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November 24, 2008

A Stimulus Package for Renewable Energy Would Benefit Economy and Climate, Says German Study

by Jane Burgermeister
Berlin, Germany [RenewableEnergyWorld.com]

The solution to the world's two biggest crisis -- the economic and the global warming crisis -- is exactly the same: a huge government investment plan in renewable energy will not only help kick start economies, but it will also help fight global warming, according to a report by Deutsche Bank.

Investment in renewable energy would also help accelerate "grid parity," the point when electricity generated by solar, wind and other sources becomes cost competitive with power from conventional fossil fuels.

Faced with the worst economic crisis since 1931, governments in Germany and the UK as well as the US and China are planning to use deficit spending to avert a dramatic economic slowdown.

The study by Deutsche Asset Management (DeAM), a member of the Deutsche Bank group, argues that directing any stimulus package towards the renewable energy would benefit not just the economy by boosting jobs and growth but also accelerate the creation of a booming new clean tech industry, so helping to slash greenhouse gases.

Massive investment in renewable energy would also have the advantage of establishing energy independence for countries such as US, China, Germany and the UK from oil and gas imports from crisis-hit regions.

"The current crisis is making the necessity of tackling climate change an opportunity to stimulate growth through investment opportunities," said Mark Fulton, DeAM's Global Head of Climate Change Investment Research.

Investments in new improved energy efficiency technologies are especially likely to benefit recession-hit economies by reducing the burden of high fuel costs, the study argues.

Additional measures to stimulate investment in "green" infrastructure and industry, such as smart electricity grids, solar thermal and geothermal power plants, could pay dividends by creating jobs in long-term growth industries.

Investment in renewable energy would also help accelerate "grid parity," the point when electricity generated by solar, wind and other sources becomes cost competitive with power from conventional fossil fuels.

Though wind power in some locations is already cost competitive, government investment in renewable energy as part of a stimulus package would provide much needed funds to bring down the cost of all types of renewable energy.

Also, the Deutsche Bank experts are urging governments to change laws to help steer private investment into the clean energy.

Moreover, a recent report by Greenpeace in Germany and the European Renewable Energy Council (EREC) argues that investment in renewable energy would not represent an additional cost, but would pay for itself out of savings to be made on oil, coal and gas expenditures.

Furthermore, investment in clean energy would reduce the huge bill that the world is likely to have to face from damage caused by global warming in the future, which could be as high as 20 percent of the world's GDP a year, according to Greenpeace.

Sigmar Gabriel, Germany's Environment Minister, recently affirmed the government's commitment to the renewable energy sector, saying that 500,000 new jobs could be generated in the green sector by 2020 in Germany.

In spite of the government's pledge to support the green energy sector, few additional funds, however, were made available in this month's stimulus package from Berlin, which amounted to €50 billion [US $63.1 billion].

To succeed in the new energy revolution, analysts say the German government will have to reverse years of low investment in new renewable energy technology and energy efficiency research.

For example, the Technical University of Munich, one of Germany's leading universities with 22,000 students and 6,500 employees, spends only €10-15 million [US $12.6 to 19 million] out of a total budget of €769 million [US $971 million] on renewable energy research, which is furthermore, splintered over several institutes.

The German government's role in financing renewable energy projects is set to become all the more critical as banks are less likely to lend funds in the financial crisis.

The economic uncertainty is already clouding a series of renewable energy projects in Germany.

Doubts have grown over the Blackstone-financed project announced in July this year to build an offshore wind park of 80 wind turbines generating 400 megawatts (MW) of electricity off Helgoland by 2012, according to the German newspaper Handelsblatt. RenewableEnergyWorld.com's Eize de Vries alluded to that project last week in his story, 5-MW BARD Near-shore Wind Turbine Erected in Germany.

Capital from the private sector will be needed if the German government is to meet its ambitious target of building 10,000 MW of offshore wind power by 2020.

