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May 2, 2007

635 GW Possible with U.S. Political Shift

Report exposes new reality for renewable energy in America.
Washington, DC [RenewableEnergyAccess.com]

How much power can renewable energy generate in the U.S. if the appropriate mix of policies and market-based incentives are implemented? According to a joint report coordinated by the American Council On Renewable Energy (ACORE), the answer is 635 gigawatts (GW) by 2025.

"The answer is not that the [EIA statistics] are wrong, they're exactly right. Their conclusion is renewable energy doesn't amount to much if we don't change policy. That's our whole point. That if we don't change policy we cannot expect a substantial difference in the outcome."

-- Michael T. Eckhart, American Council On Renewable Energy, president

Released yesterday, the 2007 Outlook on Renewable Energy in America projects that wind power could account for 248 GW; solar energy 164 GW; hydro, ocean and tidal energy 23 GW; geothermal energy 100 GW; and biomass and biofuels 100 GW.

But unless steps are taken to change the perceptions of U.S. politicians and policymakers, the report concludes that coordinated, sustained policies that expand renewable energy markets, promote and deploy new technology, and encourage renewable energy use in critical market sectors can't happen.

"We still have elected officials at the federal and state level who honestly believe that renewable energy cannot power the country...I think they're incorrect," said Michael T. Eckhart, ACORE president. "We believe that renewable energy can power this country, and the world, and provide the energy necessary to support economic growth."

Despite the fact that at least one-third of U.S. governors are showing individual leadership in enacting renewable energy policy, the report notes that a fundamental problem with the development and deployment of renewable technologies has been the uncertainty of governmental policy -- and that support for both research-push and market-pull policies has been constrained by short-term commitments, which are destabilizing to industrial growth.

"Steady, long-term policy support is crucial to sustain this growth and attract investment," said Randall Swisher, executive director of the American Wind Energy Association. "A national renewable portfolio standard and a long-term extension of the renewable energy production tax credit are measures that can be adopted now and would unleash billions of dollars in new projects and manufacturing plants, create tens of thousands of jobs and generate revenue for farmers and rural communities, while jump-starting cost-effective action against global warming."

This inability to create long-term commitments in the renewable energy sectors may be attributed to the lingering doubt in the minds of many politicians that renewable energy simply does not have what it takes to power the country. This doubt, said Eckhart, perpetuates the myth that the only reliable energy sources are oil, coal and nuclear power.

"That is a misperception that is deeply embedded in the psyche of elected officials because they're being lobbied by other forces that want to persuade them that we cannot do the job," said Eckhart. "And this document is the beginning of that...sort of like the bugle coming across the horizon at you. This is where we're coming on; we're starting to pull the story together that yes we can do this job. Yes, we can deliver tremendous amounts of megawatts and gigawatts."

"If we can build their confidence," added Eckhart. "Then we've got a come-from-behind victory."

Currently the Energy Information Administration (EIA), which provides official energy statistics from the U.S. government, projects that the share of renewable electricity generation will remain at 9% in 2030 based on current "business as usual" policy.

"The answer is not that the [EIA statistics] are wrong, they're exactly right. Their conclusion is renewable energy doesn't amount to much if we don't change policy. That's our whole point. That if we don't change policy we cannot expect a substantial difference in the outcome," said Eckhart.

While the report provides no specific recommendations and policies, and was never intended to be a legislative guide, it does give an overview on the type of policy package that would work best for each renewable technology.

The Outlook on Renewable Energy in America report was led by ACORE. For a complete list of endorsing organizations and participants, or for more information about the report, visit the ACORE website.
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Reader Comments (9)
 
No image available
May 2, 2007
I think that it may help greatly for those in the renewable energy sectors to help all legislators technically-understand all the various aspects for America to achieve an even far-higher renewable energy production goal than even the article suggests.
Legislators most often are not as technically-involved with these details, but each of us whom are involved with technical details ought to contribute a few very critical and timely facts for all the legislators at least once a month. I have found that technical facts can not as easily "be placed" in comprehension of something technical unless there is an appropriate "case" which can provide "linkage for learning".
This would help all legislators, because we have no time left anymore to not all work together as quickly and as diligently as possible.
Dan Petit Austin Texas
Comment 1 of 9
No image available
May 2, 2007
Positive renewable thinking must precede decisions on the part of our politicians. If they have no faith that our country has the ability to develop significant clean sources, then we must wait for a new generation of politicians in Washington before much can be done. It is the human element, not the technological side, which is gumming things up.

