategy explicitly on this delusion—“Ten things you can do to save the planet”—unaware that they are reinforcing the individualistic thinking and political passivity that consumerism has so diligently cultivated.

The transformation of citizens into consumers is a strategy beloved of the big polluters and reluctant governments, as it shifts responsibility from their shoulders onto those of “all of us”.

But we cannot consume our way out of the climate crisis; only mass political action has any chance of forcing governments to legislate for fast and deep cuts in greenhouse gas emissions. Yet here we come up against a democratic system corrupted by professionalisation, careerism, spin and money politics.

It is a system that must be recaptured, cleaned out and reinvigorated. At the best of times, system changes like that take many years, years the climate scientists say we do not have. So we need a circuit breaker. In Requiem I argue that civil disobedience is necessary and justified. Will it work? Who knows.

Clive Hamilton is the author of Requiem for a Species, published by Earthscan.

The information and views expressed in this blog post are solely those of the author and not necessarily those of RenewableEnergyWorld.com or the companies that advertise on this Web site and other publications. This blog was posted directly by the author and was not reviewed for accuracy, spelling or grammar.

10 Comments

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John Albert
John Albert
June 1, 2010
The global warming is occurring and that there is a 80% or greater probability that it is due to human causes.

http://www.dynglobal.com
Bob "The Clean Energy Guy" Mitchell
Bob "The Clean Energy Guy" Mitchell
May 30, 2010
Interesting debate. All I can say is that I'm glad that Martin Luther King Jr. risked jail time, and in actuality went to jail. By doing such, he used the power of the system to help change it. Maybe it is time for people, such as ourselves, to take a similar stand against the crimes being committed against the planet.
That said, I disagree with the premise that people taking individual responsibility for their own actions and contributions to the problem can be anything other than a positive that will help the situation. Maybe not solve it, but it sure as hell can't hurt!
As mentioned in a previous comment, 300 million people taking individual action will have an effect. And not just by saving a bit of energy here and a bit there, but in establishing "green" behaviors as a "norm".
Establishing green behaviors as a norm is what it's really going to take for governments to be able to take the actions necessary to structurally make the "big" changes that you correctly state are needed.
Thanks for an interesting post!

Bob "FreeAsTheWind" Mitchell
Hrimnir Benediktsson
Hrimnir Benediktsson
May 29, 2010
Mitch, the reason that I picked a single point from your post is simply because I strongly disagree with it and I've given a lengthy opposing point of view. I don't see a problem with that.

Also, it's not a case of one without the other.

'Direct action' in ones personal circumstances and life by changing the way one lives is necessary. But this is no where near enough when there may be 5 coal-fired power stations just up the road (with 5 more being planned) and supplying heavy industry in your neighbourhood with electricity, which is my case.

Under the circumstances that we find ourselves, people will have to realise that civil disobedience using non-violent techniques (NVDA), is very much the next step given the complete political cowardice and level of inaction that is coming from our national governments.

Civil disobedience has been valuable in many struggles and campaigns - women's rights, black rights, the union movement, Ghandi's leadership in achieving independence for India - and it continues in the environment movement.

The environment movement has often used civil disobedience/NVDA techniques and has achieved some success. The reason for limited success is that the general public will not get off their butts to support campaigns in enough numbers. It's time for that to change.

I was once very fearful about going against my own government using civil disobedience. Having now taken the plunge and found that it is effective if used correctly and with enough people, I am convinced that this is the way to go on the issue of Climate Change, because there are enough people out there who are concerned and we do have the numbers to bring about change.

People just need to get over their unfounded fear of civil disobedience/NVDA and get on with it.
William Fitch
William Fitch
May 29, 2010
Hi:

Hummm, what to say... well, so much is possible... You picked a single point from my post and attempted to create a world view in opposition to it... which is fine except you missed about 80% of the meaning of the post by doing so.. you have an agenda and that to is fine... My comment is not so much about arguing over the kind and position of the trees in the forest but more to find your way out of the forest and turn around and take a look at the big picture. Man for 10K years has been weaving like a drunk driver on either side of the violence line trying to play the intimidation/war game in all its forms and sizes without resorting to violence. I need not recap our success with that. If you had read my post #4 as well, you would see that I am more inclined to believe that things will continue as they have been... To bring this to an end, you seem to think that your solution is something new, unused or forgotten and is a desirable way to achieve change... interesting, but not really... what is true and what I will give you, is your set of tools in all of it ramifications is in agreement with the past 10K years of our history... and most likely in some way, even hundreds of thousands or millions of years as well..

.....Bill
Hrimnir Benediktsson
Hrimnir Benediktsson
May 29, 2010
It's time for society as a whole to 'rethink our heroes'.