Building wind parks 20, 30 or even 40 kilometers off the north German coast and anchoring turbines 20 to 30 meters below the sea surface will require substantially more money than constructing equivalent wind parks on land. Without additional government funding, experts think the country's wind power plans could now have to be scaled back.

More crucially, Germany could fall behind in the race to create a thriving, strong new clean tech economy and an export world leader by the government's failure to include green energy funds in its stimulus package to revive the economy this month.

"Major investment in renewable power and energy efficiency could create an industry a 360 billion-dollar industry, provide half of the world's electricity, and reduce the hefty 18 trillion-dollar bill expected to for future fossil fuel costs, according to Oliver Schäfer from the EREC.

"Currently, the renewable energy market is worth US $70 billion and doubling in size every three years," he said. "The global market for renewable energy can grow at double digit rates until 2050, and overtake the size of today's fossil fuel industry.

Governments that include green energy incentives into their stimulus package will not only create jobs, stabilize the economy and protect the environment, but they will also help ensure that their country is well placed to come out of the recession as a world leader in green technology, which is set to dominate the energy market of the future.

With countries such as Germany and the UK so far having failed to seize the opportunities hidden in the current economic crisis, all eyes are on the US to see whether the new Obama administration grasps the chance to invest in green energy to revive the recession-hit economy and catapult America to the front of the world energy leaders.

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Reader Comments (12)
 
No image available
November 24, 2008
Renewable energy may never be cost competitive with fossil fuels if we take climate change seriously. If we are to get off of all fossil fuels, the price of fossil fuels will drop. It may be irritating to people to know that they have to buy $3.00/gallon renewable liquid fuel when they could have $1.00/gallon fossil fuels, but we cannot pump the stuff out of the ground and burn it.
Comment 1 of 12
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November 24, 2008
I think gas will go back up again before RE plays a major role, infact so high that it may be impossible to build the RE infrastructure. So now's the time to build all them mirrors and steam generators. They may not be worth it now, but eventually (solar thermal won't be all encompassing, like oil is today) it will pay off when the price goes up.

Also, diesel will propbably always drive the trucking industry to a large degree. That shouldn't contribute too much towards GW. Thus, there will still be some demand for petro after all the other vehicles are electric (with cheaper and better batteries).

After many more years of extreamly fluctuating prices, gasoline will become obsolete in either of two ways...
After the die off when civilization collapses from lack thereof or because people will use renewable baseload power such as solar thermal and (the even more unlimited) advanced geothermal options.
Comment 2 of 12
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November 26, 2008
"Investment in renewable energy would also help accelerate "grid parity," the point when electricity generated by solar, wind and other sources becomes cost competitive with power from conventional fossil fuels."

I made the conscience choice to live, at my home, without electricity of any kind for more than 25 years. I am here to tell you, along with all of our ancestors that, human beings do not need to utilize electricity to live on Earth. We simply want it.
After living 25 years without electricity, proving to myself that it was not nescessary to sustain life, I made the choice to utilize electricity from PV. So you can see, the day I installed PV and flipped the switch, it was already paid for.

"Grid parity" is for the RE industries benefit not the human race. All of this hype over saving the planet Earth is really just a means to an end and that end is no different than any other industry on the face of planet. To fatten the bank accounts of the CEO's.
RE is enabling the addiction to energy. If I wanted to truly save the planet, I would try to convince the human race that all of the energy we utilize this day and age is a luxuary, not a necessity.
Oh, but that wouldn't help the RE, CEO's with their bank accounts now would it? Who are those CEO's any way? Do they have names? How many millions are the getting paid each year? How about the people that own the natural silicone sources on Earth? I would think they are all living better than the the Brittish monarchy, judging by the price of PV modules.
Pity about Earth.
Comment 3 of 12
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November 26, 2008
This is common sense! However the U.S. Gov. will likly muck it up again. Where a stimulus package with earmarks t'ward energy efficiency and renewables aimed at the Homeowner would increase property values, stem the tide of forclosures (debt to Asset Ratio), make staying in the home more affordable and spur the ecomony (home improvements). the U.S. in it's usualy blind stupidity will likely aim all the stimulus at the Large Corporate infastructure to fund thier largess AGAIN. Maybe it's time to RECALL our government in a VOTE of NO CONFIDENCE and put these politicians on trial for "breach of fiduciary responsibility" and "breach of Oath" since they seem not to know who their working for.