What can be accomplished with such lack of faith in clean energy? Our leaders are supposed to guide our country. They say we should strive to be energy independent yet at the same time do not support what they say to any significant measure.

It seems obvious to me that clean energy is proper to support and develop in a country beset by the woes of foreign oil dependencey and nuclear plant risk. We certainly will not be basing our energy foundation on fossil and nuclear power in another century or two. Such thinking of this type is absolutely childish.

adrianakau@aol.com
Comment 2 of 9
No image available
May 4, 2007
2 ways to win,d .... CPTC ticker 1.50 BB spec stock with it's Dewind Division just receiving 1.7 billion pipeline for D8.2 Turbines and the Cable Division just received a
revolving 3 yr. deal from China.

Composite Cable Transmission Lines not only eliminate 16% or more of the power line towers of conventional cable but also has twice the conductivity.

(Quote) By using ACCC, PacifiCorp was able to save the material and labor cost of replacing 143 structures. Conventional conductor would have required
replacement of 150 structures; ACCC Cable made it possible to re-conductor while replacing only 7 structures.

http://digital50.com/news/items/CT/0000/00/00/019p2808/pacificorp-energizes-accc-transmission-line.html ....
..................................
http://www.compositetechcorp.com/ ......
Comment 3 of 9
No image available
May 4, 2007
One problem is that statements like solar = 164gW aren't really that meaningfull, since gW is a capacity, not a quantity - gWh is a quantity. Solar doesn't make a quantity after sundown (except through stored heat), and windpower's quantity only occurs when the wind is blowing. I believe that the potential for solar is much, much, larger, since over a terrawatt falls on California at peak insolation in the summer (20X the peak electrical load at the same time). My assumption is that the quoted figure is from PV, not solar-thermal potential. What is lacking in the U.S. is a determination to have energy independence from carbon-based fuels, except in mobility situations.
Comment 4 of 9
No image available
Al Gore could solve all our problems by being elected president of U.S.A.
Comment 5 of 9
No image available
May 4, 2007
I believe that if legislators have attention directed to several things, such as the solar stocks growing extremely quickly now, and, that there is a new disruptively-economic way of making solar-grade silicon, for example, and, at the same time, less expensive ways of making each square foot of solar panel make more electricity per square foot (efficiency), then, all it takes is respectful technical people to bring them around. They would like your help to understand what you need.
Take a moment to write a simplified note to a legislator about these two facts, for example, then, they may become sufficiently impressed to pay less attention to the wrong lobbyists.
Solar needs to invest in more "good" lobbyists, and, to conduct more tours for legislators, as these folks need your help to understand the things they need to do for you and me.
Dan Petit in Austin Texas.
Comment 6 of 9
No image available
May 4, 2007
Join the Grass Roots Program ...It is our duty to TELL them how to vote.

This site gives you all of your contact info by using your state and zip then allows you to sign a form letter or script your own letter, both methods on site, then the site emails you of the vote results and how your congressman voted, AWEA also informs you of upcoming votes so that you can remain on top of the issue.

http://www.awea.org/legislative/Grassroots.aspx

Please We must take the time and this method is just too fast and easy for excuses.
Comment 7 of 9
No image available
May 7, 2007
Technically speaking, only one thing prevents us from going 100% renewable. Storage capacity. Most renewables are not "Firm" without storage. Storage companies should be arm-in-arm with renewables. They should shamelessly promote each other.

I see a lot of people nod and passively agree with the 10% renewable solution. The difference between 10% renewables and 90%, is education.

The truth is this, we already have all the tools we need to be 100% renewable in both the electric power domain and land transportation.

We need a new conversation. Start the new conversation with, "Why do we need coal fired electric? I can't think of one good reason."
Comment 8 of 9
No image available
June 30, 2007
Hydro-electric is 100% renewable and offers 78% efficient storage.   As photovoltaic production of electricity  becomes more widespread we can also expect  to see more pumped storage facilities.
Comment 9 of 9
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