It's time to stop worshipping successful business people, movie stars and sports people as heroes in our society - people who have done nothing for anyone but themselves.

Neither should we be worshipping disgusting and often illegal wars and the poor sods that we send to fight in them. Citizens should make a stand and refuse to fight wars started by politicians.

The heroes and heroines of the future will be those who stand up in the face of gross political negligence, inaction and injustice and carry out acts of non-violent, non-destructive, civil disobedience in defence of human civilisation and the earth.

Civil disobedience does work and it will work in this case, providing enough citizens participate and support each other.
Hrimnir Benediktsson
Hrimnir Benediktsson
May 29, 2010
William Fitch - You state that civil disobedience is not the answer because "I will probably end up in jail, have my entire life turned upside down and my family destroyed, etc., etc." and therefore anyone in their right mind will not go down that path.

Your description of the disasterous consequences of civil disobedience is simply not true. If people use non-violent direct action as a tool and only break minor laws such as for trespassing for acting out civil disobedience, then it is likely that they will be treated lightly in court with relatively minor fines.

I've been arrested a few times whilst using non-violent direct action as a tool to protect the environment and I know many people, through the circles I now mix in, whose lives have not been turned upside down as you say and are keen to risk arrest again and again, if necessary.

Many courts of law will understand that you had a reason for doing what you did and this is normally taken into account when handing down sentence. Jail time is very rare.

Most of the time, a criminal conviction of such a nature will not even affect a persons potential for employment or career, provided the offence/s
are relatively minor.

If people use violence and break too many serious laws, then it is likely that what you describe will come true.

Civil disobedience can be as simple as a general strike, where everyone stays at home for a day or two and attends a rally. These kinds of actions are very powerful, providing enough people participate, and are unlikely to get anyone arrested provided the rally is peaceful.

The general public must get over their fear of 'oh no, my life will be ruined if I go against the goverment and get arrested' because this is based in fear and unfounded rumours from people such as yourself. I would actually consider it cowardice for people not to risk arrest and stand up for what they believe in, particularly with the risk that Climate Change poses to humanity and the planet.
William Fitch
William Fitch
May 29, 2010
Hi All:

Aspirin may take away the pain of cancer momentarily, but can hardly be viewed as a cure.... This view only "holds up" if you except the precept that there is no cure or human system of management in our current genetic state, that can change our future direction away from our historical past. This may well be the case... If true, we are predestined for a miserable existence for many millennium to come... most likely not surviving long enough to allow times genetic engineering to alter us to a more favorable mind frame...

.....Bill
Cale Yarborouh
Cale Yarborouh
May 28, 2010
Civil disobedience is the answer. The majority have shown that they won't listen to reason. Our so called democratic leaders won't take the action that we know is absolutely necessary. We must strike swiftly.
William Fitch
William Fitch
May 28, 2010
Our problem is, I believe, that a world based on currency is not sustainable. If true, our course was set in motion thousands of years ago...
We will end up dealing with the situation reactively, as we do most things, based on the corridors we built for ourselves.. if I had a solution to man's genetic predispositions that the currency model attempted to marginalize, I would offer it up freely (no pun premeditated).
Thank you for the exercise in thought… always enjoyable to me…

…..Bill
William Fitch
William Fitch
May 28, 2010
Hi Clive:

AN interesting thought excerpt from your book, I would expect...
Have not read it and probably won't... just don't have the time for "whole books thing" as such..
I agree basically with all that you state and in my opinion anyone with reasonable intelligence and a few ounces of objectivity can come to the correct conclusions about climate change, its broad stroke causes and the most likely outcomes... So, where does that leave us...???...
Well, our behavior observed is really most simple... all behavior when not in a group is as an individual... I don't mean that to be trite... If I act as an individual and replace "my world" with CF's, programmable thermostats, extra attic insulation, Solar thermal heat, 5 more PSI in my tires, etc., etc. I know the outcome is certain, positive in nature and will not, by itself invoke climate change. However if 300 million of me do the same, the outcome MAY be different.
As a reciprocal, I also know that if I am, to quote you in meaning, "civilly disobedient", I will probably end up in jail, have my entire life turned upside down and my family destroyed, etc., etc. and I also will not invoke climate change, by myself... Direct actions of the individual are guaranteed... Direct actions of the individual in a group are not...
To act in a manor to invoke immediately a high probability personal disaster, based on the possibility of a long term probable but maybe litigable outcome, is foolish and goes against basic survival instincts. A long term outcome is unavoidable as determined by existence, but is irrelevant if the short term is not survived..... continued below...

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