Distributed - homeowner based (efficency and) production leaves the decisions where they should be, in the Users hands. Energy Audits are usually free from your local utility and can show you where you can get the most bang for the buck efficiency wise. Then Solar Thermal DHW, wind start playing a part when consumers measure payback periods. I certainly trust my neighbor's decisions dollar for dollar far more then the idiots in Washington who pay $300.00 for a hammer. This is especially true when my neighbor is affecting his own pocket book into the future.

Hopefully someone in Wash. D.C. will finally wake-up.
Comment 4 of 12
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November 26, 2008
I am amazed at folks who speak as if man-made global warming was a FACT, when at best its a theory that looks more and more like a hoax. But I suppose it provides a convenient excuse to take money from productive individuals and enterprises and use the long arm of government to give it to ones constituents (or perhaps "subjects" would be a better term). Ah yes, a shiny new government program for everything and everyone! And does anyone stop to consider that the government big enough to give you everything you "need" is strong enough to take everything you have?

Who is John Galt?
Comment 5 of 12
No image available
November 26, 2008
Maybe comments should be targeted on the article????

If anyone takes a look at it, there is some really good guidance for stimulus investment. It targets efficiency first since this has the better payout for investment.
Comment 6 of 12
No image available
November 26, 2008
In comment #5 George writes: "I am amazed at folks who speak as if man-made global warming was a FACT, when at best its a theory that looks more and more like a hoax."

The term "hoax" denotes an intentional deception. Only extreme paranoia would suggest that a large fraction of the scientific community is engaged in a plot to intentionally deceive the public. It is, however, a universally accepted fact, based in part on direct measurements, that manmade CO2 production is changing the composition of the atmosphere. The theories that making such changes is safe are highly dubious and almost certainly wrong. Normally we do safety studies before we allow uncontrolled experiments that could impact the health and safety of billions of people....
Comment 7 of 12
November 26, 2008
"To burn something that took 300 million years to be created in less than 300 years, may just not be such a good idea" Those words from a German friend of mine sum it up nicely.

It is very difficult to predict the effects and consequences of increases in CO2 levels (which we cause beyond reasonable doubt) in the atmosphere. I personally don't want to assume the (possibly very small) risk that those geniuses that call global warming "a hoax" are wrong after all and mankind has to follow the dinosaurs into oblivion as a consequence.

One thing that seems to be stressed very little is the fact that fossil fuels are never burdened with the hidden cost resulting from their consumption. It is most certainly hard to quantify but equally sure not zero - and more likely in the trillions per year.

If all fails then let's just take the standpoint that we first world humans of the 21st century simply choose to afford pushing renewable energy in the same way that we chose to afford global air traffic. Does anybody seriously believe that we would have commercial airlines without MASSIVE government support for that industry to this day?

Happy Thanksgiving
Comment 8 of 12
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November 26, 2008
I agree with Steven, the facts about global warming are clear. The 600 scientists of the IPCC, can't all be wrong. Perhaps a few people have been mislead by the untold millions of dollars the oil companies have spent trying to confuse the issue, and the public. Research it for yourself.

I also further state that Bush's forever enduring legacy will be that he wasted 8 years in the effort to fight global warming. We could be years ahead of where we are at today, instead we had a president that was tied with, and supported by, the oil companies.

Everyone stop for a moment and picture a large solar panel on almost every residental roof in the US. It is a simple fact that thin film solar is coupling with metal roof manufacturers, and will eventually become commonplace. Efficiencies are improving each year. This is our future.

Our future also includes the electric car. The battery, the previous stumbling block, is improving greatly. A large number of automakers are working on an electric vehicle model. If Eestore's technology proves true, then the internal combustion engine is finished. This also is our future.

Raser Technologies geothermal advancments will make geothermal a valuable part of our clean energy portifolio. Geothermal will soon be widespread.

It seems obvious that our next stimulus should incude these directives, along with quadrupling our installation of wind turbines per year.

And yes, investing in green American companies, and green American jobs is enormousely better than a 600 dollar stimulus check that didn't put Americans to work. 'Working' Americans stimulate the economy.

Let's make sure our 'stimulus' actually stimulates American jobs !
Comment 9 of 12
No image available
November 27, 2008
If the majority of the people believe that the human race is responsible for runaway global warming and the human race wants to do something about it... The answer is simple. Time to put away your toys kiddy's. If you don't mommy will. (mother nature that is)

Just one of Earths, natural phenomenons is its magnetosphere. Generated by a billion billion tons of molten Iron at its core. A part of this phenomenon is the polar ice caps of Earth where the north and south magnetic poles eminate and encopass the Earth to help protect itslef from solar particle radiation. A visble sign of this on Earth is the aurora borealis. Mars lost its magnetosphere to the point where it could no longer keep out the majority of solar particle radiation exploding from our Sun and, Mars atomsphere was "sandblasted" off the face of the planet.
Our Sun is over 90 million miles away and yet all it takes is a couple of hours for human flesh to be exposed to solar particle radiation to be burned. The total atmosphere enclosing Earth is only about 60 miles deep? If we could get in a car drive there, it would only take 1 hour to reach the cold hard vaccum of space. If we could drive our car to the Sun at that same speed, it would take 1,700 years to get there. Its that far away. We have a magnetosphere and an atmosphere. We have flora. We have the freewill to make a conscious choice. All of these things to protect us and still the Sun can burn human skin with just a couple of hours of direct exsposure.

Wouldn't it be a pity, if billions of years ago Mars was inhabited much like Earth is today and it was its human race that started the chain of events that led to the destruction of its polar ice caps which in turn, weakened its magnetosphere allowing more solar particle radiation in and start the process of "sandblasting" away life from Mars?
Pity about Earth. Theres always Venus! Third times a charm? Or, three strkes and your out!?
Comment 10 of 12
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November 29, 2008
The hidden restraint, holding back the rapid development of the renewable energy needs of the planet earth, is the oil and coal industries. Government funding is an issue, but not the main factor impeding progress towards a sustainable energy future. The oil and coal industries have realised that renewable energy will replace them and the fear of profit decline grips the boardrooms of these industries.

To address this problem it is necessary that the oil and coal industries utilises the natural resources for different purposes. A redirection of their focus and finanaces is paramount. Oil and coal should never be burnt and wasted as an energy source, it has far more valuable uses. The use of the precious reserves of oil and coal must be closely controlled so that the planet earth has the use of these resources for millions of years to come.

It is therefore not just government finances that need to be directed to the development of sustainable energy project, but also the dollars of the carbon generating industries. They must be shown a new path to profit which is both environmentally acceptable and benefits all earthly species.
Comment 11 of 12
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December 1, 2008
In Comment #12, Jim Wills writes: "The hidden restraint, holding back the rapid development of the renewable energy needs of the planet earth, is the oil and coal industries. "

This is paranoid nonsense. Adoption of renewable generation is limited by technological and economic considerations. When affordable technologies are developed they will be adopted at a reasonable pace. It is not the responsibility of the oil and coal companies to develop renewable technology, nor is it their area of expertise, and they are not interfering with the efforts of other groups working in this area. If you want to look for a scapegoat for the sluggish progress, blame the renewable energy community because they have nothing close to resembling a plan and often seem to treat economic considerations with distain.
Comment 12 of 12
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